mahantango#1

8 degrees this morning.

The warm up later this week seems the NWS shaved off 5 degrees from 51 to 46 on Thursday. Seems like it's not be to outrageously warm now. And the highs on Friday and Saturday look to maybe staying in the 30s. at least for my area.

On to the next storm threat!

Total snow here 1.5"

12 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Lol, you can’t make this stuff up. Dauphin county was Advised at 3:35 am. I’m sure that really helped to alert the public in the Capital region…

Winter Weather Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service State College PA
335 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025

PAZ057-141300-
/O.EXA.KCTP.WW.Y.0025.000000T0000Z-251214T1300Z/
Dauphin-
Including the cities of Harrisburg and Hershey
335 AM EST Sun Dec 14 2025

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Snow. Total snow accumulations 2 to 4 inches.

* WHERE...Dauphin County.

* WHEN...Until 8 AM EST this morning.

 

Late to the party as usual. 

Got about an inch so far here.

Pixie dust snow here.

Light snow here. Everything covered, no melting 30 degrees

One thing is certain. My high was supposed to be 39 currently it's 33 so they missed it by 6 degrees.

Just now, AccuChris said:

Me and the HRRR


.

Your not hugging Timmy?

23 minutes ago, Voyager said:

CTP busted high with my forecast low. They said 16. At 3:00am I dropped down to 10.8

Me too, 19 here now, but last night it got down to 13 here 

I guess I'm in for a dusting of snow tomorrow night.

20 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Honestly, I think only two of us will enjoy the warmer weather...lol

I wonder who those 2 are?

Just how long and strong will this advertised warm up last? Will it get cut off at the pass or will we all enjoy warmer weather? Does this also mean there won't be any frozen precipitation events either?

51 minutes ago, AccuChris said:

At least for my area it was pretty spot on


.

I know some people criticize that model, but other ones have problems too. But maybe we should ride the NAM till the wheels fall off.

12 minutes ago, AccuChris said:

12z NAM shows a nice event Sunday morning


.

Was the NAM right with last week's Tuesday snowfall?

22 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

6z Euro still looks good for 1 to 3 inches snow chance on Sunday am for the LSV.

Seems with each run it keeps slipping away.

Took this pic yesterday afternoon when it was snowing. The creek is freezing over. Imperssive for this time of year.

All surfaces coated here from snow. No rain here temp. 33.

JB this morning:

While the MJO is shown in the charts to be in the null phase. The current way we get there is has a strong vv pulse coming through the Indian Ocean that is associated with phases 3/4. and those are very warm in December. 

And this looks correct to me. But its coming and going fast and that cold is building in Canada. It collapses and in the 10-15 we are back to a phase 8/1 look. 

So I would expect a rapid response back the other way after that

So I think Paul Roundy has a good idea here and after I got a chance to look, I agree with his assessment

1 minute ago, Voyager said:

I wish. Many say we don't do snowstorms and winter like we used to. There is truth to that, but we also don't do heat waves like we used to either.

Truth, somewhere along the way it all went wrong.