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Met1985

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Everything posted by Met1985

  1. Met1985
    Snow totals went up this run again with this latest model output.
  2. Met1985
    Still snowing at hour 57 and looks solid at that.
  3. Met1985
    We are still solid at hour 51. A large swath of snow over the area.
  4. Met1985
    Hour 45 things are still progressing. More moisture breaking out across TN and the Carolinas. We still look good.
  5. Met1985
    On the latest NAM moisture starts to break out around 6 am Thursday.
  6. Met1985
    Also looking at the mid to long range EURO things really dont look bad at all.
  7. Met1985
    Look at what Griteater poster in the storm thread.
  8. Met1985
    I think once the system gets east of the apps the Lee side may have a better flow.
  9. Met1985
    Yeah you are right unless is comes in more from the south.
  10. Met1985
    The leeside of the mountains are going to get downsloped big time the way the precipitation is coming in. It will drastically cut down totals.
  11. Met1985
    These overrunning type events we do very well with. If we can get the moisture in here we will get a decent snow. Im really liking the trend of the models this morning.
  12. Met1985
    Yeah this is the best run of the NAM for us. Very juiced up and nearly all snow. Also dont underestimate the upslope snow behind the system if if hits us just right. It will dump all that moisture on the favored areas behind the system.
  13. Met1985
    The 12z NAM is holding serve. Kind of starts out as a mix but quickly turns to all snow. The precipitation is much further north this run also. It really blossoms out once it gets in here.
  14. Met1985
    Yeah great discussion guys. This is why I love this group and why I said yesterday that my excitement would be tempered until 18z today. We are getting into the time frame where the short range models should really be picking this up especially the multiple waves as Ward was talking about. Obviously having the EURO on board is huge but we are seeing multiple models come in with snowy solutions for us and currently that just cannot be discounted.
  15. Met1985
    Yeah it may not be handling the wave right but it could be onto something also. But I like that the NAM and GFS are in the same camp. Remember the models didnt handle the last little snow that well except the NAM...
  16. Met1985
    Both the NAM and GFS look good for our snow chances. Today will be very telling with the models. We are off to a good start so far.
  17. Met1985
    We are almost always in the best spot in the SE for snow.
  18. Met1985
    I like your optimism but this winter has been crap and anything can happen lol. But currently id say a 3 to 6 inch storm is not out of the question but that is all speculation at this point. Lets get through another 24 hours and see about this thing .
  19. Met1985
    The 00z NAM still looking good for us. Still though a lot can happen. Ill feel a lot better at 18z tomorrow if we are still in the drivers seat.
  20. Met1985
    Yeah so far the NAM is looking good. Like iv said lets get into tomorrow and start to beat the drums pretty heavy.
  21. Met1985
    We can and have done really well in overrunning type events. Seems like most every system has been juiced this season. Even the small snow event two weeks ago was a prime example.
  22. Met1985
    Yeah and the crazy thing is that all the indicies are in the wrong direction.
  23. Met1985
    Yeah especially this season that has been the norm.
  24. Met1985
    Yeah nothing to worry about. Today will be some fluctuations but I fully expect the precipitation field to move north.
  25. Met1985
    Yeah as mentioned this is far from being nailed down. We have seen this year after year. A northward trend is most likely with the precipitation coverage. We have a lot of time for things to change for better or worst. Really things should be much more clear by tomorrow afternoon.
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