Met1985

I tell you what that 4 to 6 week window you preach about is darn close every single time just about. There is definitely something to that in my opinion going off of your theories.

34 with moderate to heavy rainfall this afternoon.

Going to be a very wet afternoon. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Nice! Thank you.

Just getting blasted out west. https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/the-summit

Impressed with the cold air entrenched today. Temps been hovering around 32/33 all morning..we still have ice hanging around from earlier.

Some deck ice pics..still icing moderately currently. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Silver dollar flakes mixing in.

Heavy icing currently covering the deck and sidewalk.

Mixture of sleet and snow currently.

Correction it's been sleeting here. We have a skiff in the deck.

Nothing yet here but temp is 33 degrees.

Swain-Haywood-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson- Transylvania- Including the cities of Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Highlands, and Cashiers 451 AM EST Fri Mar 1 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Ice accumulation of up to five hundredths of an inch, especially on elevated surfaces. * WHERE...Elevations above 3500 feet in Swain, Haywood, Graham, Jackson, Macon, and Transylvania Counties. * WHEN...Until noon EST today. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.

Damn really? I guess our elevation here helps a lot especially when you live at 3500' or higher.

Temp down to 32 now.

Temp down to 36 already.

The Euro is just showing rain.

18z nam Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Latest gfs run Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Haywood-Buncombe-Northern Jackson-Southern Jackson-Transylvania- Henderson-Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-McDowell Mountains- 303 PM EST Thu Feb 29 2024 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday. Precipitation will develop across the area Friday morning. Enough cold air is expected to be in place for pockets of a wintry mix to develop over the mountains, with freezing rain expected to be the predominant type of winter precipitation. A light glaze of ice will be possible, especially across high elevations and in sheltered areas near the Blue Ridge escarpment. Warm road temperatures will limit the potential for significant travel difficulties, but a few slick spots could develop.

Watauga- Including the city of Boone 242 PM EST Thu Feb 29 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Watauga County. * WHEN...From 7 AM to 7 PM EST Friday.

Yancey-Mitchell- 300 PM EST Thu Feb 29 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 7 PM EST FRIDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Ice accumulation of up to five hundredths of an inch, with a dusting of snow also possible. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph. * WHERE...Elevations above 3500 feet in Yancey and Mitchell Counties. * WHEN...From 7 AM to 7 PM EST Friday.

Wind is cranking and temp down to 39 here.

Down to 46 here. Wind has definitely picked up.

Impressive line coming through. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk