mahantango#1

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 663 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 355 PM EDT THU AUG 29 2024 SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 663 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS PAC001-009-013-021-041-055-057-061-067-087-099-109-111-300300- /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0663.240829T1955Z-240830T0300Z/ PA . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ADAMS BEDFORD BLAIR CAMBRIA CUMBERLAND FRANKLIN FULTON HUNTINGDON JUNIATA MIFFLIN PERRY SNYDER SOMERSET $$

Had a heat index of 109,4 yesterday at 3:40pm. Dew point was 80. I was reviewing the data on the Ambient just a bit ago. 

9 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Since we did not get the heat to that level,  it must have moved your way. 

Voyager brings the heat!

5 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Late to the party, but I registered a 95 (94.8) yesterday afternoon. Wasn't expecting that kind of heat up here.

Late is not the word. I was up in Sunbury around 3pm to Sunbury motors Quick lane I had a temp of 93 on the Sportage on the way up to Sunbury.

9 hours ago, mitchnick said:

OT. For the old f@rts in the forum like me who fondly remember the 76/77 & 77/78 winters, this is a great video. The guy who did it has others, but I  haven't checked them out. A lot of wx stuff you'll probably know but a decent presentation about the big events of those 2 winters. 

 

Yes I remember those winters!

3 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Another one that comes in 3-5 degrees lower than forecast.   After a June and July seemingly featuring models and zones underestimating high temps, it has been a big-time reversal the last weeks.   My zone was 8 too high. 

I was wondering if I'd even get to 90 today. Had a lot of clouds this morning.

91 was the high. 83 now with a dp of 78.3 @541pm

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
416 AM EDT Wed Aug 28 2024

PAZ025>028-034>036-056-057-059-063>066-290830-
Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Perry-
Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
416 AM EDT Wed Aug 28 2024

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to
weather.gov/StateCollege on the internet for more
information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

Severe thunderstorms with damaging winds 60 mph or greater are
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

.25 rain overnight from showers that moved down from the north around 1am.

89 for the high here. We have now lost 1hour and 50 min of daylight since the summer solstice. We're headed downhill fast.

Any thoughts on possibly severe thunderstorms on Wednesday. Doesn't seem like much of a chance but it looks like all of Pa is in the slight risk according to SPC.

From S&S: EXTENDED WINTER OUTLOOK!

GET READY!  Like & Share! 

 For Winter 2024-2025!!!!!!

Hello Winter Weather Enthusiasts and weather lovers of all kinds!!!

 This map is to give you a GENERAL idea of what we expect from the winter as a whole. This map is going to change and will need adjusted as we get closer so please keep that in mind. 

***We are a volunteer group. Please check out the bottom of this post to show your support to the team!

Main Takeaway:  Winter will start slow for many. After DECEMBER it’s GAME ON!!!!

 One thing that we want to point out is that while this shows a very wintry outlook, we believe this will not really kick in until JANUARY. 

 That means we do not expect snow for Thanksgiving or anything significant in December for the EAST COAST.  The pacific zones may very well see EARLY snows in higher elevations. This is fairly common. 

Let’s start out WEST and work our way EAST. 

NW ZONES:   

 We are very confident you will see snow early and often especially in higher elevations. Many of those areas will also see record breaking historical snowfall amounts. This will also lead to issues for lower elevations due to excessive rainfall and mudslides. This will definitely be something we will have to watch. 

SW ZONES: 

Overall it will be a typical winter. Mild temperatures and average precipitation. We do not see anything significant in either direction fir this zone. 

MIDWEST ZONE: 

 This is where things get VERY INTERESTING. All the action out west moves east. Depending on the track these systems will pickup steam and crank out some serious winter weather. We wouldn’t be surprised to see the worst of winter in this zone. Frequent snow storms and a lot of cold will stay locked in this zone ESPECIALLY STARTING in JANUARY through MARCH. Like last year this includes areas like Western Tennessee and much of Kentucky. This will be the areas we see have the best chance of seeing blizzards and significant snow. These will also (as of right now) have the best chance of a white Christmas!  

