CIK62

Next 8 days are still averaging 70degs., or slightly AN.

Next 8 days are still averaging 70degs., or just Normal.

Looks like we are still running 'Out of the Money' with Dorian. Core misses BM by 165 miles and the City by about 400 miles.

Thunderstorm/Lightning affecting CI right now (3:00pm). The 1998 Labor Day Derecho it is not, but it will do.

The GFSx which for NYC is now 62/78---it claims. Should balance out by the end of each month.

The next 8 days are averaging 70degs., or just Normal.

Above Normal T's for the FALL are 3x more likely than Below Normal. And for the WINTER, are still 2x more likely. [Gov't Output-which never goes BN anyway] I disagree and say it will be SSW to the rescue. It has been going on all summer but this phenomena has its greatest affect on the 2M T during the winter of course. Hope it positions itself favorably for us, that is over N.A. Speaking of AN, from listening to WFLA in Tampa on IHeart Radio, AN is a staple. 17 months in a row have been AN, and 22/24 during the last 2 years. We had 20 months in a row of AN back in (and around) the 2015 period. Even using the most recent 30 year periods, updated annualy, might not fully catch us up to the moving target of GW. Clearly the 'current normals' aren't anymore.

The first 8 days of Sept. are averaging 70degs., or just Normal. 67.7* here at 6am.

Last day of August averaging 74degs., or about 3degs. AN. Month to date is +0.3[75.5]. August should end at +0.4[75.6]. The first week of Sept. is averaging 71.5degs., or about 1deg. AN. 72.5* here at 6am. The computer models have struck out with Dorian, and only threat now is to SC/NC. A change of 300miles (to the N) in a day as to where it would cross the coast.

The last two days of August are averaging 74degs., or about 2degs. AN. Month to date is +0.2[75.5]. August should end at +0.2[75.4]. 68.5* here at 6am.

Nice day on beach in Coney Island except for occasional Dust Devils. Easily low 80's at some point. Most bays have no lifeguards already as the foreign students who spent the summer here and locals may have returned to school elsewhere by now. The models have Dorian dilly-dally for nearly 10 days along whole EC before getting here----now as late as the 10th-11th, before I was seeing the 6th-8th. And it does this w/o making one of those big diameter, waste some time loops, and then doubling back to the coast. A slow-motion Hurricane Donna. Doubt if this will occur-----but by watching this one atmospheric feature each day, one can see how bad modeling still is at the +5 day range.

Next 8 days averaging 75degs., or about 3degs. AN. Month to date is +0.2[75.6]. August should end near +0.4[75.6]. All 8 days are averaging 75degs. also, or about 4degs. AN. 67.6* here at 6am. All models indicate we should watch out here near Sept. 6 for Dorian's remnants. Enjoy Labor Day at Daytona Beach this year. Cheap Rates. 50mph winds, 80mph gusts and 12" of rain included Free!

The last 4 days of August are averaging 74degs., or 2degs. AN. Month to date is +0.4[75.8]. August should end at +0.3[75.5]. 69.0* here at 6am. DORIAN to smash NYC Sept. 04-05? So says the GEM/JMA. EURO looks like it wants to loop it. GFS let's it get away by the 5th. 12z and 06ZGFS completely different after hour 126

THIS IS A TEST. Can you find the blue patch? Can you find the similarities between the T images? https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/two_class.php

With just 5 days of Meteorological Summer left, the Central Park summary is a +1.35F, or just 1SD AN. The +1.35 might go up a few hundredths before it is over.

The last 5 days of August are averaging 72degs., or just Normal. Month to date is +0.6[76.0]. August should end at +0.1[75.3]. 65.6* here at 6am. Dorian wants to rain itself out over Florida during Holiday, with 2"-4"+ generally, Sunday-----Tues.

Next 8 days averaging 72degs., or about 2degs. AN. Month to date is +0.9[76.4]. August should end near [75.6]. Depending on what is going to be used as the August average, this is near +0.4. GFSx is different. 62.7* here at 6am. 62.3* at 7am, moderate overcast. Dorian to give Florida a wet Holiday weekend?

The last 7 days of August are averaging 73degs., or about 1deg. AN. Month to date is +1.1[76.7]. August should end about +0.6 to +1.0 or near 75.8. 64.5* here at 6am. 70.5* by 11am, with cumulus dotting the sky. EURO WAVE output shows weaker development along coast now than yesterday, but it is a little closer. Down from 25' to 15' at center.

Next 8 days averaging 72degs., or just NORMAL. Month to date is +1.3[76.9]. August should end about +0.5[75.7]. GFSx has different averages so could be up to +0.9. 65.3* here at 6am.

Even if we do not have another heat wave, Europe is about to have its third this year. Heights at +240m---good for +20F or more above normal for some.

Next 8 days averaging 73degs., or just +0.5deg. Month to date is +1.6[77.3]. Should be +1.3[76.2] by the 31st. 71.6* here at 6am and overcast. Front passed me last evening at 8:40pm as T went down 11 degrees in 30mins., with 25mph Gusts and little thunder---84*>>>73*.

Next 8 days averaging 74degs., or 1.5degs. AN. Month to date is +1.4[77.1]. Should be +1.4[76.2] by the 30th. 74.8* here at 6am.

I saw the sheet of rain from a high rise in CI, that DRZ1111 referred to. That was about 5:45pm. CI had another super heavy rain with peeks of sun from 6:00pm-6:15pm. Most WU Sites indicated no rain when their gauge is really O.o.O, or not even setup. Very misleading. CI station near me had 2", but 0" for the day! Had to be 0.5" to an 1" during just those 15mins., as visibility was nil with the sun trying to get through all the time---quite eerie. Went to beach when I became convinced by radar the showers near me at 12:30pm were headed northeast.

Next 8 days averaging 74.5degs., or 1.5degs AN. Month to date is +1.2[77.0]. Should be +1.3[76.3] by the 29th. 76.6* here at 6am with Haze.

Next 8 days averaging 75degs., or 2degs. AN. Month to date is +0.9[76.7]. Should be +1.2[76.2] by the 28th. 76.8* here at 6am. 80.6* by 10am.