mahantango#1
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Posts posted by mahantango#1
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PA is leading neighboring states in tornadoesNot exactly where we want to be leading the pack, but so far, we’ve have 20 confirmed tornadoes in 2026. All 20 of those were this month (June), with more than a dozen of these happening two Sundays ago with the severe weather outbreak on the 14th.Most of these tornadoes have occurred along the western half of the state, but you’ll recall one of them was confirmed in Lancaster County last week.I’d also like to include that these numbers came from the SPC’s records. There were a few tornado warnings yesterday, so it’s possible that this number changes slightly in the days to come if any storm surveys are performed. I made this graphic and scheduled it earlier in the day, so I think that disclaimer is important, but it still doesn’t change where we stand.
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11 minutes ago, Voyager said:
0.92" between yesterday and today. I actually got more today (.49") than yesterday (.43").
No rain here since last evening. I guess the snook holds special powers to get rain.
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MESSAGE 2: Increasing heat risk to end June and start July
A major pattern change over the Pacific Northwest and
Intermountain West this weekend will likely result in a
downstream upper ridge developing over the eastern U.S. by early
next week. Blended ensemble guidance driving the prototype
probabilistic heatrisk is confirming the signal for a building
to potentially prolonged heatwave to end June and start July.
CPC has placed a 20-40% slight risk of extreme heat over CPA
from 6/30-7/6 with higher chances in the 40-60% range in
southeast PA. High humidity and temperatures (highs in the 90s
with heat index values possibly reaching 100F) will greatly
increase the risk of heat-related illness.
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A Message from the OrchardOn the morning of April 20, our orchard was hit by a severe spring freeze during a critical stage of bloom and fruit development. Temperatures fell to damaging levels for several hours, resulting in one of the most significant freeze events our orchard has experienced in recent years.We know many of you have been wondering how the crop fared and why we have not provided an update until now. The simple answer is that we didn’t know. Freeze damage is not always immediately apparent, and fruit trees can continue to shed damaged fruit for weeks after an event like this. We felt it was important to wait until we had a clearer picture of what survived before sharing information with our customers.We were also hoping for a better outcome. As the weeks passed, we continued to find additional losses and watched fruit that initially appeared healthy fail to develop. While we knew early on that the freeze had caused damage, the full extent of the losses took time to become clear.Based on what we are seeing today, we expect:• Cherries: complete crop loss• Peaches: approximately 10% of a normal crop• Plums: approximately 10% of a normal crop• Pears: approximately 20% of a normal crop• Apples: approximately 65% of a normal cropWe are thankful to still have an apple crop, but many varieties will be in shorter supply than usual, and some fruits may be unavailable or available only briefly this season.This is not the update we hoped to share. Like every grower, we invest a tremendous amount of time, work, and optimism into each crop long before the first fruit is harvested. Seeing so much of it lost to a single night of weather is difficult. Even so, farming has always required resilience, and our focus now is on caring for the crop that remains and making the most of this season.We are deeply grateful for the support our customers have shown our family and our orchard over the years. Your encouragement and loyalty mean more than ever in seasons like this. We look forward to serving you this year as always will continue to share updates as harvest approaches.Check out this video, "wnep news farmers market"
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Nice rain yesterday in multiple segments .50, was much needed.
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25 minutes ago, Voyager said:
No doubt. Previous deficits, coupled with the lack of current rainfall, should pop them at some point. I know this is out of our forum, but once you get over the Blue Mountain into northern Lehigh County, there are some serious brown lawns, and the Jordan Creek in the New Tripoli area is about as low as I've ever seen it.
Somehow, up here, we've done a little better, and have been a bit wetter.
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SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 375
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
210 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2026
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 375 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS
PAC001-011-017-029-041-043-045-055-057-061-067-071-075-087-091-
099-101-133-230100-
/O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0375.260622T1810Z-260623T0100Z/
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BERKS BUCKS
CHESTER CUMBERLAND DAUPHIN
DELAWARE FRANKLIN FULTON
HUNTINGDON JUNIATA LANCASTER
LEBANON MIFFLIN MONTGOMERY
PERRY PHILADELPHIA YORK
$$
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Seen this at the theater in Wilkes Barre when it came out, and got the dvd...well worth seeing excellent! Agnes Flood Documentary Project
On this date in 1972 - June 21 - torrential rains were hitting the Wyoming Valley. "Agnes" was here. Two days later, the people of the Wyoming Valley experienced what, to this day, is simply referred to as "The Flood." It was the worst natural disaster in U.S. history. On Wednesday June 24, the story of those days, and the weeks and months that followed, will be told when "Agnes" returns to the big screen at the F.M. Kirby Center. Showtimes are 1 p.m. and 7 p.m. Tickets will be available at the box office at showtime, or can be purchased in advance by visiting www.kirbycenter.orgor by calling (570) 826-1100.
https://www.facebook.com/reel/963239149844407
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2 hours ago, canderson said:
.1” last night. So lucky.
In shocking news Monday’s rain is headed south.
I'm glad I have my irrigation pump set up to pump water out of the creek for my garden. I watered Friday and yesterday morning.
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Sun - June 21, 2026 @ 6 AM EDT: We'll have pleasant weather to end the holiday weekend with comfortably warm temperatures, low humidity and plenty of sun. Humidity will significantly increase late tonight and Monday as a strong southerly flow develops ahead of low pressure headed our way from the Midwest. In additional to periods of steady rain, the risk for severe thunderstorms will develop across the Southeastern half of the state. There will also be a tornado threat with the stronger storms. A more southern track to the area of low pressure would decrease the region where severe thunderstorms are possible.
![May be an image of map and text that says 'HREF MN[Stc-500 shear] (kt) Most uristable CAPE (J/kgi shaded) ensemble NOAAN NOAA/NWSStorm SStorm Prediction Center an MAX[1-h2-5 UHJ-75 PM EDT Monday- June 22, 2026 Run: Sun 2026- -06-21 2026-06-21 80:0០ 0: Tc Valid: Mon 2026-06-22 2026-0 20:00 TC Scattered Thunderstorms possible Monday afternoon cross the southeastern halfo with atornado threatin the area where the best combination flow-levelwine low-le velwind shear (green (greenshading) shading) and| instability(l (light blue shading) will 100 500 50 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 4000 5000 7000 9060 rediletion Storre Canter'](https://scontent-iad6-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t39.99422-6/728607557_1375866274355904_1905347761891603926_n.png?stp=dst-jpg_tt6&cstp=mx1280x720&ctp=s1280x720&_nc_cat=107&ccb=1-7&_nc_sid=127cfc&_nc_ohc=mrt74BUr_rMQ7kNvwH5hMC_&_nc_oc=Adr7Xu6iQbqrP82S2DUxk65HEkeXUKlHevqwj_sXkjjzs2HpGhTY_1vGaKQ3F3KS_pk&_nc_zt=14&_nc_ht=scontent-iad6-1.xx&_nc_gid=a6VHlOfi2RQT6xmuGY2Jfw&_nc_ss=7b2a8&oh=00_Af_CV6OJ-VE0UFu3PSDuAyQO5O3ZpToo_AaBiWjpqrqnZQ&oe=6A3D8BDA)
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.04 rain today.
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1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said:
Next week the amount of daylight starts to dwindle. The countdown to winter commences!
Your gonna awaken the "Blizz" with such dreadful language. Let us get through summer first.
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KEY MESSAGE 2: Widespread rain on Monday A wet start to the work week with widespread rain expected on Monday. The heaviest rainfall is most likely between 2AM and 8PM with totals in the 0.75-1.50" range. Current probs off the latest ensembles and National Blend indicate 50-80% probs for >1" across most of CPA. Flooding risk is marginal to low with greatest risk likely confined to urban areas where locally heavy or repeat downpours could cause some isolated runoff issues. Rain tapers off/ends Monday night with dry weather returning on Tuesday.
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After some big temperature swings over the past 5 weeks, we see minimal big heat for Pennsylvania through mid-July. We also see regular opportunities for rainfall (every few days) during this period
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Maybe there is hope for rain. But usually as the time gets closer the amounts go down. So we'll see what happens.
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Just a few drop of rain here this morning.
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From the looks on the radar, looks like i'll be missing out on the rain today. My June rainfall total for the month is .98. We need some beneficial rain very soon.
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4 hours ago, canderson said:
We probably won’t even get rain tomorrow but it’ll be very windy
I presume we will get a wind report from the 'burg
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This is from a weathersite on Facebook: 11 CONFIRMED TORNADOES IN PENNSYLVANIA
Apologies for any wrong/outdated information, as the tornado reports aren't consistent between the SPC/NWS sites, but here is what I found on the 11 reported tornadoes from the severe weather outbreak on Sunday, June 14th. There may be more tornadoes confirmed and/or ratings adjusted as the surveys continue into today.
The National Weather Service has confirmed 11 tornadoes across Pennsylvania so far, including 7 EF1 tornadoes, 3 EF0 tornadoes, and 1 tornado still awaiting a final damage survey rating.
Confirmed tornadoes occurred in parts of Crawford, Warren, Potter, Jefferson, Clinton, Butler, Beaver, and Lancaster Counties.
Blooming Valley — EF1
Grand Valley — EF1
Homer Township — EF0
Big Run — EF1
Pine Glen — EF1
WSW of West Liberty — EF1
ESE of West Liberty — EF0
West Mayfield — EF0
Cannelton (touchdown in OH, moved into PA) — EF1
Kirkwood — EF1
Worthville — EF Rating TBD
Stay tuned for updates!
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Posted
From Facebook: ** RING OF FIRE PATTERN **
Who's ready for the 'ring of fire' pattern next week? A large heat dome will set up in the Ohio Valley, bringing in the high heat and humidity. Even though we will be on the edge of this heat, we will still have temperatures and humidity levels push well above average, with dew points likely into the 70s (oppressive) range. Depending on the exact position of this high-pressure system, we may also be in the axis for storm clusters to move around this ridge of high pressure, which gives this the name 'ring of fire'. These storm clusters will need to be watched, as they will be moving into areas of very high instability and elevated wind shear. It is possible that if this ridge expands, it would push the storm complexes more into New England than into Pennsylvania. Regardless, next week will be rather active between the heat and storm potential! #PAwx #Pennsylvania #June #July #Summer #HeatDome