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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. Precipitation just started here. At first it was a mix of very light sleet and snow. Now it is freezing rain with a bit of sleet.
  2. More like cold. The main energy/moisture totally pivots around Iowa, dropping nothing on the state. The upper low has taken a giant leap south compared to this morning's 12z run.
  3. The GFS just doesn't want to budge from the mostly-rain event.
  4. I'm sure there will be some breaks. Other models are showing a decent break after the initial wave. Plus, the rotating spokes of energy will probably have dry moats mixed in.
  5. At the end of the NAM run, there is still solid snow falling from Cedar Rapids to Chicago/Milwaukee. The last snow system lasted four hours. This week's event has the potential to last 60 hours. Now, if we could just pair the 1"/hr rates from the last event with the 48+ hour duration of this one, we'd really have something.
  6. The Iowa NWS offices are not excited about this long-duration system at all. They seem to be leaning toward the warmer/rainy GFS.
  7. The sleet over here has changed to freezing rain. There's a nice glaze on top of the snow/sleet.
  8. My snow total is 4.5".... a solid event. It's too bad we can't get those rates for longer than a few hours.
  9. The mix is surging northeast in Iowa. Des Moines and Ottumwa reported freezing rain at 4pm and it's very easy to see the switch line on nexrad CC. I just hope we can cross 5" before the switch occurs.
  10. Another 1.3" last hour, up to 3.9" total. Radar returns are generally weaker and not as solid to the west, but we could hit 5".
  11. 1" in the last hour puts my 3pm total at 2.6". The back edge is already approaching , but we should get another couple hours of good snow.
  12. I've picked up 0.7" in the last 25 minutes, so my rate is about 1.5"/hr. If there's anything to complain about, the flakes are very small.
  13. I picked up 0.6" in the first hour. Solid heavier returns have moved over Cedar Rapids, so I expect the rate will increase to 1"/hr. The visibility has dropped just in the last five minutes.
  14. It's looking good for 3-5" in Cedar Rapids. The snow has quickly intensified here in the last twenty minutes.
  15. Will the warm flip back to cold again(and then back and back and back) or is the warm going to stick? Last winter lasted five weeks. Maybe this winter will last two weeks.
  16. Jesus Christ, people, can we please get back on topic? One person mentions JB and we get twenty f'n posts shi**ing on him. Enough!
  17. I received 1.5" of sleet and no snow from that storm. Thankfully, tomorrow's system won't be a repeat.
  18. 2-3" is what I'm expecting here as well.
  19. Euro is looking more like the GFS now. Is the GFS really going to win again? It already did best for the last two bigger events.
  20. 12z GFS about the same, good for MN to central WI, lousy for central Iowa to Chicago.
  21. The GFS, today, has trended toward sharper upper energy, which causes the surface feature to extend up into Minnesota. It seems a bit weird. The other models are not doing this. Any thoughts?
  22. Euro coming in with a stronger low and a bit less cold again, although still cold enough to give my area a nice thump.
  23. 12z GFS is a bit colder initially, but still ends up far enough north to bring light rain to my area. The 12z Canadian is like the 00z Euro, keeping my area in snow throughout.
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