mahantango#1

Snowing here and temp 33.

1 minute ago, canderson said:

Dow to 36. It was 64 at 7. 

38 here.

1.09 rain so far today. I had .23 rain before that front came through.

Temp down to 39 here.

5 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said:

Fropa about 15 minutes ago.  Westerly winds 10-20, gusting to 30.  Heavy rain.  Total today 0.89" so far.  Temperature drop of 14 degrees in 15 minutes...from 60 down to 46 at the moment and still dropping rapidly.  Pressure bottomed out at 29.20".  Radar sure looks promising for some snow.  It's snowing all the way back to eastern OH.

I expect the first flakes to begin mixing in when my temp reaches 37.  Now 45 degrees (at 8:20).

Front coming through now experienced the same temp drop. Heavy rain  blowing sideways.

7 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Sounds like the early part of the afternoon offers the best chance for a Tornado and then the evening line is likely to be focused on straight line winds. 

Sort of surprised to see that the actual front that would contain damaging wind gusts doesn't come through here until after 8pm. This seems a good bit later than I was hearing yesterday. 

Yes it sounds much later than yesterday. But this afternoon sounds like we have to be on the lookout for severe weather.

14 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I've already been approached in the office this morning for my thoughts. I politely declined. One team member spoke up and said that "the weather people they follow on Facebook said that some of us aren't going to make it through the day."

I replied "well, go with that I guess." 

You should have did a powerpoint presentation on the weather threats were facing today and offered counseling to those individuals.

Great discussion from Brett Thackara https://www.facebook.com/abc27news/videos/909059098554635/

Live NWS update from State College NWS https://www.facebook.com/reel/1253372836765634

1 hour ago, canderson said:

From CTP

Within the line,
embedded supercells could support concentrated tornadic winds in
the midst of a potentially expansive area of damaging wind
gusts.

Seems quite unusual that CTP is strongly on board for this event. They are usually pretty conservative. 

Tomorrow I'd just like to have a good thunderstorm consisting of good thunder and continuous lightning without wind over 25mph. But I guess we'll see what tomorrow brings.

1 hour ago, MAG5035 said:

When I ponied up and upgraded my RadarScope to the Pro subscription this winter I forgot one of the features was archived radar data. So this is a really good example to try it out and review something. Basically, I’m not doubting the chances that this storm might have spun something weak up somewhere along the way but I think this posted screengrab of the CC labeled as a debris ball to prove a tornado on the ground is a bit of a stretch.

So here’s the 606pm image that was shared, crosshairs placed on the “debris ball” 

One thing about debris ball signatures is the area of low CC values are usually co-located to an area of high DBZ reflectivity values, which this CC signature is not. They’re also typically associated with established, strong tornadoes (>EF2), which I’m not really seeing the support for on velocity data, or obs/local storm reports. Even though this passed thru a relatively sparse area, it did still cross US 22/322 during this period. There weren’t very many reports on this storm at all looking over the LSR’s. 

This signature likely had more to do with the hail core that this cell did have with it, which will reduce the CC values and can also cause a corridor of reduced values in the downstream direction of the radar beam when there’s a pretty decent hail core.. which can be seen on the images. 

Thanks for your analysis on this. I did see someone commented on Facebook (I don't know what site or thread it was on) this person said they and their spouse  had damage on their property and it was the loudest thunder they ever heard. They also said they went down into their basement till the storm passed. So maybe there was just a brief touchdown of a tornado. Also I wish there were more radar sites like in the Harrisburg area for better coverage during severe weather events.

28 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Oh please no...

No more salty roads.

You got to keep that tanker spit-shined.

2 hours ago, Yardstickgozinya said:

Big potential Monday creeping into southeast and south central Pennsylvania with a negatively tilted system.  
  ...DISCUSSION...
   Significant severe winds and the potential for a few tornadoes will
   develop on Monday over parts of the Carolinas and Mid Atlantic.

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/#

 

I wonder if this will expand a little more north in the coming days?

Found this on facebook I didn't know NWS was doing a storm survey.

Dauphin County Tornado Update 

Some followup on the tornado warned storm in Dauphin County on Wednesday. I have actually drive on the exact road in the exact rural area it struck and there's a solid chance it missed every home as it's extremely rural in Shermans Dale and Blain, PA.

The storm would have only been on the ground for a short time maybe 10-15 mins, 3-8 miles max before lifting. This may have hit a house or just tore up some woods but there was clearly evidence to suggest it was causing damage.

I clipped a photo of the debris ball with the overlay of the general area it would have been. It's all thick woods and very rural homes. I personally stayed in a cabin about 2-4 miles from the exact spot this storm happened at. I'm very curious to see what the NWS survey team determines when they conclude their investigation.

Anyway, thought this may be interesting to everyone. I'll update when I found out.

- Espresso 

Precipitation  total for January and February 1.85

For March so far 3.31

1.08 so far this week.

Sleet mixing with the rain here temp 40.6.

Last evenings Tornado warned storm pics taken on 81 and 322. Not the best pics I seen better ones on Facebook.

I was on 81 and 322 I got pics of the storm but will have to wait till tomorrow morning till I can post them from my computer.

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA

420 PM EDT WED MAR 11 2026

PAC001-037-041-043-067-071-075-087-093-097-099-107-109-119-133-

120000-

/O.EXA.KCTP.TO.A.0045.000000T0000Z-260312T0000Z/

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS EXTENDED TORNADO WATCH 45 TO

INCLUDE THE FOLLOWING AREAS UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING

IN PENNSYLVANIA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 15 COUNTIES

IN CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA

ADAMS COLUMBIA CUMBERLAND

DAUPHIN JUNIATA LANCASTER

LEBANON MIFFLIN MONTOUR

NORTHUMBERLAND PERRY SCHUYLKILL

SNYDER UNION YORK

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF BERWICK, BLOOMSBURG, CARLISLE,

DANVILLE, GETTYSBURG, HARRISBURG, HERSHEY, LANCASTER, LEBANON,

LEWISBURG, LEWISTOWN, MIFFLINTOWN, NEWPORT, POTTSVILLE,

SELINSGROVE, SHAMOKIN, SUNBURY, AND YORK.

Sun is out in full 70/64. 

Dewpoint is 62 here.