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Posts posted by mahantango#1
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1 hour ago, Yardstickgozinya said:
@Voyager might have been on to something with his post the other day. I'm hearing whispers of a strong El Nino. If that were to verify ( location dependent) it could be the back door until next spring If you get what i'm saying. In all seriousness though, come later this spring and summer the bdf will be welcome and offer something for everyone.
From our great friend DT: Each new recycle of the monthly Climate models that come out continue to show a stronger and stronger El Nino event developing this summer and lasting for at least a year. This graph is from the April 1st European climate model which just came out today April 5. The European climate model consists of 100 different members and 95 of the 100 are in the Super El Nino category.
A "SUPER" El Nino is only happened three times since 1945: the events of -- 1982-83 1997-98 2015-16. So in one sense we are kind of due for a strong El Nino event. But really has been the debate among meteorologists and climatologists for the past 60 days - will this upcoming El Nino event be a STRONG El Nono or very strong/ SUPER El Nino event?
This has significant implications locations around the globe especially when it's this strong.. it probably means that
1 There is going to be a severe possibly historic drought in Indonesia
2 There is likely to be major or historic drought in the Amazon basin. Obviously this has significant implications for Farming the food supply and for commodity grain Traders.
3 a wet and cool summer in the eastern US
4 Drought for Europe
5 Weaker than normal Indian monsoon -- possibly much below normal.
6 Expect damaging flooding rains and historic storms on the west coast next winter,
7 mild winter across the East Coast and the Midwest.
8 below and / or much below normal hurricane season
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.45 rain from this mornings event. I wasn't expecting that much, I thought maybe I'd get 2 tenths. But it is needed as we enter the growing season.
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Pennsylvanians really only have two modes, and neither of them is “this weather is nice.” We are either standing in 19-degree wind saying, “I can’t take this cold anymore,” or standing in 82 degrees with 40% humidity saying, “This is disgusting.” There is no middle ground. A 64-degree sunny day lasts about eleven minutes here before somebody says it’s either “still a little chilly in the shade” or “getting a little muggy.” We spend all winter begging for summer, all summer begging for fall, all fall pretending we’re not about to complain about winter again, and then the second it hits 50 in March, somebody’s in cargo shorts at Sheetz acting like we made it.

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1 hour ago, Voyager said:
I really can't wait for backdoor cold front season to end.

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85 was the high here with a 66 dp. Another splendid day!
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Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 603 AM EDT Sat Apr 4 2026 PAZ012-018-019-024>028-033>036-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059- 063>066-051015- Northern Clinton-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair- Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin- Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union- Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill- Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- 603 AM EDT Sat Apr 4 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Strong to severe thunderstorms with gusty winds are possible this afternoon, and again later tonight. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

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NWS really cut back the precipitation amounts for today and tomorrow.
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So much for the 70's today. My High was 66.
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.04 rain yesterday morning. A little drizzle this morning and 47.
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The sun was out at 5pm and temperature was 74 so I ate supper I went back outside and temperatures was 62 now it's 58. What a unexpected change.
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82 was my high today.
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6 minutes ago, Voyager said:
23 here. My tulips are toast. Too many frosty mornings since they first popped out of the ground.
25 was my low.
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34 minutes ago, Voyager said:
Not sure what happened, but CTP made a major correction overnight.
Maybe mahantango's exorcism gif did the trick...
Wednesday NightShowers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 44. Chance of precipitation is 60%.ThursdayA chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 55. Chance of precipitation is 50%.Thursday NightShowers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 40. Chance of precipitation is 60%.FridayShowers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 56. Chance of precipitation is 60%.Friday NightShowers likely. Cloudy, with a low around 46. Chance of precipitation is 60%.SaturdayA chance of showers. Cloudy, with a high near 61. Chance of precipitation is 50%.Now an exorcism should be done to correct the Tamaqua split.
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This current cold shot is probably the last REAL cold blast until late autumn.Now for the obtuse people in the back row you need to read that first sentence again carefully.yes of course between now and June 1 we are going to have cold fronts and cold or cool air masses. Obviously that is the case.What I am talking about in the first sentence are these cold blasts which knock us back down to the 20s at night and 40s to near 50 during the day. .All the data shows there is going to be a significant Ridge in the jet stream (sometimes extremely strong Ridge) that will be situated on the East Coast covering the eastern third of the country between now and April 15th. Any cold wants to come through will be weak and have no will push behind them.THAT BEING SAID REMEMBER SOIL TEMPS STILL HAVE TO WARM !!The old guideline zof waiting until aat least EASTER and preferably tax day...s till holds.
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7 hours ago, Voyager said:
Sweet mother of God. It just won't end...
Wednesday NightRain showers likely before 2am, then a chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Chance of precipitation is 60%.ThursdayA chance of rain and snow showers before 2pm, then a chance of rain showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47. Chance of precipitation is 50%.Thursday NightRain showers, snow showers, and freezing rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35. Chance of precipitation is 70%.FridayRain showers, snow showers, and freezing rain likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 47. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
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25 this morning.
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7 hours ago, canderson said:
Whatever happened to that radar in Lancaster county?
My son checked into this last year, I think my son said for the most part it's for the university. But if you have $$$ you can have access to it.
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The creek by my place is running normal for this time of year.

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12 minutes ago, pawatch said:
Picked up .67” off the storms. 45 degrees this morning and windy.
Not really sure I’m in agreement with the drought map.
It definitely has been wet here this month.
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0.50 inDay0.69 inEvent1.55 inWeek6.48 inMonth8.33 inYearWell I'm over the 6 inch mark for rainfall for March,.
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Andrea Michaels FOX43 PA’s latest Drought Monitor Update was released earlier this morning, with some notable improvements for portions of the Commonwealth!Northeast PA saw the most improvement—going from D0 (Abnormally Dry) conditions to nothing! This includes much of the Endless Mountains, the northern Poconos, and part of the Wyoming Valley.Some of the Middle Susquehanna River area saw improvements from D1 (Moderate Drought) to D0. This includes portions of Centre, Clinton, Snyder, Northumberland, and Union counties.Not much change unfortunately for South Central PA, but we’ve got some decent rain coming tonight! And there will be more opportunities next week too for needed rain. As long as this keeps up, we’ll get there. Patience is key. Climate conditions like this take time to fix if you’re not getting a single, big rain event.

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78 was the high here today.
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Another stellar day so far, while we wait for potential thunderstorms later.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Posted
Totally worth it!