Met1985

Sevier County EMA has reported a landslide on the Gatlinburg Bypass prompting the road to be shut down. Please use extreme caution if you are out on the roadways in Sevier County today. [emoji991]Sevier County EMA Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Im up in Johnson City today and we just had one heck of a line of storms come through. Cloud to ground lightning and torrential rainfall in the area and still storming heavily.

12z gfs keeps Imelda of the coast also. Also towards the end of next week it looks like we could cool down significantly. With highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s.

Getting back to today if your area gets underneath one of these storms today you might be in a flash flood area because these storms aren't moving at all. They are just training over the same areas. TN is getting hammered currently because of this.

What a turn on the models from the past 24 hours. Seems like the interaction with Humberto will pull Imelda out to see and keep it from making landfall as it seems currently with the models. This is the 06z gfs and the 00z euro. Looks like the coast is getting racked but I still think we see some adjustments made. With the pull from Humberto and a strong backdoor cold front blowing through we might just make it out with some beneficial rainfall in parts that need it and no flooding in the area. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Hopefully but we know in 6 hours there will be another solution. Not surprised at all by this though.

Now the new 18z gfs keeps it completely off land now. So we will see.

The 12z euro is absolutely horrible for the coastal areas but would throw in beneficial moisture towards the area with possibly only minor flooding at that. Still two different camps in model solutions here. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Yeah this looks like a low end wind event current compared to other events.

Yes, the steering current is very weak. That's why we have a cutoff low in the region that just meanders. This run kind of parks the tropical system in SC instead of further north. Still a lot of rain but as Steve said this won't be a powerhouse of a storm. Still a ways to go with this storm obviously. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Some wonky solutions overnight and this morning. This is from the 6z gfs. This would cause a lot of flooding in the area. A lot of people would have PTSD over this... Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Obviously everyone in the SE are on alarm watch with what could transpire over the next several days. There are several variables with the steering currents and the strength of this possible tropical system. I'd like to see a few more days of consistency with this in the models. Obviously this will be talked and analyzed a lot but that's what we do.

More rain coming in this morning.

Heavy rain and storms are here. Anyone in WNC whose been dry recently will get some much needed rainfall. Those who have seen rain already will be waterlogged.

Tonight's hazards. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Radar looks juiced.

Yep Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Yeah seems to be a bit early on color. The leaf season should be good. Locally we haven't really had a real dry stretch yet and I don't think we will as Steve has alluded to.

What a yucky evening current. Had a high of 76 but it's still 65 tonight and a bit humid. The pattern is a toss up from about 4 days on out but looks interesting.

12z euro holds serve. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Yeah you are in a different climate down there. These early season cold fronts sometimes get hung up just north of you.

Euro really came to life with rainfall. But as we've seen seems like you get passed 3 days and it's a crapshoot. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

3rd straight day it's rained here. I've had I've had over 2 inches of rainfall in 3 days. Had a high of 77 yesterday. A low of 53 this morning and a current temp of 67.

I saw there was some hail up there as well?

I had over an inch of rain yesterday and I'm getting hammered again. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk