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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. The front ended up being faster than models originally predicted, so just about our entire day has been cold. We have fallen to the mid 30s as light rain moves in. Tuesday will likely be the warmest day of the year (70s to near 80), but it will be followed by more cold.
  2. The Weather Channel was covering the Ohio flooding when I woke up this morning.
  3. We should be getting a lot more data for this country over the next couple weeks(positive/negative tests, fatalities, etc). If we start getting more data that suggests the death rate is similar to the flu, or even a bit higher, there will be immense pressure to start sending people back to work.
  4. Obviously, we won't know how all of this will play out until it does, but my biggest fear continues to be the economic devastation we are inflicting on the country. If this goes on for more than a few weeks, it could get very bad.
  5. I went out to eat for lunch. The restaurant was less busy than it typically would be at noon on Saturday.
  6. Winter got out ahead of the rush and canceled its season a few months ago.
  7. I like to see people try to forecast winter, but the skill just isn't there. You may as well flip a coin, but err on the warm side.
  8. Typhoon Bualoi is about to move over/near Anatahan island in the Mariana Islands. This is the second strong typhoon to directly hit the tiny island this month. That's difficult to do.
  9. Anyone know what kind of building code they have in the Marianas?
  10. Trami was an awesome super typhoon, but once it stalled it didn't take long for the upwelled cool water to hollow out the core.
  11. That's some pretty awesome stuff you guys are reporting/photographing. Half those rates/totals would be a dream storm here in Iowa. Around here, >foot totals are next to impossible and even ten-inch storms are rare. Four inches counts as a good storm. It's the ultimate nickel-dimer climate. OceanStWx used to work here at DVN, so he knows how pathetic this area can be.
  12. The last four runs of the Euro are showing something interesting in the 6-10 day period... possible tropical storm or typhoon formation in the Gulf of Thailand.
  13. A system is developing in the Bay of Bengal. Models have a solid cyclone lifting northward into Bangladesh or western Myanmar Tuesday.
  14. It appears another eyewall replacement cycle may be on the way. Satellite shows the eye steadily shrinking over the last few hours, and a microwave image from an hour ago shows a distinct outer band.
  15. Josh (iCyclone) is headed to the Philippines to chase Haima. The eastern coastal region of Luzon is nothing but mountains and dense rain forest, though, so not ideal for chasing.
  16. That was a very smooth eyewall replacement cycle. It reminds me of Katrina's ERC.
  17. Satellite suggests, and microwave confirms, a concentric eyewall structure.
  18. The current westpac pattern is highly favorable for strong, lower latitude, west-tracking typhoons. Luzon is going to have a rough week, as may the Hainan to Hong Kong region. Cat 3 typhoon Sarika is hitting today. As the above image shows, the next one could be worse.
  19. It looked like it may have plateaued yesterday, but, wow, it has turned it up another gear over the last twelve hours. We just don't see many like this.
  20. Meranti just accomplished this in only 24 hours. It's always very impressive to watch cyclones explode like this.
  21. Meranti has prime conditions now and is showing it. This one is going to be a real beauty over open water the next few days.
  22. I think it's fair to say the nwpac basin is a bit more moist than the Atlantic.
  23. As bad as this is, it is VERY fortunate that it moved more left as it approached Birmingham and missed the heavily populated downtown and south side.
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