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Met1985

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Everything posted by Met1985

  1. 00z cmc looking really nice tonight. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  2. 06z gfs is a smidgen better but not much... Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  3. Dang the Euro is full stop. Ain't buying a thing. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  4. Snowfall output. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  5. This second system is trending stronger and more organized. Looks like the initial low moves in the a prolonged NWFS. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  6. Oh yeah and not negating your post at all. Just sharing some past history insight. I mean maybe if we do get a split this time the tpv just stays weak.
  7. Big storms and heavy rain tonight. Lots of lightning and thunder. Well over 3 inches here and probably approaching 4 when it's all said and done. Also snow around the corner.
  8. Just for posterity. A lot of energy and plenty of cold air around. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  9. Yeah this has been one of the best looks we've seen in a bit especially for a widespread snowfall.
  10. Yeah this months rainfall has been very beneficial and I'd say before the end of March we will be in a surplus of rainfall.
  11. We don't need a complete split really. Heck look at last year. We had a split and then the rest of winter sucked because it because super strong after the split. We can do a lot with the tpv elongated still.
  12. There has been a sign of these lows digging deep, really deep. A lot of energy flying around currently. Just watch and look at the trends.
  13. Merry Christmas everyone! Hope everyone has a wonderful day!
  14. There is so much energy flying around currently that I'm just looking at the pattern and evolution instead of one system. After Christmas buckle up because it's going to be a cold active pattern.
  15. Big time run for the mountains on the 06z gfs. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  16. A huge uptick on the 18z gfs ens snowfall mean. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  17. Just my two cents but I think we don't end up seeing a big torch this winter. I think maybe west Tennessee may see the worst of it but I think the more east and south you get the better temps will be oddly but that's how Ninos go. I think we may see more of a lull than anything. But great analysis as always from @Carvers Gap. Hopefully we can score something the next 2 to 3 weeks.
  18. 12z euro doesn't look bad either. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  19. 18z gfs looks like a nice event around the 29th and the 30 for the border counties. If the energy can drop low enough and rotate through several should see flakes. After this past little snow we had that maybe the HRRR saw I don't really trust the models on upslope snow at all. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  20. A bump in the snow mean on the 00z gefs Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  21. Oh yeah that's what I'm thinking also. A lot of energy flying around.
  22. Both the gfs and eps looks really good going forward. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  23. Thank you! Yes so far we have been at or below average in the region Now we are going to be a bit above average right around Christmas for a week but then the pattern reshuffles.
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