Yeah Tim we appreciate you stopping by. I am hoping we can see some more flakes next week but we will see. Currently im very interested in the severe setup this Sunday. Stay safe down there and stop by anytime lol.
Could see some high elevation snow tomorrow morning along with freezing temps. Then next weekend looks like we will see a prolonged cold spell for this time of the year with a bit of snow in the higher elevations.
Both the GFS and the Euro are still showing a major cool down starting tomorrow and then an even bigger cool down around the 14th. The GFS is deeper and more stable with the trough in the east. Im hedging in the GFS side because recently it has done better with the medium range than the Euro. But we are going to see temps some 15 to 20 degrees below normal around the area and maybe a chance for some high elevation snows.
The 06z GFS continues the same them of the overnight runs and it even has a bit of snow here and there. Currently this is a cold look for mid April and there is a lot of leaving going out. This will kill out a lot of stuff if not covered. This is in the mid range to and also I give more weight to the GFS than the Euro.
The 12z GFS shows a cool down this weekend around the 10th that would bring highs diwn to the 40s and 50s and lows down around 30. Then it is showing a much more pronounced trough across the East around the 13th that would be a shock to the system and to the environment. This is a big if but by the 14th and 15th we could see highs in the 40s and 30s and lows in the teens and 20s... that would be an extreme turn from this past weekend but it could happen. The GFS has been hinting at this for a few runs and the EURO kind of...
The 18Z NAM is very aggressive again for tonight and tomorrow with upslope snow. We could even see some snow break containment over the mountains tomorrow.
The 12z NAM looks great for upslope snow for tonight through a good part of the day tomorrow. We definitely are not done with the cold and snow. Also this will be dogwood winter.
Both the NAM and GFS show rain changing to snow around midnight tomorrow night for the boarder counties and high elevations. The NAM is much more aggressive but it looks like we are not done with snow yet.