Met1985

Yeah we don't live nor die by one model run. The top dog models have been stellar these past several days. Hold steady gents. There is a thing as too much model watching. You'll make yourself go crazy.

I don't really believe there will be a changeover to sleet or freezing rain in the mountains at the height of the precipitation. Call me a weenie but it just doesn't look right to me.

Temp down to 26. Ground temps ain't going to be a problem.

Yep just what I alluded to. I've seen these bands in the past give an extra 4 to 8 inches that wasn't even forecast.

Also we are seeing a better setup of NW flow behind the storm with bitter cold temps flowing in. Don't be surprised to see warnings kept up long for the border counties...

One thing that seems off about some of the model runs is that it shows heavy snow to heavy freezing rain from one frame to another back to heavy snow. To me that is off and that is telling me there is some feedback issues with the surface to precipitation outputs. Not that im worried but I think this is a flaw in the models with this system....

Meh we will just see how things work out. Im not too worried at all. Just interesting that's all. These storms have a mind of there own.

NWS only looking at 5 to 11 inches for around my area but im not worried. Shoot ill take a few inches and be good

You cannot get no more consistent than what the EURO and the GFS has been the past several days. Impressive for sure.

We are going to get hammered...

Doing great sir

Great discussion guys. Yall make me proud. Everything still looks really good.

It's going to have to beat the EURO and GFS which I don't think it will. Those two models have been locked in.

Was just going to post the 18z was another crush job.

Lol everyone puts every storm up against 93. I mean most of the civilians who are mostly interested in a once in a lifetime storm.

Ill take my 20 inches and cash out, thank you....

Yeah another very solid run for the mountains.

No real big changes to the GFS. Very similar to the 12z.

That's what im think for us as well.

Yeah this is very strong wording from them. Also these totals will probably go up by 2 to 4 inches also before all said and done.

This is as aggressive as I've seen GSP in a long time with a watch.

Rabun-Habersham-Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood- Buncombe-Graham-Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson- Transylvania-Henderson-Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains- McDowell Mountains-Rutherford Mountains-Polk Mountains- Oconee Mountains-Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains- Including the cities of Clayton, Pine Mountain, Mountain City, Cornelia, Demorest, Clarkesville, Hollywood, Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Asheville, Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, Sylva, Franklin, Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Highlands, Wolf Mountain, Cashiers, Brevard, Cedar Mountain, Little River, Hendersonville, Fletcher, Dana, East Flat Rock, Tuxedo, Etowah, Jonas Ridge, Ashford, Woodlawn, Old Fort, Chimney Rock State Park, Saluda, Mountain Rest, Walhalla, Pumpkintown, Tigerville, Gowensville, Cleveland, and Slater-Marietta 338 PM EST Thu Jan 13 2022 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches across the mountain valleys and extreme northeast Georgia, 8 to 12 inches along and near the Blue Ridge Escarpment, and upwards of 12 to 20 inches at elevations above 4000 feet, and ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch possible. * WHERE...Portions of upstate South Carolina, northeast Georgia and western North Carolina. * WHEN...From Saturday evening through Monday morning. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Precipitation may begin as early as Saturday afternoon across parts of the mountains, and will increase in coverage and intensity late Saturday night with a changeover to all snow in most places. Most of the precipitation will fall as snow across the mountains and foothills of North Carolina, northeast Georgia, and Upstate South Carolina. The precipitation will taper off Sunday afternoon and evening, but snow will linger along the Tennessee border into Monday morning. Widespread black ice should be expected Monday morning, and may be a concern into the middle of the week. Later guidance may change snow amounts and will determine when a Warning is issued.

We are getting dryslotted lol.

Yeah I saw that. We are probably not too far behind.

Not much to say other than that. We are seeing very consistent model runs by the EURO and the GFS.