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mahantango#1

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    Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    US National Weather Service State College PA 

     
     

    Tuesday - November 18, 2025 @ 530 AM EST: A weak ridge of high pressure over the Commonwealth will bring a brief period of clearing early today before clouds thicken up from the west later this morning through the afternoon, well ahead of low pressure located over Missouri at daybreak. This weather feature will spread a shield of chilly, steady rain across the southwestern third of Pennsylvania this afternoon and evening. As the precipitation drifts north toward the Interstate 80 corridor this evening, the air will be cold enough to allow a mixture of rain and wet snow to occur. There could be a light coating of snow on the highest ridge tops of Central PA overnight.

     

    • Like 1

    Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    Wxrisk.com MILD / DRY TRAVEL DAY WED 11/26 and TURKEY DAY 11/27 FOR EASTERN US then the stuffing goes sideways
    IMAGE #1 is the 500mb map from the European Ensemble valid as of November 25 on the left and November 30th on the right. and you can see the massive changes that occurs during the Thanksgiving holiday across the Central and Eastern us and North America in general.
    IMAGE #2 shows the 850mb temperatures (approx 1 miles above ground) … this is essentially the basic guide for used in determining snow versus rain during the winter months. and you can see how this is really cold air which is delineated by the -10C at 8:50mb with a yellow line it plunges dramatically Southward during Thanksgiving weekend.
    584669264_1272199618272407_7166581244016975963_n.jpg?stp=dst-jpg_s590x590_tt6&_nc_cat=105&ccb=1-7&_nc_sid=127cfc&_nc_ohc=sJJBInJXEKMQ7kNvwHd6Gto&_nc_oc=Adntd7Q0SJdQy5AqzDgIVg3z3ENWufRbpYx8QnJ_mkYMLqnwdlXlTt6RXiS_r9LcuGA&_nc_zt=23&_nc_ht=scontent-iad3-2.xx&_nc_gid=eEYl18pO_NE-EOPgdRVMDQ&oh=00_AfhE4kqEl3mwHBE7PviQV2F_T2NcRm1KhmHid_ecOL0wAQ&oe=691FBE10
    581956354_1272199671605735_447109901275727533_n.jpg?stp=dst-jpg_s590x590_tt6&_nc_cat=105&ccb=1-7&_nc_sid=127cfc&_nc_ohc=9ir11ELPRNEQ7kNvwGxGDyR&_nc_oc=Adkwas2EQDLgvuiSe_LaKlKh1EOpORvO1zeDYg3iulqWzbKX5X-QyWGaACH9LA7QQjg&_nc_zt=23&_nc_ht=scontent-iad3-2.xx&_nc_gid=eEYl18pO_NE-EOPgdRVMDQ&oh=00_Afgx7fVbH_Js164uonS6D5NGLMP1l-_NzceTBpD2F0UKOQ&oe=691F8CE9
    • Like 1

    Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    2 hours ago, Voyager said:

    The now again closed off topic section of AMWX is a prime example. Some of the worst behavior I've witnessed took place over there. I literally cringed at some of the posts I'd seen.

    You miss that know it all. You should have taken that individual for a long ride in your truck an dropped it off as unclaimed freight 

    • Haha 2

    Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    Shared with Public
     
     
    ** BULLSHIT ALERT *** Even though a professional meteorologist issued this …. it is 100% bullshit.. Indeed the very next run of that model used to make this map showed something vastly different with a arctic cold air not advancing nearly that for deep on the East Coast.
    Like I said in the three week newsletter ....the Thanksgiving long holiday weekend was consists of four days will be it. of transition. conditions are going to turn colder and things are going to start shaping up for what could be a very Act of December.
    BUT... this sort of massive Arctic outbreak in late November is not supported by the data nor is it supportive of other things such as the MJO
    May be an image of map and text
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