Overnight Euro didn't look bad. Hopefully we get through this warm-up and then the pattern will be a bit more favorable. Although I've seen that the real time frame to look at is the end of January through the first of February.
Well the NW territories have had temps anywhere from negative 30 to near negative 60 degrees recently. And im sorry but im not hedging bets on long range this season. Just like when wncsnow said that the 10th through the 20th would verify cold. I said I don't trust the models that far out this season. Now look at everything.
We can still score with above normal or a near normal temp profile in Canada. What we don't need is an arctic high pressing so far south that it's 0 degree and dry as a bone. Our best snows are thread the needle honestly. Some win some don't but that's winter in the SE.
We get snow in February, March, and in April. It happens all the time but usually with flow snows. We've gotten feet of snow just with flow snows before. Yall just get downsloped so bad that the moisture just hangs out over the border.
A pleasant surprise this morning. Walked out to get some more firewood and I have moderate snow with a dusting on everything. Current temp is 14 degrees.
Yep today is going to be a shock to the system. We are going to lose about 40 to 50 degrees from where we were this weekend to what we will be seeing tomorrow morning. Also the wind is going to be ripping.
I made some post but at this time I don't see anything significant. I believe as we head further into January we see a better pattern for getting snow. We need the cold air back in here first and foremost.
For those wondering about snow. I don't see anything yet in the models. The pattern is going to be better but I think we kind of see something come within the 5-day time frame personally. There have been discussions about January 10 through like the 20th but I'm not putting any stock into that. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk
Over the past week the GEFS has gained 43 points for the upcoming 7 day stretch. Just an absolute swing and a miss for the American data on the transition into the New Year. This is from BAM weather. The American model has absolutely sucked. Even the EURO from only 5 days out has struggled a ton. This is a huge red flag for mid to late range guidance. A lot of volatility with the models. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk