mahantango#1

13 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Lol, I’ve been around on here a little bit during the offseason!

I really don’t do outlooks or predictions of my own, but I do read the upcoming Winter thoughts of pro forecasters & respected posters from the various regional forums on this website.

The main theme with this strong El Niño appears to generally show that above normal average temperatures are likely for December & possibly average above normal throughout the Winter. 

In terms of snow, there should be a greater chance of high impact coastal storms. Of course, the unknown is if we can time up some periods of at least normal seasonal cold, especially during the heart of Winter from mid January to mid February.

The hope for snow lovers is that we can time up an active subtropical jet with some periods of blocking with it being just cold enough. 

The 1 historic storm & done type of Winter is on the table as well, such as 2016 or 1983.

Maybe we get lucky with extended periods of blocking, with several chances, such as 09-10 ?

Maybe it’s just too warm for much snow, such as the Winters of 97-98 or 19-20 ?

Hopefully we will have a chance of at least 1 block buster snowstorm in the heart of Winter!

Either way, I look forward to tracking it all with you guys on here again this season!

I'm looking forward to your input on a potential storm this winter. 

3 hours ago, Voyager said:

What I've bolded would work for me, as I'm not a fan of nickel and dime events that just slop up the roads with salt. I've always been a "go big or go home" guy, and as a driver I hate a dirty truck.

I believe you'll see less salt on the roads. You might have to put chains on the truck this winter.

Yes, rock salt prices have significantly increased in Pennsylvania. Recent reports indicate that municipalities are facing sharp price hikes, with costs rising from approximately $88 per ton to around $160 per ton. This increase has prompted local governments to seek alternative suppliers and adjust their budgets accordingly. The surge in prices is attributed to various factors, including supply chain issues and increased demand during winter months

And now this too: https://www.abc27.com/pennsylvania/experts-show-impact-of-road-salt-on-pa-waterways/

32 this morning.

30 with fog and frost this morning.

I was at Walmart around 12:30pm yesterday and some younger woman had a full-fledged winter coat on. I was like it's not that cold out yet.

29 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Low of 32 here in Marysville.

First frost & first freeze this season are now in the books for me.

The great Blizz has awakened with the onset of colder weather. Snow maps will probably be coming within the next month. What's your outlook, prediction on this coming winter?

From everyones friend DT: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Le7OMy4yKQE

Some pics from my place this past week.

30 frosty degrees this morning.

Pics from the squall line on Friday.

29 minutes ago, canderson said:

She has to be in the shower with me to wash my body. 

it’s the opposite of sexy lol

TMI

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 107 AM EDT Sat Oct 17 2026 PAZ004-006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046-049>053- 056>059-063>066-172000- /O.UPG.KCTP.FZ.A.0007.261018T0500Z-261018T1300Z/ /O.NEW.KCTP.FZ.W.0011.261018T0500Z-261018T1300Z/ Warren-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata- Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan- Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland- Adams-York-Lancaster- Including the cities of Wellsboro, Clearfield, Huntingdon, Lock Haven, Bedford, DuBois, Mifflintown, Mansfield, Somerset, McConnellsburg, Lewisburg, Bloomsburg, Mount Union, Renovo, Sunbury, Laporte, York, Ridgway, Gettysburg, Harrisburg, St. Marys, Berwick, Chambersburg, Philipsburg, Coudersport, Altoona, Hershey, Lancaster, Johnstown, Lewistown, Williamsport, Lebanon, Pottsville, Trout Run, Carlisle, Newport, State College, Shamokin, Danville, Emporium, Warren, and Selinsgrove 107 AM EDT Sat Oct 17 2026 ...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EDT SUNDAY... * WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures between 25 and 30 expected. * WHERE...Most of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 9 AM EDT Sunday. * IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor plumbing. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Valley locations and sheltered rural areas will experience the coldest temperatures. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Take steps now to protect tender plants and vegetation from the cold. && $$ Steinbugl

Got .30 from the squall line. Temp went from 75 to 67 in a few min.

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
511 AM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024-025-033-034-037-041-042-045-046-
170915-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-
Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Somerset-Bedford-Tioga-
Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-
511 AM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Severe thunderstorms with damaging winds 60 mph or greater are
possible late this morning through the afternoon hours.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Cold temperatures will bring about frost and freeze concerns Saturday
night and Sunday night. The highest potential for frost and freeze
will be Saturday night into Sunday morning where temperatures could
drop into the upper 20s.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

$$

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service State College PA
511 AM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

PAZ026>028-035-036-049>053-056>059-063>066-170915-
Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Fulton-Franklin-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-
Adams-York-Lancaster-
511 AM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Severe thunderstorms with damaging winds 60 mph or greater are
possible this afternoon and evening. An isolated tornado is also
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotters are encouraged to report significant hazardous weather.

48 this morning.

43 minutes ago, Voyager said:

I wish the big cold front was delayed by 24-36 hours. We have an outdoor wedding to attend as our neighbor's granddaughter is getting married on Saturday. Guess I'm going to have to put long johns (being sarcastic) on under my suit, because upper 40's with wind is not going to be pleasant.

indeed It will not be pleasant. 

82 for the high. Williamsport, Altoona, and Bradford had record highs today. 

80 here dp 70.

3 hours ago, canderson said:

First widespread wind headline of the season ahead 

Ugh!

7 minutes ago, AccuChris said:

Currently 81° with a 67° DP…summers revenge


.

Enjoy it while we can.

I'm definitely not looking forward to those cold gusty north westerly winds that could exceed 40mph late Friday and Saturday. 

Looks like maybe our first frost and freeze this coming weekend