wxmeddler

It probably will. This is a N MoCo / Carroll and west event. Will probably even get tricky with RA/SN in the lower elevations the Monocacy River Valley.

This is what I'd call a "High Chance of Disappointment" Profile. Even higher elevation won't save you from the mixed bag possibility. Go west young man!

Almost no change to the overall look between 12z and 18z over mid-atl. Might be settling in. GFS still wiggling around. Looks like a solid hit to the classic northern/higher elevation spots (Fredrick/Carroll/ WV PH / MD PH)

Still lots of change going on... trend for now seems to be a much weaker/flatter wave. Classic trend towards the gulf stream baroclinic zone as well.

Wait for the PIVOT..

Thankfully the trend has been more offshore with the LLJ winds... There is an insane patch of ocean though that is going to be 50G80kts offshore in the warm waters though. Heck of a swell coming for New England.

Cold sinks gonna cold sink

Only the NAM is trying to bring some of those 925mb winds down to the surface. Given the water temperatures off the coast and the easterly flow, I'm not sure how successful those winds are going to mix down. Real knife edge though, as if it doesn't mix it's 30G40 but it does you get 40G60+..

I'd thought I'd dust off the ol' account now that I'm back on the area. ..and thank you!

I'm very tired...

Looking at some TAMDAR soundings from DCA and BWI. There's a dry layer just under 700, but the near sfc dews in the 20's (and teens just above) from the NE is really the killer.

The DC split is for real...

Fog everywhere man! There was reports from the Bay Bridge (Annapolis) of visibilities down to <100 ft at 8 PM.Millersville has been stuck in the Conestoga Rivers fog bank for 24 hrs and counting. Went outside and took a pic. Down to <300 ft. Feels like you could drink the air. [img]http://imageshack.us/a/img834/7474/20121209024151150.jpg[/img]

This x100. The meteorology field today is very competitive and getting squeezed by both sides. Jobs are disappearing as technology (forecast automation) are taking over forecasting jobs, while at the same time there has been an influx (and more coming) of college graduates who are trying to find jobs. In order to find a meteorology job with a BS nowadays you need to have at least two of a few things. 1. Come from a good school 2. really good grades 3. connections 4. experience in the field. (internships, co-op programs etc.) 5. luck I suggest you visit the AMS site, they have some good information about careers and they keeps tabs on which schools offer meteorology programs. http://www.ametsoc.o...nter/index.html And just for fun here is the WxChallenge Forecasting site where students and colleges compete in a yearly forecasting competition. The top schools for the competition can be found here (pick a year and submit "Team Standings"): http://wxchallenge.c...ive_results.php

Winds gusted to 72 kts before the front moved through at 46035. I was looking at the GFS and it had 90 kts at 925 with 25 dm heights at the center. Anyway. Check Out this EPIC webcam site from the FAA. http://akweathercams.faa.gov/wxcamsitemap.php

This was like the slipping on ice one.. Axis of motion was NE/SW from my location.

PLEASE FILL OUT A REPORT: MAKE IT ACCURATE AS POSSIBLE! USGS: Did you feel it?

Super shallow SOB...

Felt same thing.. just a few shakes.. Thought it was my high spin washer gone amuck. Then WHAM! Full 3" side to side with a SW/NE Axis..

5.8!!