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mahantango#1

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Posts posted by mahantango#1

  1. 1 hour ago, Yardstickgozinya said:

     

    @Voyager might have been on to something with his post the other day. I'm hearing whispers of a strong El Nino. If that were to verify ( location dependent) it could be the back door until next spring If you get what i'm saying.  In all seriousness though, come later this spring and summer the bdf will be welcome and offer something for everyone. 

    From our great friend DT: Each new recycle of the monthly Climate models that come out continue to show a stronger and stronger El Nino event developing this summer and lasting for at least a year. This graph is from the April 1st European climate model which just came out today April 5. The European climate model consists of 100 different members and 95 of the 100 are in the Super El Nino category.

     

    A "SUPER" El Nino is only happened three times since 1945: the events of -- 1982-83 1997-98 2015-16. So in one sense we are kind of due for a strong El Nino event. But really has been the debate among meteorologists and climatologists for the past 60 days - will this upcoming El Nino event be a STRONG El Nono or very strong/ SUPER El Nino event?

     

    This has significant implications locations around the globe especially when it's this strong.. it probably means that 

     

    1 There is going to be a severe possibly historic drought in Indonesia 

    2 There is likely to be major or historic drought in the Amazon basin. Obviously this has significant implications for Farming the food supply and for commodity grain Traders. 

    3 a wet and cool summer in the eastern US 

    4 Drought for Europe 

    5 Weaker than normal Indian monsoon -- possibly much below normal.  

    6 Expect damaging flooding rains and historic storms on the west coast next winter,

    7 mild winter across the East Coast and the Midwest.

    8 below and / or much below normal hurricane season

    • Like 1
  2. Pennsylvanians really only have two modes, and neither of them is “this weather is nice.” We are either standing in 19-degree wind saying, “I can’t take this cold anymore,” or standing in 82 degrees with 40% humidity saying, “This is disgusting.” There is no middle ground. A 64-degree sunny day lasts about eleven minutes here before somebody says it’s either “still a little chilly in the shade” or “getting a little muggy.” We spend all winter begging for summer, all summer begging for fall, all fall pretending we’re not about to complain about winter again, and then the second it hits 50 in March, somebody’s in cargo shorts at Sheetz acting like we made it.

    May be an image of ‎text that says '‎??؟ bò COMPLAIN ABOUT COLD COMPLAIN ABOUT HEAT‎'‎

    • Like 3
    • 100% 1
  3. Hazardous Weather Outlook
    National Weather Service State College PA
    603 AM EDT Sat Apr 4 2026
    
    PAZ012-018-019-024>028-033>036-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-
    063>066-051015-
    Northern Clinton-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-
    Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-
    Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-
    Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-
    Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
    603 AM EDT Sat Apr 4 2026
    
    This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.
    
    .DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
    
    Strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds are possible this
    afternoon, and again later tonight.
    
    .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.
    
    The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.
    
    .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
    
    Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

    May be an image of map and text that says 'Highlighted Area: NWS State College, PA Severe Weather Outlook Saturday, April 04, 2026 Last Updated: Apr 04 2026 1259 Valid 05 2026 0700 Bradford o CDT CDT DuBois Lock Haven Williamsport State College Altoona Johnstown O Harrisburg nORA York Gettysburg Lancaster E0 የማያፊነም! COVEeRA National Weather Service Storm tormPredictionCent Prediction Center https://www.spc.nona.gov 3 5 High Risk Moderate Risk Enhanced| Risk Slight Risk Risk Thunderstorms'

  4. 34 minutes ago, Voyager said:

    Not sure what happened, but CTP made a major correction overnight.

    Maybe mahantango's exorcism gif did the trick...

    Wednesday Night
    Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
    Thursday
    A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
    Thursday Night
    Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
    Friday
    Showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 56. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
    Friday Night
    Showers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 46. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
    Saturday
    A chance of showers. Cloudy, with a high near 61. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Now an exorcism should be done to correct the Tamaqua split.

    • Haha 2
  5.  
    This current cold shot is probably the last REAL cold blast until late autumn.
    Now for the obtuse people in the back row you need to read that first sentence again carefully.
    yes of course between now and June 1 we are going to have cold fronts and cold or cool air masses. Obviously that is the case.
    What I am talking about in the first sentence are these cold blasts which knock us back down to the 20s at night and 40s to near 50 during the day. .
    All the data shows there is going to be a significant Ridge in the jet stream (sometimes extremely strong Ridge) that will be situated on the East Coast covering the eastern third of the country between now and April 15th. Any cold wants to come through will be weak and have no will push behind them.
    THAT BEING SAID REMEMBER SOIL TEMPS STILL HAVE TO WARM !!
    The old guideline zof waiting until aat least EASTER and preferably tax day...s till holds.
  6. 7 hours ago, Voyager said:

    Sweet mother of God. It just won't end...

    Wednesday Night
    Rain showers likely before 2am, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
    Thursday
    A chance of rain and snow showers before 2pm, then a chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
    Thursday Night
    Rain showers, snow showers, and freezing rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
    Friday
    Rain showers, snow showers, and freezing rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    exorcism-father-mulvehill.gif

    • Haha 1
  7. Andrea Michaels FOX43 PA’s latest Drought Monitor Update was released earlier this morning, with some notable improvements for portions of the Commonwealth!
    Northeast PA saw the most improvement—going from D0 (Abnormally Dry) conditions to nothing! This includes much of the Endless Mountains, the northern Poconos, and part of the Wyoming Valley.
    Some of the Middle Susquehanna River area saw improvements from D1 (Moderate Drought) to D0. This includes portions of Centre, Clinton, Snyder, Northumberland, and Union counties.
    Not much change unfortunately for South Central PA, but we’ve got some decent rain coming tonight! And there will be more opportunities next week too for needed rain. As long as this keeps up, we’ll get there. Patience is key. Climate conditions like this take time to fix if you’re not getting a single, big rain event.
    May be an image of map and text that says 'DROUGHT MONITOR UPDATE THURSDAY 03-26-2026 DROUGHT GONE!! SOME IMPROVEMENT Intensity None DO (Abnormally Dry) D1 1 (Moderate Drought) D2 moa (Severe Drought) D3 D3 (Extreme Drought) D4 (Exceptional Drought) No Data'
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