Met1985

I have to disagree with the above assertions. Maybe I'm too optimistic, but this has and is a step-down process. The first cold front is tomorrow, then around the 3rd, then around the 6th, then around the 10th. This map just shows me the possibilities that we will have with energy flying around. Looks good to me. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

When I read that I was thinking the same thing. I'm like what the heck happens at 10 pm... It's just normal frozen Tundra cold....

The pattern from New years moving forward has a ton of potential for multiple events and some extremely cold weather. Not only the OP models but also the ENS suits as well show what an active pattern may set up.

Dang this is brutal. Our source region looks plenty cold. An Extreme Cold Warning has been issued for Umiat and the Western Arctic Plains until 10 PM tonight. Dangerously cold temperatures as low as -50 with wind chills as low as -75 are expected. Frostbite and hypothermia are likely if exposed to the temperatures. Make sure to wear the appropriate clothing if you plan to be outside. #akwx Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

I don't think the Euro AI has snow maps.

Not sure about event total yet but the Pigeon river is rolling this afternoon. A daunting look for badly flooded communities in Clyde and Canton. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

I think we are in great position. Looks like some nice events.

Too much digging and everything is suppressed to hell. With the possibility of a severe arctic outbreak on the horizon I'd like to keep the storm track near us and not in Florida.

This is dangerous serious cold right here

In my opinion, the EPS has been leading the charge with the cold invasion. It looks really cold and even smoothed out. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

A lot of great looking indices this morning from the CPC. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Yeah if I use tapatalk I have to scroll down because this thread isn't pinned yet. Maybe yall can get @Mr Bobto pin this today or one of our own like @jburns. Hope this helps.

A beautiful morning in the clouds and fog Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Listen we don't live by that montra here. The weeklies look really good through the end of January. I really think this is a pattern change and not just a blip. We really haven't torched this season like past seasons. I hope down east gets hammered! Then everyone can relax. Here in the mountains we are going to be the frozen tundra. Chin up because things look very optimistic.

Also tonight into tomorrow the winds are really going to pick up.

Here is the flooding aspect already coming into play. At Blantyre affecting Transylvania and Henderson Counties. ...Near Fletcher affecting Buncombe and Henderson Counties. .A complex storm system and associated cold front will impact the upper French Broad River watershed Saturday night through Sunday morning, resulting in periods of moderate to heavy rainfall. Storm-total accumulations of 3-5" are expected across the watershed. The resultant excessive runoff will likely cause the French Broad River from Rosman to Fletcher to approach or exceed Action/Advisory Stage, resulting in nuisance flooding of adjacent low-lying areas, including farmland, parks, greenways, boat-access areas, and golf courses. The most likely period of flooding is Sunday morning through Sunday evening, with conditions gradually improving later Sunday into Monday morning. There remains some uncertainty about exact amounts and isolated areas of Minor flooding cannot be ruled out, especially closer to Penrose, Blantyre, and Etowah. If the forecast significantly exceeds the Minor Flood Stage of 16.0 feet at Blantyre, a River Flood Warning may be issued. Stay abreast of the latest forecasts in case additional rainfall becomes likely.

06z gfs wanting to give the viewing area anywhere from 1 to 2 feet plus of snow through the next two weeks... Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Before we get to dealing with the pattern change, we have a ton more rainfall ahead for us, especially in the southern mountains. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

This is brutal cold. Having lows in the teen negative digits and highs below zero is insane. Also having snow on the ground... This is 10:1 ratio but the ratio would be much much higher than this. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

The 00z Euro is damn cold. I mean pipe busting frost bit northern blue cold. This would rival some records. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Just glanced over the models and read some folks opinions for today. A couple things and I know most know this but we are in times that people can ride high or ride low with every model run. The key takeways is that the cold is coming and it might be really cold. The weeklies, eps, euro and cmc are dang cold. Second is please don't pay attention to any storm until maybe this coming Monday... Things will and have changed every single model run. To me we in the mountains are looking golden.

Yeah no freaking kidding along with some very cold weather.

Yeah I remember my mom telling me it was so cold engines were freezing up, and that everything just kind of came to a standstill.

Yeah I know they are trying to get campers in here for everyone who are still in tents. We've already had several mornings around 10 degrees this season.

The cold weather is coming. The rest will come into view in time.