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wxmeddler

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by wxmeddler

  1. Yes! First time meeting her. I see why you two get along so well We exchanged info.
  2. 70 at Ft. Meade, 55 in Annapolis. #BayBreezing
  3. The going rate is one bottle cap per inch of bust.
  4. The MD Mesonet stations has sunshine detectors (pyranometers). We're recording the data and eventually we'll have statistics on it but it fairly low on the priority list. We should be able to do % of sunshine and energy but % of normal will be harder to determine since there isn't a good history.
  5. Our thermometer is painfully slow as well. My student is currently running an inter-comparison of fast thermometers so we're getting fantastic data at 3 second intervals. I'll post it here once it's done.
  6. Wind gusts to 40 mph even without the convection. Temps falling 10 deg in 5 minutes with the front.
  7. The cold front emerging out from the rain along the Blue Ridge right now with no convection associated with it would absolutely be a way to cap off this day.
  8. Shear too strong given lack (or near none) low level instability. Lapse rates aren't helping but we knew that going in. Edit: Also, almost no lightning with these. Can't get any serious updrafts to -20C. Kinda pathetic.
  9. Only storms I'm worried about the next few hours are the ones throwing out lightning. Most of this stuff is not exhibiting strong vertical organization.
  10. Lack of lightning in this line tells me that it's not taking advantage of the instability that should be present. That will limit gust potential.
  11. 65/63 is better than I thought where we would be this morning. Small break in the cirrus over North Carolina Piedmont headed our way, but otherwise pretty socked in.
  12. The 0z HRRR is the exact failure mode that seems most likely, the crapvection from the west hangs on and is enhanced east of the mountains by the synoptic lift. By the time the low ejects, the moisture is wiped.
  13. The failure mode is for sure if the squall in the TN Valley right now stays together over the mountains and wipes our moisture at 11AM. And the associated low clouds hang around with it.
  14. My thoughts align with Mark's (surprise surprise). Any cell that breaks out ahead of the line should be taken with caution, but the squall line damage should be fairly localized. This will NOT be a derecho situation where there is widespread 60-80 mph gusts. The 60-80 mph gusts will be localized into 1-3 mile wide swaths. Parameters I'll be watching is MLCAPE, 3CAPE, 0-2km SR Winds
  15. I can see early dismissals for places in central VA, even far southern MD, but don't see it for the capitol region. The squall should be late enough in the day not to matter for places along I-95. Even so, the safest place for kids would be in schools. The issue is panicked parents rushing to pick up kids and getting caught up exposed in the parking lot.
  16. Hi there, I got tagged that I was quoted up here; Yeah, the write up was for the Mid-Atlantic. I don't see the isolated pre-squall tornado threat getting up into Southeast PA. The hodographs are more linear compared to down in VA and So. MD. The squall will still be dangerous with embedded supercells.
  17. When I bought my house, one of my asks for the realtor was no trees that could reach the house. Needless to say it was a hard find, but we did end up finding one! It also has a brand new metal roof, so the rain sounds fantastic! What I didn't notice is that a neighbors gutter goes right into a low spot near the house, so... that's my next worry.
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