mahantango#1
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Posts posted by mahantango#1
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I don't want to go into too much right now because I am looking at the tropical cyclone and Gathering other seasonal data/ trends but once we get past December the idea of a mild and wet winter from JAN 7- MARCH 20 across the eastern US is looking less and less likely.
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Edited
Some of you may recall all last autumn the winter 2025-26 forecast from Climate Prediction Center as well as the the general consensus forecast for a mild winter. WxRisk was the only one (that I know) who argued that the winter would be close to normal overall and at times severe.Sometimes consensus is correct. Being contradictory for its own sake is stupid. Cynicism is not the same thing as skepticism.. But I am beginning to see some Clues…-
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35 this morning, Didn't see any frost.
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37 for the low here. Didn't see any frost.
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Unfortunately it's that time of the year.
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 1233 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026 PAZ004-012-017>019-024-033-037-041-042-045-052000- /O.NEW.KCTP.FR.Y.0010.261006T0500Z-261006T1300Z/ Warren-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Somerset-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton- Including the cities of Somerset, Trout Run, Laporte, Warren, DuBois, Renovo, Mansfield, Lock Haven, Johnstown, Wellsboro, Clearfield, State College, and Philipsburg 1233 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...Temperatures as low as 35 degrees will result in frost formation. * WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 9 AM EDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Frost could harm or kill sensitive outdoor vegetation. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Those with agricultural interests should protect sensitive vegetation. Near-ground freezing temperatures could kill uncovered sensitive outdoor vegetation. The latest forecast information can be found on the NWS State College Facebook page and Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or on the web at weather.gov/ctp.
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Check out the record high for today.
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Old Weather Saying: “A warm October, a cold February.”
For generations, folks have looked to October’s weather for hints about the winter ahead. Does a mild, beautiful October really mean February will come roaring in with bitter cold?
Time will tell—but that’s part of the fun of old weather lore.
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8 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:
They might give up 500 yards just in rushing yards tonight.
I can't believe what I'm watching.
It was awful to say the least!
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48 this morning.
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OCTOBER PREVIEW2026 is flying by as we begin the final 3 months of the year! As we continue to lose daylight and the colder weather prepares to move in, here is a look at the average number for October.Our average high temperature will drop from 72° in the beginning of the month to 60° by Halloween. At night, we say goodbye to the 50s and drop to the low 40s.For precipitation, we usually receive about 3.81" of rainfall. October also begins our series of average snowfall totals. On average, we receive 0.2" of snow in October. Don't get too excited snow-lovers, the last time we had measurable snowfall in the month of October was on October 29, 2011 during the Halloween nor'easter. The average first measurable snowfall for a majority of the Susquehanna Valley isn't until around or after Thanksgiving.Below are the temperature and precipitation outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center. These maps show where the pattern favors above or below average temperatures & precipitation. Both maps give south central Pennsylvania an equal chance for either outcome, meaning the overall pattern doesn't lean one way or the other. Overall, a "typical" October is expected in both categories.
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84 for the high today.
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2 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:
I think it's probably a good bet that winter will average out AN. Certainly warmer than last winter was, unfortunately.
Hopefully we can time up the southern jet stream with temps "just cold enough" to bury us in white gold at some point.
Also - we still have a hummingbird in our back yard!!!
That's what I'm afraid of lots of heavy wet snow this winter with borderline temps. Just wow you still have a hummingbird around, I didn't see one since the 24th of September here.
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Let's see what actually transpires with this upcoming winter, since September was warmer than normal.
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September featured warm and wet conditions across much of Central PA.
Above average warmth was largely driven by very mild nighttime temperatures.
Measurable rainfall was recorded on nearly half of the days in the month.
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2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:
I am looking forward to tracking the first frost/freeze!
I just got 3.7 ton of coal on Saturday @$220.00 a ton plus delivery from wifes brother in-law. Just have to clean furnace yet an replace stove pipe of my Harmon VF 3000 stoker boiler. Furnace is 37 years old, and still going strong. So I'm partially ready.
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Quick turnaround to summerlike warmth to end September and start OctoberShowers expected Friday with cooler weekend forecast trending drierIncreasing confidence in frost/freeze risk early next week
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Soggy September Soaker!September 2026 (MTD) precipitation rankings (no rain expected for the last 2 days of Sept.)Williamsport: 11th wettest (6.84")Harrisburg: 26th wettest (4.72")Altoona: 9th wettest (5.58")Bradford: 10th wettest (4.85")Johnstown: 3rd wettest (7.31") *since 2000State College: 6th wettest (7.90")
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46 minutes ago, Voyager said:
When the hell is this freaking drizzle going to end?
It been off and on all damn day.
Just dismal clouds here.
Central PA Autumn 2026
in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Posted
Even 27 is calling for less than .50