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Met1985

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Everything posted by Met1985

  1. Met1985
    12z euro this evening. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  2. Met1985
    The third storm has a significant icing signature to it currently... Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  3. Met1985
    12z gfs for second storm. Seems colder at the onslaught. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  4. Met1985
    Precipitation is way north of what ANY model has been showing. Actually most models overnight had dropped the Precipitation further south... Again model fail in like 12 hours from the event.
  5. Met1985
    We've seen this several times we're the models underestimate a wave and it's energy. We will see but could be a surprise in the southern mountains and foothills this evening and tonight.
  6. Met1985
    We don't start storm threads for the mountains. This is a catch all. We just roll with one long thread through the winter.
  7. Met1985
    Holston great input. The models have handled energy and the strength pretty poorly in my opinion. Our so called torch in December really never materialized in my opinion. Sure we could see the SER rear it's head but I think the models are having a tough time currently. Even the ensembles are flip flopping. Cold one day and warm the next...
  8. Met1985
    Second system looks like a mess on the 6z gfs. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  9. Met1985
    Third system now looks more wintery. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  10. Met1985
    So far the 00z euro is south and weaker. Looks wintery. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  11. Met1985
    Also the third system looks 10 times better for our area. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  12. Met1985
    Just getting around to looking at the 00z suites. As wncsnow as mentioned the gfs looks lots better. I think is eroding the CAD too fast but that is the norm. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  13. Met1985
    We need weaker and less amped. It'll let the system come further south. Stronger will mean more north.
  14. Met1985
    00z NAM says there might be some flakes in the southern mountains. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  15. Met1985
    The mountains and piedmont can work with that. Really any of us. That tells me there will be bouts of cold and a bit warm but no torch.
  16. Met1985
    As we have seen several times this season so far are changes in the pattern post 5 days. We've seen the models want to shunt storms through the middle of the country only to correct and swing all the way through to the coast. Just be patient and we will see things develop. This is not last year.
  17. Met1985
    This look from the GEPS is something we can definitely work with also. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  18. Met1985
    Just some insight for you guys and maybe we will make it through this with a decent snowfall.
  19. Met1985
    Hey guys it's only January 2nd. Keep your heads on and look at the big picture. I know we all want snow. Winter is just getting started.
  20. Met1985
    Huge differences with the pattern from the gfs and the Euro with the pattern. The Euro matches up very well with the eps, weeklies and monthlies. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  21. Met1985
    Look at the 18z gfs. Still has the wound up storm cutting. Who is right? My bets are on the Euro and eps. Gfs is out to lunch. There are going to be some changes in the pattern moving forward. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  22. Met1985
    Today 12z eps supports my case above. Looks damn good. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  23. Met1985
    Upslope event on euro. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  24. Met1985
    Big changes on the Euro with the third system. It doesn't cut into Arkansas but rather straight through us which gives us a great upslope signature. Also the end of the run you can see a ridge building out West and a Canadian high coming down on this side of the Rockies. That's what we want. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
  25. Met1985
    Because of the NPAC. That shouldn't have staying power though.
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