hawkeye_wx
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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx
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My May rain total is 6.03, our wettest month since October '21.
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The extended looks very dry. The second half of June will have to be busy to make up for first half.
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Models significantly under-predicted the rain event across eastern Iowa this morning. I was expecting just enough rain to wet the ground, but ended up with several hours of light to moderate rain totaling 0.64".
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As of today, the drought in Iowa is officially gone.
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Small showers repeatedly popped around here today, keeping us wet. My grand total for today is 1.07". My May total is up to 5.52".
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0.86" here this morning. My May total is 5.31".
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The "severe" drought area in Iowa has all been downgraded to "moderate" as of yesterday.
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Despite all the warnings the NWS is issuing around here this morning, it has been a garden-variety storm.
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The potent evening storms passed just nw and east of Cedar Rapids, so I only got some gusty wind and a bit of rain. My daily rain total is 0.82".
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First 70º dew point of the year this afternoon across eastern Iowa.
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I picked up 0.33" from a dying line of storms this morning. The central Iowa storms appear likely to miss nw. Central Iowa got good by rain this morning.
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Models have not handled the morning convection well at all. The CAMs had (and still have) all this stuff quickly weakening and lifting into northern Iowa, but that is not happening. Instead, one line has moved through my area and a bigger line is moving into central to south-central IA.
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I got 1.41" of rain overnight and this morning, easily the best rain event of the year. We had dried out quite a bit after ten days of very little rain.
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0.55" here from the early morning line of storms.
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I got 1.00" of rain today as a good band of stratiform rain moved through this morning. I'm still waiting for the first good thunderstorm of the year.
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My three-day rain total is 0.64", well below what models predicted. Many locations north and west of Cedar Rapids got less than that.
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A decaying wave dropped 0.33" here this morning, at least getting my April total over 3". There are a few spots just west of Cedar Rapids that have received only 1-2" this month.
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Yesterday's big rain event dropped 0.15" in my yard. Tonight's big rain event dropped a whopping 0.10".
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Unfortunately, but not surprisingly, most of the CAMs are showing much of the storms and heavy rain tracking eastward, to the south of the boundary that extends northeastward through southeast Iowa. North of the boundary we may end up with nothing more than some light rain.
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Model consistency is very low next week and beyond. They are showing everything from continued active to blocked-up cold and dry, with wild swings from run to run.
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I only got 0.15" today, lower than even the driest models. You just can't start the day with cold, dry air and expect to get much. Several models predicted 1+" across my area, so they really blew it. Saturday night into Sunday morning is still uncertain. Models are predicting anything from only a few tenths to a couple inches. It just depends on where the storms blow up.
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Our morning rain event is a giant dud. 35-dewpoint air killed it.
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It looks like our frost chances may be done for the year. The NWS has bumped us up to upper 30s the next couple nights and removed the mention of frost. The next 2+ weeks look mild to warm.
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GEFS 15-day The drought is gradually being chipped away around here. Last summer we peaked at "exceptional". We dropped to "extreme" for the winter. Last week we dropped to "severe". The next two weeks could eliminate the remaining "extreme" drought in Iowa and drop us down to "moderate".
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Models continue to show a very active pattern from late April into early May.
