mahantango#1

The ice this morning on the Mahantango Creek is doing a good bit of creaking and cracking. It was very loud earlier. I don't expect the ice to go. The water level is just fluctuating Making the ice creak and crack. I wanted to get closer to the creek but there is thick ice in the yard. So I'm not attempting to go down there. After last weeks episode of me thinking I could walk in the yard on that thin ice which was thicker then I thought i didnt break through it. I took a nice fall and hurt both my wrists and had to crawl out of the yard to the road. Thankfully I didn't break any thing but I sprained the one wrist pretty good.

10 this morning.

It seems like forever that we have wind.

Last night abc27 doubled down on the misinformation on the Thursday storm again. One of these time they will be totally wrong.

I just knew you were paying for his snow removal service tips.i see you get the inside scoop and those important start times by being a subscriber.

Pennsylvania Weather Watchers Storm Chaser Eli Roberts · oospetSdrn789g1mlg36m5c2i18i9i63h4gmu773cgl1g423f1iu80uc6ai3 · The ice jam, as seen from high above, in Picture Rocks, PA along Rt. 220 in Eastern Lycoming County. My new video will go live today on my YouTube channel showing this ice jam from the banks and from the air! Check that out on the Storm Chaser Eli Roberts YouTube channel at 3 PM today. A half-length long section of Muncy Creek is jammed full of 1' thick huge blocks of ice. Even though water is moving under the ice, if some of this ice gets stuck underneath, it's possible Picture Rocks could see flooding as a result. For now, water continues to flow past the jam.— in Picture Rocks. Cold weather over the next couple of days will continue building ice along creeks and streams, including here. Watch for changing conditions along creeks and streams and keep an eye on ice conditions. Picture Rocks, to Hughesville and to Muncy should be watching Muncy Creek as this ice jam will eventually break up and move down stream towards the Susquehanna River. Have a great day! Eli,

My sons ambient weather station recorded a 63mph gust Sunday night. He lives out in the open on a hill outside of Berrysburg.

14 this morning. Hoping this wind that seems relentless is soon over.

It was a letdown for sure. But we'll pick up the pieces of the broken models and put them back together and anxiously await another model run that shows copious amounts of snow for our region in the distant future.

Looks like a lot of disappointment today. How can some of these models that showed a lot of snow the last 2 weeks not verify? Are we expecting too much accuracy from these models 1 to 2 weeks out? I know it's only a tool but still... Well I guess it's time to move on to Spring which will be here in a few weeks. Looking forward to thunderstorms at this point.

Over 10000 customers without power.

DT first guess map out after 11pm.

JB said tonight the nam is in his corner.

ABC27

Carpet and tile guys slammed the door shut on Pa. getting a snow storm. They said there's too much misinformation on that storm.

At this conjecture, what are everyone's feelings on this storm coming more north? Mine is I'm on the fence at this point. Tomorrow probably later in the day there should be a much better consensus of where this is going.

Same here peaked to 41.4 this morning then went back to 36 basically the rest of the day.

Temps were supposed to get to 50 here today. They only made it to 41 here.

The American Storm @BigJoeBastardi This is really pretty interesting. The better the upper air pattern goes with the negatives coming right through the slot, the further out the model pushes the storm. Well at the very least if it’s right I’ll get to see something that I can’t recall seeing. That kind of negative should produce an I 95 blizzard DC to Boston So the call from February 11 remains if I have to change it I’ll change it on Tuesday because until this feature comes out of the Rockies I’ve said too many of these flip flop around. If you’re standing on the ledge don’t jump off yet Last edited12:50 PM · Feb 16, 2025 from Pennsylvania, USA ·

I use Windy https://www.windy.com/-Wind-gusts-gust?gust,40.647,-77.028,10,m:eMRad03

From JB: he American Storm @BigJoeBastardi · 15m Models have shifted southeast since this, but I think should shift back west. This was eye candy, but the threat of the coastal MA blizzard we outlined Feb 11 still very much alive and kicking.

Its a mess here that inch of snow yesterday then the rain the ground was starting to get above freezing then it froze overnight now its melting from the top down but ground is still below freezing. Making for a slushy mess thats adhering to the ground with water standing on top. Hope it melts before tonight or it will freeze to a thin layer of ice.

If we don't have a winter storm to get excited about right now. We have this high wind warning to replace that storm. If it gets bad (power companies cold be overwhelmed) some people could be without power for more than 24 hours. Being without power with those winds and cold temps won't be pleasant.