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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    The WAA band was a total dud in Cedar Rapids. It produced flurries and gusty wind.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    The HRRR would be nice, but it's difficult to buy it when other models (Euro) show nothing in Iowa.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    Most models have trended north with the Friday snow in Iowa. We may only get a very brief line of snow showers.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    I'm expecting to get 1-3" from the WAA snow Friday. The main low is still a mystery, so I'm not really expecting anything.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    I'm going with a total of 7".
  6. hawkeye_wx
    The setup is almost good. It kinda looks like all the heavy convection down south is preventing deeper moisture from getting into the cold sector.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    I have not been out to measure, but the snow is now over the edge of the patio bird bath and the rain gauge stand, which suggests about 4". There are reports of 5-6" in the Cedar Rapids area as well. We are currently getting our heaviest snow of the event.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    4-6" has fallen in a band from south of Des Moines through Iowa City, to east of Cedar Rapids. I think I probably have about 2".
  9. hawkeye_wx
    18z Euro
  10. hawkeye_wx
    Most models are fairly consistent with the snow band through Iowa. 4-6" looks reasonable here. The drying out from Missouri through Illinois is pretty brutal.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    Models seem to be keeping the solid swath through Iowa, but drying it out to the south where it was supposed to be heavier. I was excited for this, but I caught an illness yesterday and I feel like crap today. The last thing I'd want to do now is go out into the cold to shovel/blow, or even measure.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    Oof.... the GFS actually sagged back south. It looks nothing like some of the other models.
  13. hawkeye_wx
    The timing of this system is just about perfect. It should snow all day Wednesday across Iowa.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    The Euro, NAM, and RDPS are all trending heavier across Iowa. We need the GFS to wake up.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    My 7" actually makes me one of Iowa's winners this winter. There are still a few spots in sw Iowa that have received ZERO measurable snow. That's nuts.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    Big improvement for Iowa from the Euro over the last few runs. The Euro is significantly heavier through Iowa than the GFS.
  17. hawkeye_wx
    Once again, for next weekend's system, models are trending toward turning the flow out of Canada and suppressing the storm. There has been too much of that this winter.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    Take the ICON out, models peaked last night and have been slowly fading weaker and southeast. It's difficult to get deep moisture and strong forcing this far north when the lead wave pulls the surface front down to Houston and Atlanta.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    Of course, just as the GFS goes bonkers with next weekend's system, the Euro goes the other way and is now progressive and weak until it gets to the northeast US.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    The super amped & nw ICON is an outlier this morning. The GFS, Euro, and UK are farther southeast, but still solid. The Canadian is way southeast and weak.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    The ICON is ramping this up big time. Models are digging the upper trough for the midweek system farther west, which is allowing the energy that's rounding the base to lift more nw and amp up.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    06z Euro.... keeps getting better
  23. hawkeye_wx
    Models are steadily beefing up the mid next week system, lifting it farther north. Yeah, these beefier systems are still out there several days and details will change, but up until a couple days ago the deterministic Euro was still spitting out plenty of goose-egg 15-day snow maps. This is what it is showing now through 8 days... quite the change.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    The latest GEFS and EPS are both their best runs of the entire winter. A 6+" average over the entire region is pretty solid.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    Today was our 4th straight 50º day.
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