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mahantango#1

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Posts posted by mahantango#1

  1. Sun - June 21, 2026 @ 6 AM EDT: We'll have pleasant weather to end the holiday weekend with comfortably warm temperatures, low humidity and plenty of sun. Humidity will significantly increase late tonight and Monday as a strong southerly flow develops ahead of low pressure headed our way from the Midwest. In additional to periods of steady rain, the risk for severe thunderstorms will develop across the Southeastern half of the state. There will also be a tornado threat with the stronger storms. A more southern track to the area of low pressure would decrease the region where severe thunderstorms are possible.
    May be an image of map and text that says 'HREF MN[Stc-500 shear] (kt) Most uristable CAPE (J/kgi shaded) ensemble NOAAN NOAA/NWSStorm SStorm Prediction Center an MAX[1-h2-5 UHJ-75 PM EDT Monday- June 22, 2026 Run: Sun 2026- -06-21 2026-06-21 80:0០ 0: Tc Valid: Mon 2026-06-22 2026-0 20:00 TC Scattered Thunderstorms possible Monday afternoon cross the southeastern halfo with atornado threatin the area where the best combination flow-levelwine low-le velwind shear (green (greenshading) shading) and| instability(l (light blue shading) will 100 500 50 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 4000 5000 7000 9060 rediletion Storre Canter'
    May be an image of map and textMay be an image of map and text that says 'Highlighted Area: Pennsylvania Severe Weather Outlook Monday, June 22, 2026 Last Jpdated: Jun 21 2026 1259 Valid Jun 23 0700 CDT CDT Erie Bradford Meadville O OilCity Oil City Williamsport DuBois Scranton Pittsburgh State College Johnstown Allentown Harrisburg ဘိ်နဲက်မသေ်တောတ် nOAA Lancaster Philadelphia EE CEARORA National Weather Service Storm tormPredictionCente Prediction Center https://www.spe.nona.gov 5 High Risk Moderate Risk Enhanced Risk Slight Risk Risk Thunderstorms'
  2. KEY MESSAGE 2: Widespread rain on Monday
    
    A wet start to the work week with widespread rain expected on
    Monday. The heaviest rainfall is most likely between 2AM and
    8PM with totals in the 0.75-1.50" range. Current probs off the
    latest ensembles and National Blend indicate 50-80% probs for
    >1" across most of CPA. Flooding risk is marginal to low with
    greatest risk likely confined to urban areas where locally heavy
    or repeat downpours could cause some isolated runoff issues.
    Rain tapers off/ends Monday night with dry weather returning on
    Tuesday.
    • Like 2
  3. This is from a weathersite on Facebook: 11 CONFIRMED TORNADOES IN PENNSYLVANIA 

     

    Apologies for any wrong/outdated information, as the tornado reports aren't consistent between the SPC/NWS sites, but here is what I found on the 11 reported tornadoes from the severe weather outbreak on Sunday, June 14th. There may be more tornadoes confirmed and/or ratings adjusted as the surveys continue into today. 

     

    The National Weather Service has confirmed 11 tornadoes across Pennsylvania so far, including 7 EF1 tornadoes, 3 EF0 tornadoes, and 1 tornado still awaiting a final damage survey rating.

     

    Confirmed tornadoes occurred in parts of Crawford, Warren, Potter, Jefferson, Clinton, Butler, Beaver, and Lancaster Counties.

     

    Blooming Valley — EF1

    Grand Valley — EF1

    Homer Township — EF0

    Big Run — EF1

    Pine Glen — EF1

    WSW of West Liberty — EF1

    ESE of West Liberty — EF0

    West Mayfield — EF0

    Cannelton (touchdown in OH, moved into PA) — EF1

    Kirkwood — EF1

    Worthville — EF Rating TBD

     

    Stay tuned for updates!

    • Like 1
  4. 14 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

    MU gettin' feisty...

    The SPC has placed us under a "slight risk" for #severewx on Thurs, but I strongly disagree. The setup is basically a "rinse and repeat" of last Friday. Strong, WSW flow will cause a "downsloping" effect off the Apps, & leftover convection moves through during the morning hours.

    Would love to see a feisty thunderstorm here with rainfall of an inch. It's getting dry here.

    • Like 1
  5. 1 hour ago, Itstrainingtime said:

    Thank you for sharing that.

    Kyle Elliott at MU is very unimpressed with this Thursday's setup, he believes that both the timing of the pre-frontal trough as well as westerly downsloping winds will lead to a "very marginal" severe threat. Right now he's leaning for showers with an imbedded rumble of thunder. I'm on his train for now for sure! 

    Hopefully we will get some meaningful rain with this event.

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