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hawkeye_wx

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Everything posted by hawkeye_wx

  1. hawkeye_wx
    We could definitely use some fresh snow. We are down to a few inches of dirty glacier.
  2. hawkeye_wx
    The Euro has now sunk the heaviest snow band away from MSP and into far northern Iowa. Decorah looks like a sweet spot, with less but still solid snow across Wisconsin. I'm not confident the southern-edge snow will accumulate very well. The surface temp from Cedar Rapids eastward into Illinois will be in the 30s.
  3. hawkeye_wx
    There was some decent spread, but tonight's model runs are converging on the IA/MN border region for the best snow.
  4. hawkeye_wx
    There is some significant model spread. The Euro is north and is the best for MSP. The Canadian is south and is best for Iowa. I even get heavy snow from the Canadian. Other models are in between, but the trend is to drift it south a bit. The latest UK now has the best snow from northern Iowa into southern Wisconsin.
  5. hawkeye_wx
    Models show a potent system streaking into the nw part of the region on Sunday. Southern Minnesota looks like the bulls-eye. The system then weakens as it heads east into the lakes.
  6. hawkeye_wx
    For several days, the GFS has been hinting at a potential system as we approach mid month. The Euro is finally catching on. This morning's run has a widespread snow-to-mix overrunning event, not unlike the one we experienced a couple weeks ago.
  7. hawkeye_wx
    Our low temp was in the upper 30s and we're already in the 40s today, so the good snowpack is taking a hit.
  8. hawkeye_wx
    What the GFS is showing this morning will probably vanish on future runs. It feels like a flukey run. Models are generally just showing a strong cold front sweeping through the midwest. This is the first model run that shows a flattening of the fropa with a nice wave or two riding along the front. I'd have to see more models doing this, and stick with it, before I'd get excited.
  9. hawkeye_wx
    I saw some sun today.
  10. hawkeye_wx
    Will the warm flip back to cold again(and then back and back and back) or is the warm going to stick? Last winter lasted five weeks. Maybe this winter will last two weeks.
  11. hawkeye_wx
    Jesus Christ, people, can we please get back on topic? One person mentions JB and we get twenty f'n posts shi**ing on him. Enough!
  12. hawkeye_wx
    12z Euro
  13. hawkeye_wx
  14. hawkeye_wx
    All the models (minus the ICON) are going north this morning. The midnight Euro, plus the 12z UK and Canadian have snow through southeast Iowa. Here's the Canadian.
  15. hawkeye_wx
    GFS is pretty messy.
  16. hawkeye_wx
    The Euro has something on the 12th.
  17. hawkeye_wx
    Jan 6/7 system on the 12z Euro
  18. hawkeye_wx
    Euro.... this run has better interaction between the lead, moist, wave and the upper energy diving in from Iowa.
  19. hawkeye_wx
    12z Euro - End of week system. It's there, but not exceptionally organized.
  20. hawkeye_wx
    I'd take a repeat of last winter. December was blah and the first week of January was a blowtorch, but then the hammer dropped and we had the snowiest five week period on record. Winter ended after those five weeks, but it was an amazing period.
  21. hawkeye_wx
    Yikes! That's pretty awful. Positive everything, MJO looping right back into the warm phases. Let's hope not.
  22. hawkeye_wx
    12z Euro.... boom
  23. hawkeye_wx
    Latest three 12z Euro runs.... total cave.
  24. hawkeye_wx
    The other models are now caving to the GFS... the euro overnight and the ICON, Canadian, and UK this morning.
  25. hawkeye_wx
    Of course, the Euro decides to shake things up tonight. Here is the shift from last night's run to tonight's for the end of the month.
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