mahantango#1
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Posts posted by mahantango#1
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.DISCUSSION...
-- Changed Discussion --KEY MESSAGE 1: Periods of rain and breezy conditions from Isaias arrive tonight and continue through Sunday Fair weather will be in play today with dry conditions and increasing mid and high level clouds.Rain associated with Isaias is projected to reach the Laurel Highlands before midnight tonight and gradually expand throughout central PA into Sunday morning. Periods of rain continue Sunday afternoon into Sunday night before tapering off by early Monday. Total rainfall amounts are still forecasted between 0.75 and 1.50 inches over a 24-36hr duration with a low risk of potential flooding impacts. As post-tropical/TD Isaias tracks from the TN Valley into WV, gusty winds will overspread the Laurel Highlands with maximum wind gusts of 35-45 mph west of the tallest ridges. Elsewhere, gusts of 20 to 30 mph will be possible. Winds will increase this evening, reaching gusts of up to 45 mph, before tapering off after 2 pm Sunday. A Wind Advisory has been issued for Cambria and Somerset counties.
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11 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:
Low of 45. Heading up to Happy Valley this afternoon!
You better be prepared to suit up tomorrow night!
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37 this morning, didn't think it would get that cold overnight.
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2 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:
Their expected rainfall for PA has been reduced on each of the last 4 cycles they've put out. Discouraging. Yesterday morning, the entire southern half of PA was in the 1.5"+ area. (purple shading)
Even 27 is calling for less than .50
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I don't want to go into too much right now because I am looking at the tropical cyclone and Gathering other seasonal data/ trends but once we get past December the idea of a mild and wet winter from JAN 7- MARCH 20 across the eastern US is looking less and less likely.
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Reply
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Edited
Some of you may recall all last autumn the winter 2025-26 forecast from Climate Prediction Center as well as the the general consensus forecast for a mild winter. WxRisk was the only one (that I know) who argued that the winter would be close to normal overall and at times severe.Sometimes consensus is correct. Being contradictory for its own sake is stupid. Cynicism is not the same thing as skepticism.. But I am beginning to see some Clues…-
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35 this morning, Didn't see any frost.
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37 for the low here. Didn't see any frost.
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Unfortunately it's that time of the year.
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service State College PA 1233 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026 PAZ004-012-017>019-024-033-037-041-042-045-052000- /O.NEW.KCTP.FR.Y.0010.261006T0500Z-261006T1300Z/ Warren-Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Somerset-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton- Including the cities of Somerset, Trout Run, Laporte, Warren, DuBois, Renovo, Mansfield, Lock Haven, Johnstown, Wellsboro, Clearfield, State College, and Philipsburg 1233 AM EDT Mon Oct 5 2026 ...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EDT TUESDAY... * WHAT...Temperatures as low as 35 degrees will result in frost formation. * WHERE...A portion of central Pennsylvania. * WHEN...From 1 AM to 9 AM EDT Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Frost could harm or kill sensitive outdoor vegetation. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Those with agricultural interests should protect sensitive vegetation. Near-ground freezing temperatures could kill uncovered sensitive outdoor vegetation. The latest forecast information can be found on the NWS State College Facebook page and Twitter @NWSStateCollege, or on the web at weather.gov/ctp.
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Check out the record high for today.
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Old Weather Saying: “A warm October, a cold February.”
For generations, folks have looked to October’s weather for hints about the winter ahead. Does a mild, beautiful October really mean February will come roaring in with bitter cold?
Time will tell—but that’s part of the fun of old weather lore.
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8 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:
They might give up 500 yards just in rushing yards tonight.
I can't believe what I'm watching.
It was awful to say the least!
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48 this morning.
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OCTOBER PREVIEW2026 is flying by as we begin the final 3 months of the year! As we continue to lose daylight and the colder weather prepares to move in, here is a look at the average number for October.Our average high temperature will drop from 72° in the beginning of the month to 60° by Halloween. At night, we say goodbye to the 50s and drop to the low 40s.For precipitation, we usually receive about 3.81" of rainfall. October also begins our series of average snowfall totals. On average, we receive 0.2" of snow in October. Don't get too excited snow-lovers, the last time we had measurable snowfall in the month of October was on October 29, 2011 during the Halloween nor'easter. The average first measurable snowfall for a majority of the Susquehanna Valley isn't until around or after Thanksgiving.Below are the temperature and precipitation outlooks from the Climate Prediction Center. These maps show where the pattern favors above or below average temperatures & precipitation. Both maps give south central Pennsylvania an equal chance for either outcome, meaning the overall pattern doesn't lean one way or the other. Overall, a "typical" October is expected in both categories.
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Central PA Autumn 2026
in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Posted
39 was the low here.