PB GFI

The 1st 7 days of December aren't plus 6.

1 - 5 BN 6 - 10 N to AN 10- 15 BN Nothing would be sustained until after day 10 "if" blocking occurs. The models still think it develops . That trough on the west coast backs up towards the Aleutians after day 10. If you get height rises from HB out to Greenland than you will suppress the ridge in the SE and the trough will get stuck there. We don't need anything sustained , 5 day periods are better than what you saw the last 2 years. You may do better then that . If blocking does develop then it's game on , you're just going to have to see if the EPS is right

I didn't last year and blew out my back flow device. You have time , 1 or 2 nights will not kill you , but a 300 shut off cost me 900 to repair.

Dude its weird to pay for a forecast only to troll him with people who dont like him . It screams that you are in need of acceptance.

Always fascinated when people pay to see a forecaster just to chide him .

Hat tip to Isotherm . NJ state 2002 snow map

A foot of Rain . Just wow .

Buddy Randy in Brightwaters send me a VID of a raging river in front of his house and his basement totally flooded out .

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=DIX&product=NTP&overlay=11101111&loop=yes