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wxmeddler

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About wxmeddler

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KCGS
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Laurel,MD

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  1. wxmeddler
    Need a cold front, pronto.
  2. wxmeddler
    KLWX is out, they're troubleshooting. But there are the TDWR's around. The Tornado warning was dumb IMHO.
  3. wxmeddler
    Poor lapse rates and all of the 0-6km shear is in the lowest 2km. 2-8km shear is near zero. Water loading (updrafts on top of downdrafts due to lack of shear) and no CAPE = showers.
  4. wxmeddler
    The SPC is creating a new Mesoanalysis based on a HRRR DA system. There was a recent SLS presentation about it. No idea! I asked about this specifically in a Q/A... and they provided a written answer! "The NAM is known to perform well for cold-air damming events. A comprehensive assessment of the RRFS’s ability to capture cold air damming events has not been conducted. However, subjective assessments indicate that it likely does not perform as well as the NAM for this phenomenon. This is a development priority for future releases."
  5. wxmeddler
    The over-convection and "big blobs" on the RRFS is a known bias or "bug" with the FV3 Dynamical Core. This was explored recently by Lou Wicker at OU (See: https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-25-0230.1). In short, it can't really be fixed without significant changes to the core. OMD hasn't said it outright publicly but the original plan was to turn off the HRRR and RAP at the same time as the RRFS Operationalization. But they've scrapped that specifically because of the FV3 core issues. Now the plan is to turn off the HRRR and RAP when the RRFS transitions to the MPAS Core in ~2028. (https://www.weather.gov/media/wrn/calendar/RRFS_webinar_20260625.pdf)
  6. wxmeddler
    Last year I was stomping lantern flies everywhere. Seems only had to stomp a few this year.
  7. wxmeddler
    I left Twitter / X / whatever and Facebook years ago and never looked back. This is my social media.
  8. wxmeddler
    I maintain that SVR-Considerable with Tor Possible wording would have sufficed. 65 mph EF-0 is only 5 mph over base SVR. I don't believe there was any threat beyond a QLCS spinup of what we saw, and that took the open water and maybe a boundary to make it happen.
  9. wxmeddler
    There was an SCN that went out about it last year and there was no indication in there that there was going to be a replacement or complementary service. The SCN went put at about the same time as other things which were curtailing the access / dissemination of climate information.
  10. wxmeddler
    Very few perfectly clear areas that did not have smoke or clouds muddying the signal, but yes! Federalsburg on the eastern shore was about the best.
  11. wxmeddler
    Photo of the eclipse today from College Park by Dr. Ross Salawich, a professor in Atmospheric Sciences Department here at UMD.
  12. wxmeddler
    Mosquito larvae don't care about cold. If you've ever been to the Minnesota or Canadian Northwoods or Alaska in summer you're gonna get swarmed. The joke in Alaska is you need a frying pan to kill them they're so big. And those locations get down to -40 and below. I do know that Mosquito spawning cycles are temperature and moisture dependent but I'm not knowledgeable beyond that.
  13. wxmeddler
    Those are bad velocities from the dust / bugs etc. ahead of the gust front.
  14. wxmeddler
    I don't understand the reasoning for the TOR... It's pretty clearly cold pool driven outflow.
  15. wxmeddler
    I don't think a lot of the big velocities are making it to the surface (lack of DCAPE, and surface friction) but somewhere in there should be seeing 60 mph, which is plenty 'round here to take down limbs and old trees onto wires.
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