mahantango#1

Yes it looks depressing next week...again! LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... If you squint really hard at the upper air charts for Sunday, you might be able to convince yourself that upper level flow is becoming slightly less trough-y, but that`s probably just wishful thinking. We are growing less optimistic to see any marked improvement before Monday. The recent blocking pattern has proven to be rather persistent and in no hurry to unravel. The cyclonic flow and cool temps aloft should translate into a good deal of cloud cover with POPs peaking during the afternoon hours coincident with diurnal heating. Precip probs should bottom on Monday before ramping higher into Tuesday-Wednesday. Models are coming into better agreement in tracking the southern stream wave farther to the north. There are even signs that the briefly split-stream flow will try to close off into another upper low in the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley region by the middle of next week. So it appears the cool and wet pattern will continue into the end of the month with no signs of summer weather on the horizon (meteorological summer begins on June 1).

NWS mentioned in their discussions that another closed low looks increasingly likely the middle of next week. I'm so over this weather pattern.

.07 today. More to come.

Seems like NWS knocked down rainfall. I hope that stays. But NWS also says there could still be heavy rain that could cause small stream flooding. I don't need that heavy rain. And I hope rainfall only totals around an inch or less. I don't need water setting in my garden again.

Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 414 AM EDT Wed May 21 2025 PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-035>037-041-042-045-046-049>053- 056>059-063>066-220815- Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield- Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin- Juniata-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan- Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland- Adams-York-Lancaster- 414 AM EDT Wed May 21 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Showers and thunderstorms may produce heavy rain, and bring the risk of small stream and urban flooding. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

more rain that I don't need. Wish it would not rain for a week.

39 this morning.

Your 100% right on that!

JB thinks around June 10th or so the rubberband could possibly snap. Then the heat will come along with those nighttime thunderstorms coming over the top of the ring of fire. So I guess we'll see what happens. Forecasts always change. Also JB is thinking early Tropical development in the Gulf in early June and possibly coming north along the east coast. I hope not.

Seen some places could get close to 2-3in. of rain and those cool temps to boot. I guess you'll have to go into hibernation like a bear until this pattern breaks.

I have 5.50 for the month, so far.

It looks like a good bit of rain headed our way... again.

.30 fron the thunderstorm in about 15 min.

Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 314 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025 PAZ017>019-024>028-035-036-049-050-052-056>059-063>066-170715- Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon- Mifflin-Juniata-Fulton-Franklin-Union-Snyder-Northumberland-Perry- Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- 314 AM EDT Fri May 16 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Pockets of locally dense fog and low visibility could make driving conditions hazardous through sunrise. Thunderstorms with brief heavy rain, gusty winds and small hail are possible this morning. Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms with locally heavy downpours may develop this afternoon. A broader wind damage threat associated with a bowing line of storms moving east from the Ohio Valley could evolve late tonight into early Saturday morning. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds are possible Saturday afternoon especially to the east of Route 15. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

Get your winter coat ready!

That better than girls gone wild?

National Weather Service State College PA Issued by National Weather Service Binghamton NY 705 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025 PAZ028-037-041-042-046-049>053-056>059-063>066-161115- Juniata-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Lycoming-Union- Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill- Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- 705 AM EDT Thu May 15 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Scattered showers and thunderstorms could produce heavy rainfall and isolated flooding. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds are possible Friday and Saturday. Isolated flooding may also occur. In addition to typical afternoon thunderstorms, a few strong storms may occur overnight. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

Way to go...Your leading the way with that monthly total!

US National Weather Service State College PA Favorites · tspnroeSdo15a1106hcflhi272ufhm109m3h528c2a7ll0117l95tmgi97m8 · 1-4 inches of rain fell across south central PA in the last 24 hours. As a result, inundation and small stream flooding is occurring with some secondary road closures being reported in a few locations. The Youghiogheny River at Confluence and the Aughwick Creek at Shirleysburg have reached minor flood stage. Rain showers and a few thunderstorms with locally heavy downpours will continue at times through Saturday, but we do not expect any more complete washout days like yesterday (Tuesday 5/13). River levels will gradually recede over the next few days, but the additional rainfall will keep streamflows elevated into the weekend. 5/14/25|604am

1.02 rain so far.

.76 rain so far today. It can stop raining anytime now.

A repeating pattern.

As for the daily sensible weather, diurnally favored showers and thunderstorms appear likely both Friday and Saturday. Given the seasonally vigorous nature of the aforementioned trough, as well as exact thermodynamic and shear profiles on each of these days, some strong to locally severe convection appears to be a plausible scenario.