The Canadian is looking pretty good so far. Kind of running slow but the storm is there. The UKIE was way suppressed which is perfectly ok at this point.
Again multiple threats of snow all through the GFS run. As people have noted in the storm thread the GEFS have cut totals significantly but I like were we are at. We will have the cold in here we just need the moisture. Lots of runs to go.
Yeah this has been a full reversal for sure. I think January we see the best chances then we warm back up in February and then things get jumbled in March and April with a hodgepodge of cold and warm.
The GFS basically has three chances for some snow back to back, to back with very cold air filtering in with each system. We haven't had that in years here.
The details are not important at this point but the big picture of having the low with cold air and the setup looks really good for this time frame. But don't be surprised to see the models have some wilds jumps from run to run.
One thing is that there is a lot of energy flying around so the models are going to be playing catch-up especially this week. Don't live or die by one model run or you will hate this hobby...