Yeah this run is much better than the 18z NAM. That is good news for snow lovers. The NAM has been absolutely pathetic though trying to hone in on this system.
This is exactly why the mountains have been seeing the models such as the GFS latch onto high totals. As Forky mentioned this vort is going to be wound up and we will be north of the vort but then we are going to see backside snow along the border to enhance totals also. This is a complex wound up storm for sure.
I could not agree more. I think the location of the mountains and with elevation someone is going to get a foot plus from this around here. This setup is complex for our region. This isn't the your typical gulf slider.
No kidding! Yeah this month has been atrocious. What is neat about this storm is the rapid intensification of this storm as it pulls through and away. Kind of like something you would see in the NE...
GFS has always been consistent with this storm. Im not so sure about those totals but still this will be a great storm if most everyone sees 4-8 inches.
Yeah the NAM has been anything but consistent with this storm. I will say though if the GFS pulls back a lot then the models may be seeing something... Just food for thought.