Upstate Tiger

Big overperformer in my area from last night's rains. Didn't check before I left but guessing we got over a half inch if not more. Lots of standing water heading into work.

Pattern is certainly more interesting to close the month. Could we see some snow in NYC for the parade?

Now that's the kind of Hazard Map from the CPC that I like to see (11/22-11/28)

Yep. Until this changes, no bueno for SE winter lovers...

You could basically cut and past the image below from the past few winters. You would think the parade of storms crashing into the Pacific NW and BC would cease at least for 1 winter. This is for 11/13 but you can pick any date.

I think I’m going to go George Constanza and do the opposite this winter. In other words, I’m going to project no hope, and constantly reject any modeling that shows anything but AN temps. So, I agree with your post, November will be a torch. December and January likewise. There will be no snow south of the Mason Dixon line below 5,000’.

I remember that storm. I was at Myrtle Beach. Got 5” and it was gone by breakfast.

I grew up in the upstate of SC. 76-83 were all awesome for snow lovers. Became more and more sporadic after that run. Difference then was cold would last for long periods of time and snow would linger for weeks. The last comparable winter would be 95-96 for the upstate.

Just read where Mt. Fuji is without a snowcap going into November for the first time since official records started being kept 130 years ago. It normally has a snow cap by October 5. This fall is reminding me a lot of 2016

I know I know...but it's all we've got to work with right now

Big coastal storm being shown for late week 1 in November for several runs in a row. Maybe can usher in a pattern change. Lots of cold air during this period over western Canada and the NW US, typical of Nina.

Hit the freezing mark for the first time this morning.

After this cool down this week, Indian Summer looks to return until the end of the month. Mild and dry.

39 this morning in West Lincoln County. First morning under 40.