mahantango#1

LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Confidence continues to increase in a widespread, soaking rainfall from late Wednesday through Thursday. Surface low pressure will track northward into Pennsylvania as its parent upper trough interacts with an upper low to our northeast, pulling a plume of moisture into Pennsylvania from the Atlantic. The trough becomes negatively tilted as it approaches the region, which should center the strongest synoptic scale forcing right over Central PA Wednesday night into Thursday morning. NBM QPF ranges from right around an inch over northwestern PA, to an inch and a half for areas east of I-99 and south of I-80. It is worth noting that there are still quite a few ensemble members that suggest portions of south-central PA could see upwards of 2 inches of rain. WPC has expanded the marginal risk of excessive rainfall to include all of Central Pennsylvania, but with the drier than normal conditions over the past few weeks, the rainfall should largely be beneficial. In addition to the rainfall, winds will be gusty on Thursday with a fairly tight pressure gradient around the low. Winds gusts of 20 to 30 mph are expected, with some gusts to 35 mph possible in the higher terrain of the Alleghenies. While there are still some timing differences in the models, expect rainfall to gradually taper off late Thursday into early Friday as the low begins to move off to the north. Lake effect and upslope rain showers will continue through the weekend as upper troughing remains in place over the northeastern United States. High temperatures through the weekend will remain near to slightly below normal, generally ranging from the upper 40s to the mid to upper 50s. Lows will be in the 30s and 40s.

DT doesn't believe this will be a mild winter: The WxRisk Preliminary Winter Forecast 2025-26:as of 10/25/25https://tinyurl.com/4syrvdfw

25 this morning.

I have a friend who just spent a week in Jamaica. He posted last night that he got out of there before they shut down the airports. But he has some other friends that didn't make it off the island before they shutdown the airports, so they are stuck there.

30 this morning with fog that rolled in.

https://www.pennlive.com/gardening/2025/10/why-it-makes-sense-to-cut-the-grass-short-at-the-end-of-the-season.html?utm_campaign=pennlive_sf&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook&fbclid=IwY2xjawNprDNleHRuA2FlbQIxMQABHmGejfIGQOngEoNShNZ9m6W8IdhaAds9AAvuy2O7JeIXGJNaaUilvz1j-8Bn_aem_Nl6m-TjHPnzKBPd3ZK6-Nw

29.7 this morning. Coldest yet for this fall season. Don't know how much longer I can hold out on this "No heat on till November" thing. 60 in the house this morning.

Your old school for sure.

31 was the low.

Wxrisk.com dnetoSsproltli0i42mig58uhuu7fc98429h346c530lf7at6u87ml1mc800 · THIS WEEK IN WEATHER 24 OCT 2025... now Gluten Free https://youtu.be/MPFPb6qiLwU What about Melissa? no it's not a threat to the US East Coast… rain and cold --almost winter like October 30 31,... update on snow cover build up in Siberia… Persistent High latitude blocking patterns keep showing up on all of the models from now through the next 30 days… what does it mean for the winter?

Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 336 AM EDT Thu Oct 23 2025 PAZ036-057-059-063>066-240745- Franklin-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- 336 AM EDT Thu Oct 23 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. The first widespread frost of the season may occur on Thursday night. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Widespread frost is more likely on Friday night. Otherwise, the probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Let's talk about your life choices

Long dark nights await us very soon!

34 this morning.

.30 rain here.

Special Weather Statement National Weather Service State College PA 1016 AM EDT Sun Oct 19 2025 PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046- 049>053-056>059-063>066-200215- Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield- Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin- Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming- Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon- Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- 1016 AM EDT Sun Oct 19 2025 ...STRONG WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING... Strong winds across the region are expected for most of the afternoon ahead of an approaching cold front. Sustained winds of 10 to 20 MPH out of the south will occasionally gust to between 30 and 40 MPH through this afternoon and into the evening. These winds are non-convective and will be separate from the line of gusty showers and thunderstorms anticipated for this afternoon along the cold front. There remains a marginal risk for severe storms this afternoon for most of central Pennsylvania. Strong winds can blow around loose and unsecured objects. Ensure that all outdoor decorations, furniture, and other objects are either secure or brought indoors. $$

Wouldn't be something if Pennstate won all of their remaining regular season games and a few more top 10 teams lost? It seems anything can happen this season in college football.

31 this morning, not ready for this.

35 this morning.