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mahantango#1

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    Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    A Message from the Orchard
    On the morning of April 20, our orchard was hit by a severe spring freeze during a critical stage of bloom and fruit development. Temperatures fell to damaging levels for several hours, resulting in one of the most significant freeze events our orchard has experienced in recent years.
    We know many of you have been wondering how the crop fared and why we have not provided an update until now. The simple answer is that we didn’t know. Freeze damage is not always immediately apparent, and fruit trees can continue to shed damaged fruit for weeks after an event like this. We felt it was important to wait until we had a clearer picture of what survived before sharing information with our customers.
    We were also hoping for a better outcome. As the weeks passed, we continued to find additional losses and watched fruit that initially appeared healthy fail to develop. While we knew early on that the freeze had caused damage, the full extent of the losses took time to become clear.
    Based on what we are seeing today, we expect:
    • Cherries: complete crop loss
    • Peaches: approximately 10% of a normal crop
    • Plums: approximately 10% of a normal crop
    • Pears: approximately 20% of a normal crop
    • Apples: approximately 65% of a normal crop
    We are thankful to still have an apple crop, but many varieties will be in shorter supply than usual, and some fruits may be unavailable or available only briefly this season.
    This is not the update we hoped to share. Like every grower, we invest a tremendous amount of time, work, and optimism into each crop long before the first fruit is harvested. Seeing so much of it lost to a single night of weather is difficult. Even so, farming has always required resilience, and our focus now is on caring for the crop that remains and making the most of this season.
    We are deeply grateful for the support our customers have shown our family and our orchard over the years. Your encouragement and loyalty mean more than ever in seasons like this. We look forward to serving you this year as always will continue to share updates as harvest approaches.
    Check out this video, "wnep news farmers market"

    Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    25 minutes ago, Voyager said:

    No doubt. Previous deficits, coupled with the lack of current rainfall, should pop them at some point. I know this is out of our forum, but once you get over the Blue Mountain into northern Lehigh County, there are some serious brown lawns, and the Jordan Creek in the New Tripoli area is about as low as I've ever seen it.

    Somehow, up here, we've done a little better, and have been a bit wetter.

    OIP.jubcGS9-M9OBv7e9vXJi-wHaHi?pid=Api&h=220&P=0

    Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 375

    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

    210 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2026

     

    SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 375 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT

    FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

     

    PAC001-011-017-029-041-043-045-055-057-061-067-071-075-087-091-

    099-101-133-230100-

    /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0375.260622T1810Z-260623T0100Z/

     

    PA

    . PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

     

    ADAMS BERKS BUCKS

    CHESTER CUMBERLAND DAUPHIN

    DELAWARE FRANKLIN FULTON

    HUNTINGDON JUNIATA LANCASTER

    LEBANON MIFFLIN MONTGOMERY

    PERRY PHILADELPHIA YORK

    $$

     

    • Like 1

    Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    Seen this at the theater in Wilkes Barre when it came out, and got the dvd...well worth seeing excellent!  Agnes Flood Documentary Project

     
     
    On this date in 1972 - June 21 - torrential rains were hitting the Wyoming Valley. "Agnes" was here. Two days later, the people of the Wyoming Valley experienced what, to this day, is simply referred to as "The Flood." It was the worst natural disaster in U.S. history. On Wednesday June 24, the story of those days, and the weeks and months that followed, will be told when "Agnes" returns to the big screen at the F.M. Kirby Center. Showtimes are 1 p.m. and 7 p.m. Tickets will be available at the box office at showtime, or can be purchased in advance by visiting www.kirbycenter.org
     

    or by calling (570) 826-1100.

    https://www.facebook.com/reel/963239149844407

    See less
    • Like 2

    Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    Sun - June 21, 2026 @ 6 AM EDT: We'll have pleasant weather to end the holiday weekend with comfortably warm temperatures, low humidity and plenty of sun. Humidity will significantly increase late tonight and Monday as a strong southerly flow develops ahead of low pressure headed our way from the Midwest. In additional to periods of steady rain, the risk for severe thunderstorms will develop across the Southeastern half of the state. There will also be a tornado threat with the stronger storms. A more southern track to the area of low pressure would decrease the region where severe thunderstorms are possible.
    May be an image of map and text that says 'HREF MN[Stc-500 shear] (kt) Most uristable CAPE (J/kgi shaded) ensemble NOAAN NOAA/NWSStorm SStorm Prediction Center an MAX[1-h2-5 UHJ-75 PM EDT Monday- June 22, 2026 Run: Sun 2026- -06-21 2026-06-21 80:0០ 0: Tc Valid: Mon 2026-06-22 2026-0 20:00 TC Scattered Thunderstorms possible Monday afternoon cross the southeastern halfo with atornado threatin the area where the best combination flow-levelwine low-le velwind shear (green (greenshading) shading) and| instability(l (light blue shading) will 100 500 50 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 4000 5000 7000 9060 rediletion Storre Canter'
    May be an image of map and textMay be an image of map and text that says 'Highlighted Area: Pennsylvania Severe Weather Outlook Monday, June 22, 2026 Last Jpdated: Jun 21 2026 1259 Valid Jun 23 0700 CDT CDT Erie Bradford Meadville O OilCity Oil City Williamsport DuBois Scranton Pittsburgh State College Johnstown Allentown Harrisburg ဘိ်နဲက်မသေ်တောတ် nOAA Lancaster Philadelphia EE CEARORA National Weather Service Storm tormPredictionCente Prediction Center https://www.spe.nona.gov 5 High Risk Moderate Risk Enhanced Risk Slight Risk Risk Thunderstorms'

    Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted 

    KEY MESSAGE 2: Widespread rain on Monday

A wet start to the work week with widespread rain expected on
Monday. The heaviest rainfall is most likely between 2AM and
8PM with totals in the 0.75-1.50" range. Current probs off the
latest ensembles and National Blend indicate 50-80% probs for
>1" across most of CPA. Flooding risk is marginal to low with
greatest risk likely confined to urban areas where locally heavy
or repeat downpours could cause some isolated runoff issues.
Rain tapers off/ends Monday night with dry weather returning on
Tuesday.
    • Like 2

    Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    This is from a weathersite on Facebook: 11 CONFIRMED TORNADOES IN PENNSYLVANIA 

     

    Apologies for any wrong/outdated information, as the tornado reports aren't consistent between the SPC/NWS sites, but here is what I found on the 11 reported tornadoes from the severe weather outbreak on Sunday, June 14th. There may be more tornadoes confirmed and/or ratings adjusted as the surveys continue into today. 

     

    The National Weather Service has confirmed 11 tornadoes across Pennsylvania so far, including 7 EF1 tornadoes, 3 EF0 tornadoes, and 1 tornado still awaiting a final damage survey rating.

     

    Confirmed tornadoes occurred in parts of Crawford, Warren, Potter, Jefferson, Clinton, Butler, Beaver, and Lancaster Counties.

     

    Blooming Valley — EF1

    Grand Valley — EF1

    Homer Township — EF0

    Big Run — EF1

    Pine Glen — EF1

    WSW of West Liberty — EF1

    ESE of West Liberty — EF0

    West Mayfield — EF0

    Cannelton (touchdown in OH, moved into PA) — EF1

    Kirkwood — EF1

    Worthville — EF Rating TBD

     

    Stay tuned for updates!

    • Like 1

    Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    14 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

    MU gettin' feisty...

    The SPC has placed us under a "slight risk" for #severewx on Thurs, but I strongly disagree. The setup is basically a "rinse and repeat" of last Friday. Strong, WSW flow will cause a "downsloping" effect off the Apps, & leftover convection moves through during the morning hours.

    Would love to see a feisty thunderstorm here with rainfall of an inch. It's getting dry here.

    • Like 1

    Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said:

    Thank you for sharing that.

    Kyle Elliott at MU is very unimpressed with this Thursday's setup, he believes that both the timing of the pre-frontal trough as well as westerly downsloping winds will lead to a "very marginal" severe threat. Right now he's leaning for showers with an imbedded rumble of thunder. I'm on his train for now for sure! 

    Hopefully we will get some meaningful rain with this event.

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