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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    Another 0.82" of rain over here today. My October total is already 3.35". Locations just nw/n of Cedar Rapids have received nearly twice that.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    Picked up another 0.46" today on top of last night's 2.05". It's pretty wet around here. It's even wetter just north. I wish I could bottle this pattern and open it up in December.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    The sharp edge of the big rain event ended up in between Cedar Rapids and Iowa City. Iowa City got nothing while I got 2.04". Locations just north of CR got 3-4+".
  4. hawkeye_wx
    It is 81 with a dew of 73 here in Cedar Rapids. I think 73 may be a new October record.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    Several stations in the area touched 90º yesterday, but Cedar Rapids came up just short.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    There continues to be an impressive band of training storms from Peoria to south of Chicago. There are stations in the northern Peoria area with 5+". These same locations may get more training storms tonight and end up with very impressive rain totals.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    A nice cell dropped 0.35" in my yard last night. There is potential for a couple more heavy rain events late this week into next week.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    Unfortunately, recon data at Tropical Tidbits stopped updating almost an hour ago. However, the NHC site has a new recon vort message (a bit north of the last one, 1006 mb still).
  9. hawkeye_wx
    A 50 kt wind barb just showed up as recon approaches the newest adjusted center. I don't think we've seen any of those over the last couple days.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    The latest official recon vort position is a good jump southwest of the previous positions (which were already jumping around a bit). The dropsonde shows the wind coming from the ene at flight level, but then suddenly switching to the wsw about halfway down. The next pass should be interesting. As others have noted, the layers are not synced up.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    The current recon pass is interesting. Wind data shows a couple additional centers of spin at flight level (1500m) within the intense convection to the sw of the surface center.
  12. hawkeye_wx
    Karen is still being sheared, but the firehose is no longer aimed at it.
  13. hawkeye_wx
    Getting put in a slight risk area has had very poor results here this year.
  14. hawkeye_wx
    Recon has at least closed off a center with nw and w wind.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    12z Euro still turns Karen west, but instead of gradual strengthening, it weakens it to a wave.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    Euro has whatever is left of Karen ending up farther north and east in a few days compared to earlier runs. One major change is what's going on with Jerry. A few days ago Jerry was expected to be a solid hurricane that would quickly pass near Bermuda and get whisked northeast out to sea. Now, Jerry is badly sheared, much weaker, and much slower. A much-slower Jerry may tug more on Karen.
  17. hawkeye_wx
    Recon is struggling to find a west wind.
  18. hawkeye_wx
    1.08" here overnight and this morning.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    12z Euro has an Andrew track through s FL to LA, but it remains fairly weak the entire time. These west turners often have favorable conditions to strengthen, though. It doesn't turn west for five days, assuming it survives, so there's nothing to be too concerned with, yet.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    The first visible loop this morning shows the surface vort popping out from under the convection.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    And there you go.... the 00z Euro has 99L getting caught under the ridge. It sends a strengthening system steadily wsw into Cuba, a la Ike.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    And just like that, it has been upgraded to TS Imelda.
  23. hawkeye_wx
    Stockton, IL, in the far northwest, has received a 12.03" of rain over the first two weeks of September.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    I picked up 0.40". The real heavy stuff missed just south. I've had several moderate rain events this month totaling 2.41".
  25. hawkeye_wx
    All week, models had been advertising a nice line of storms pushing through Iowa today, but they pretty much skipped by Cedar Rapids. I picked up a tenth or so. Dubuque took the brunt last night and again tonight.
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