THE TEXAS ZONE: 

  Texas is its own ZONE. We are unfortunately going to see storms that track across and cause an active pattern with winter weather. The biggest problem will be with the track these storms are expected to take. We believe the track will cause an active storm situation with just enough cold to filter down and cause a few ice storms that will cause a lot of problems. We are greatly concerned with the possibility of problems with the power grid in addition to travel. Some areas in Texas can handle winter weather but most areas do not have the equipment to cover the many miles of roadways that may need treated. Between closed roads and an icy power grid that didn’t handle the last ice breakout too well we think preparing now for this possibility is something that is smart to do!!!

SE ZONES:

   These are areas just off the coast. All that winter mess out west has to go somewhere. Some storms will track north of you and cause a cold rain. HOWEVER Several storms will track south out of the Midwest and pick up steam. This will pull down cold air from the north and cause ice and snow!!! West of 95 better be ready for January-late February.  Winter is going to hit these areas hard. 

Florida & SE Coastal ZONES

    This is the area to go to if you want sunny warm weather. For the majority of us we call this the BORING ZONE. Some parts of NC in this zone could see a rare snow but not much in accumulation is really expected. 

  The NORTHEAST Zone!!!!
(Including the Mid Atlantic)

  8/10  Winter!   WOW!!!!
AFTER AN INITIAL SLOW START… 

 You will START out cool in late November/December with a few rain/snow mix systems but not strong deep cold. 

AFTER DECEMBER THOUGH!

 Storm tracks in the Midwest will control the temperatures and precipitation in the east. We will have to get to late December or early January before things get cranking. After that it’s GAME ON! 

 JANUARY will begin to deliver MULTIPLE Alberta clippers and several Nor’Easters with BIG-TIME SNOWS. 

 We do not expect a lot of major ice storms here. Unfortunately a white Christmas isn’t very likely either but there is still time for adjustment. In the northern higher elevations of the northeast they will see a white Christmas like they do most winters. 

THEN WINTER HITS….

From January on ITS GAME ON FOR AREAS FROM CENTRAL VA TO BOSTON ESPECIALLY! 

 This includes all the busy areas like DC, Philly, Hagerstown, Pittsburgh, Harpers Ferry, NYC, Harrisburg, and even coastal areas like Virginia Beach, Dover and Long Island. Basically the entire 95 corridor all the way to Maine will be affected in a big way after an initial slow start. There is time for adjustments but the main takeaway from this is to get ready for an IMPRESSIVE winter after an initial slow start. BRING IT!!!

MORE UPDATES COMING SOON!!! 

Consider Supporting The Team! 
They do this for the love of the community!  Show Your Support!

CashApp:  $SSSTORMTEAM

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#TEAMSSLLC-Winter Outlook

High today was 86 here.

52 minutes ago, canderson said:

My grid now has  90s Monday and Tuesday and 99 Wednesday. 

Ending August with a literal melting. 

Good to see the heat returning! Probably in mid September we'll have highs in the low mid 60's with dp's in the mid 40's with a North wind gusting 25 mph.

1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said:

54 this Am

50 here.

80 was the high.

4 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Definitely some drier Sept's in there along with some wetter.  If you do this same search for Aug there are some dryer months there as well...a few less it seems.  Sept first then Aug.

 

 

 

Wow 1948 was dry.

2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Sept is actually the wettest month of the year at MDT (norms).    But some of us will be going into it on a very dry spell.    Unless it rains here in the next week we will have had 1/3" of rain in 23-24 days' time.

 

 

What about if we go back another 50 years from 1991? Does it make any difference? I remember watching Weather World years ago and they were saying September in Pa. was climatology speaking a dry month.

54 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

As we head into September, isn't September usually a dry month? I know there are exceptions to this with tropical systems ie Lee, Eloise come to mind.

49 this morning.

Figures, it will be Labor Day weekend.

Not much rain expected in the extended forecast until the end of next week...

49 this morning.