Met1985
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Everything posted by Met1985
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Yeah the issue I have is the inconsistency of the models. Usually they will latch onto something and stick with that. Maybe today is that day but the NAM has been consistently good for us but I dont want to just take the best look for us and say thats what its going to do. Hopefully we will see some kind of agreement today.
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The overnight models dont really impress me with this storm. The GFS looks very moisture starved to me, the NAM looks decent and the euro has cut back on totals a lot. Again to me not good signs if you are looking for a big snow fellas.
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Great stuff and thanks for dropping in time to time.
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The low just seems to be void of a really moisture wrapped system... This is why I said I would wait until Tuesday to really look at things. I've been down this road several times but the trends with the global models have not been great. Saying that we need to see how things play out and keep a level head.
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We have a rain/snow mix this morning. I feel like the freezing line will fall through the day.
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I find it comical how media outlets away from the mountains are latching onto this potential snow outside of WNC so much currently. I mean don't get me wrong I hope they all get hammered but it rarely happens that way.
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Yeah thats really good. Still surprised at no advisory but thats ok the snow is coming.
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I would not be surprised to see an advisory sent out for late tonight into tomorrow.
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Also lets not overlook the small event tomorrow. It looks to be trending a bit more moist currently. Sure it won't be much but it will bring back a wintery appeal to many I think in the upslope regions.
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Well as we all know with these low pressure systems sliding south of us we are always in the drivers seat. Im going to dive in more tomorrow after another round of runs but I am optimistic about the end of the week storm at least.
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Well it looks like we will see some rain and snow starting tomorrow morning changing to all snow by the afternoon for the favored areas. May end up with about an inch or two in the favored spots. At least getting back to a wintry appeal until the models hone in on the end of the weeks system.
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As WNCsnow mentioned that the cold source is lacking very much in Canada. The cold air source is stuck on the other side of the globe. In our region again we look to score the best from the lack of cold air around. We get some of our best snows right around 30 degrees. But this may mean thread the needle scenarios in our neck of the woods or we may not score at all which can happen.
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Yeah man for sure. When I started making the mountain thread this is exactly what I had in mind. Great conversation, level headedness, and some great mountain discussion.
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Thanks guys. I think we do great over here keeping a level head about things. We really do have a great group.
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Things do look up starting in about a week but lets get there first. This group is not about pipe dreams and unicorns. The pattern looks to really become active in about a week. We will go from there.
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January 2021 Medium/Longterm Pattern Discussion.
Met1985 replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
Great stuff Jeff and I can remember in winters past were an SSW did not correlate to cold on this side of the globe. Im very skeptical of anything significant again on this side... -
Yep big bust here as well with temps around 40 and currently we have dipped back down to 29 already.
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Thanks Franklin! Figured id try something new.
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Snow underneath the moonlight
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Had a low of 3 degrees with a total storm accumulation of 5.5 inches. That is an awesome Christmas to me.
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Maybe a few more inches tonight or more. Iv seen flow snow set up surprisingly overnight with very cold temps just wringing out every bit of moisture.... Could be one of those nights...
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Moderate to heavy snow has set back in.
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Same here. Temp is at 15 with thickening clouds with flurries. I would look to see diamond dust fall even into tomorrow morning around spots.
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Glad you made the trip up.
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Made it home from work. The first time in two years the roads have been solidly covered with snow from town to home in about 2 years. Currently its snowing moderately with about 4.5 inches on the ground with a temp of 13 degrees. Merry Christmas everyone!
