Upstate Tiger

Rain and sleet in Gastonia and 47 degrees. Crazy.

Got a dusting last night. If nothing else it coated the brown and black piles. Sitting right at 11” for the season. Hard to complain.

Good data! The NAO looks to be negative for this potential event but you are correct that the PNA is the teleconnection with the largest impact on SE winter weather IMO. This is 10 days out and the teleconnection forecasts can be tricky so maybe it will change. I haven't looked at the MJO forecast.

CMC has the same general setup but doesn’t have the high placement like GFS so wintry is further north.

GFS says happy Valentines Day snow lovers.

Yep looks like we warm up next week. I will be in Charleston so looking forward to some warmth. Don't sleep on Valentine's weekend, a little blocking and get rid of that upper midwest low and you have a big winter storm in the SE. Looks like a strat split coming up that could make March very cold in the U.S., at least until mid-month.

Someone may get NAM’d tomorrow afternoon. It seemed to my faulty memory that secondary lows were common in the 70s and they were always good for a couple of inches.

Hopefully we can get one without any screw zone ala President's Day 1 - 1979. Still one of my all time favorites with temps in the teens, howling wind, and 14" in the upstate IMBY. It did warm up rather quickly the following week but still took several days to melt.

Yep. Looking like a return to winter in the east around or just after Valentine’s Day for a at least a couple of weeks. Still think this winter holds at least one more SE winter storm.

Yep. The low water content makes it evaporate really quickly.

current US snowfall coverage.

Overall for the entire forum, the CMC and GFS seemed to remain the most consistent and verify the best. If I have time, I will try and go back and compare the globals from Monday to Friday.

Yeah this winter is going to skew our 10 year average LOL

I-85 North in Cabbarus blocked. So is 74/Wilkinson Blvd/Franklin in Gastonia. I drove home from the hospital at 530. I have 4wd truck, AT tires, and 500lb of sand in back and it was dicey.