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mahantango#1

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    Central PA Autumn 2026

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

     ·
    Could Halloween’s winds hold a clue to winter?
    “Whatever way the wind blows on Halloween, it will blow that way the whole winter.” — Old Irish Weather Saying
    It’s folklore rather than a reliable forecast, but a fun reason to watch the rustling leaves this October 31!
    Will your trick-or-treaters need an extra layer or an umbrella?
    Have you heard this saying before?
    May be an image of text

    Central PA Autumn 2026

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    It's not unusual...to have a long, dry stretch of time in Autumn. The top 10 driest stretches (no measurable precipitation) for Harrisburg (#1 is 35 days) and Williamsport (36 days):
    May be an image of blueprint and text
    MDT's 24 day in Oct 2024 stretch was broken on Nov 1st with just 0.01". It then wasn't until the 10th of Nov that more than a T occurred there (0.20").
    • Like 1

    Central PA Autumn 2026

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    13 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

    Lol, I’ve been around on here a little bit during the offseason!

    I really don’t do outlooks or predictions of my own, but I do read the upcoming Winter thoughts of pro forecasters & respected posters from the various regional forums on this website.

    The main theme with this strong El Niño appears to generally show that above normal average temperatures are likely for December & possibly average above normal throughout the Winter. 

    In terms of snow, there should be a greater chance of high impact coastal storms. Of course, the unknown is if we can time up some periods of at least normal seasonal cold, especially during the heart of Winter from mid January to mid February.

    The hope for snow lovers is that we can time up an active subtropical jet with some periods of blocking with it being just cold enough. 

    The 1 historic storm & done type of Winter is on the table as well, such as 2016 or 1983.

    Maybe we get lucky with extended periods of blocking, with several chances, such as 09-10 ?

    Maybe it’s just too warm for much snow, such as the Winters of 97-98 or 19-20 ?

    Hopefully we will have a chance of at least 1 block buster snowstorm in the heart of Winter!

    Either way, I look forward to tracking it all with you guys on here again this season!

    I'm looking forward to your input on a potential storm this winter. 

    • Like 1
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