mahantango#1

17 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Well, I certainly did NOT expect 1.83" of rain from "round one", but that what I got in my backyard. With that said, I wonder if it stabilized the air mass enough that it thwarts our chances here for potential severe later on. It seems as if the focus is on points southeast as of now.

Man, your cashing in on the rainfall.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 492 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT

FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

PAC001-003-005-007-009-013-019-021-023-027-031-033-035-037-039-

041-043-047-049-051-053-055-057-059-061-063-065-067-071-073-075-

081-083-085-087-093-097-099-105-107-109-111-113-117-119-121-123-

125-129-133-190100-

/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0492.260718T1700Z-260719T0100Z/

PA

. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG

BEAVER BEDFORD BLAIR

BUTLER CAMBRIA CAMERON

CENTRE CLARION CLEARFIELD

CLINTON COLUMBIA CRAWFORD

CUMBERLAND DAUPHIN ELK

ERIE FAYETTE FOREST

FRANKLIN FULTON GREENE

HUNTINGDON INDIANA JEFFERSON

JUNIATA LANCASTER LAWRENCE

LEBANON LYCOMING MCKEAN

MERCER MIFFLIN MONTOUR

NORTHUMBERLAND PERRY POTTER

SCHUYLKILL SNYDER SOMERSET

SULLIVAN TIOGA UNION

VENANGO WARREN WASHINGTON

WESTMORELAND YORK

$$

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 492

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

100 PM EDT SAT JUL 18 2026

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 492 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT

FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

WVC009-029-049-051-061-069-077-103-190100-

/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0492.260718T1700Z-260719T0100Z/

WV

. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BROOKE HANCOCK MARION

MARSHALL MONONGALIA OHIO

PRESTON WETZEL

$$

.44 from this morning thunderstorms 

.DISCUSSION...

KEY MESSAGE 1: Severe thunderstorms with damaging winds and heavy rainfall are possible from mid-day into late evening. Tornadoes also possible. SPC has kept the Enhanced risk of severe weather expectation for all of Central PA today. They have also added a special (conditional intensity group or CIG) hatching to SErn PA (including areas S & E of Harrisburg. The CIG designation means that tornadoes that do develop in that area could be stronger than just EF0/1. A reasonable maximum intensity of EF2-strength tornadoes is possible today - again, mainly in SE PA. Early showers and even a thunderstorm or two will occur near/along a pair of warm fronts moving north and east through the area this morning and early afternoon. The vort max moving into western PA at 07Z is expected to continue to touch off showers this morning. Some lightning is possible, mainly across the S. There should not be a threat for severe weather until at least late this morning after we can get the clouds and showers away and get some heating/pump up the CAPE. The timing of that vort max and the SHRA/TSRA it helps generate look like they will be early enough in the day that ample heating should then occur as the main warm front pushes into the srn counties and across the CWA late this morning and early this afternoon. As the CAPEs climb, and the wind profiles/hodographs become rounded, the risk for deep convection that would also take advantage of the high helicity to produce supercells increases. This convection could start a couple hours earlier than climatologically-favored timing...more like a noon kickoff than early- to mid-aftn. The risk for discrete, spinning cells is highest over the Lower Susq, but is possible anywhere across the CWA with the warm front(s) and varied boundaries from earlier rain and differential heating playing roles to make the near storm llvl/blyr environment favorable. 70F+ dewpoints will arrive in the S with the first warm front, and the LCLs should be low and favorable for tornado development. The Sig Tor Parameter (STP) is highest over the SE, esp in Lancaster Co. Lower (l-m60s) dewpoints hang on across the N for much of the day. The NW will have the next-best chance for severe storms to develop. However, the increasing moisture and moderate-high shear and moderate-high CAPEs will mean we`ll have to watch all of the CWA for storm initiation in early and mid afternoon. These could also be supercells away from the SE - at least early in the event. The wind profile becomes more-aligned/straight hodographs that would be more favorable for storm clusters or a broken line, esp if a pre-frontal trough materializes.

52 minutes ago, Superstorm said:

452 near Middletown. Brutal.

Within the last half hour the thicker smoke showed up here, and you can smell it.

22 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

My wife and I at last night's MLB all star game:

Didn't coach ask you to suit up?

37 minutes ago, Voyager said:

A little cooler here this morning at 69 degrees. We got 0.05" of rain from the storms that missed to the east yesterday afternoon. Despite that, the high was 95. 

96 here yesterday with a dp of 79 seen a heat index at times of 112

US National Weather Service State College PA 

Favorites ·sotpSrndoeaihc7u709m917g0gg799hl62f2af7c18c8u16a1h5h52aulg54 ·

 

https://www.facebook.com/100064725904699/videos/pcb.1458510112983172/1665007804603396

2 hours ago, canderson said:

91 here for the high it appears  

92 for the high here.

1 hour ago, Voyager said:

Starting to notice the smoke in the Tamaqua area today already.

Is Willie Nelson and Snoop Dog around your area?

The latest information has a band of thick smoke moving into our area Wednesday afternoon. If this pans out, I wouldn't be surprised to see Air Quality Alerts issued. People with respiratory problems will want to watch this closely. www.fox56.com/weather

10 minutes ago, Voyager said:

I was jut going to ask about this. Caught me off guard...

Wednesday

Patchy smoke before 11am, then patchy smoke after 5pm. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 94. West wind 7 to 10 mph.

Wednesday Night

Widespread smoke, mainly between 8pm and 9pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Light northwest wind.

3 hours ago, canderson said:

Heat advisories up for Tuesday - not sure why they didn’t automatically extend through Wednesday. . 

It's the element of surprise. Just like winter snowstorms you go to bed feeling confident that NWS has an advisory out for 1 to 3 in of snow tomorrow. But you wake up tomorrow morning and it's a winter storm warning for 10 to 14 inches.

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service State College PA
204 AM EDT Mon Jul 13 2026

PAZ004>006-010>012-018-019-027-028-037-041-042-045-046-049>053-
056>059-140700-
/O.NEW.KCTP.HT.Y.0004.260714T1500Z-260715T0000Z/
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Northern Centre-
Southern Centre-Mifflin-Juniata-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-
Including the cities of St. Marys, Laporte, Emporium, Wellsboro,
Pottsville, Warren, Berwick, Hershey, Shamokin, Ridgway,
Lewistown, Mansfield, Trout Run, Danville, Mifflintown, Sunbury,
Lock Haven, Williamsport, Harrisburg, Lebanon, Renovo,
Selinsgrove, Bloomsburg, State College, Philipsburg, Lewisburg,
Coudersport, Newport, and Bradford
204 AM EDT Mon Jul 13 2026

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EDT TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Heat index values of 96 to 103 degrees expected.

* WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania.

* WHEN...From 11 AM to 8 PM EDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat
  illnesses.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The Heat Advisory may need to be extended
  into Wednesday for a portion of central Pennsylvania as another
  hot day is looking increasingly likely.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Drink plenty of fluids, stay out of the sun, and stay in an
air-conditioned room.

Check up on relatives and neighbors, and provide pets with adequate
water and shelter from the sun.

Know the signs and symptoms of heat exhaustion and heat stroke.
Review heat safety and preparedness information at
weather.gov/safety/heat.

If you do not have air conditioning in your home or lack shelter,
you can call 211 or visit pa211.org for assistance locating
appropriate shelter from the heat.

&&

$$

9 minutes ago, Yardstickgozinya said:

Has anyone heard any annual cicadas yet his year ? Last year was a very weak year for them in my area, and this year doesn't seem like it'll fare any better. I thought the rain would help some emerge, but still nothing.  

Just heard some today.