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Met1985

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Everything posted by Met1985

  1. Met1985
    Yeah I know exactly were that is. I have some friends with horses that live up that way and some friends that live up big bald. I live on the Canton side of Crabtree were I can see Canton and Mt. Pisgah.
  2. Met1985
    Yes sir! No need to back down. Go get em Ward!
  3. Met1985
    Yeah you must be on the side facing towards Big Bald and upper Crabtree?
  4. Met1985
    Current temp here is 31 also. Had a low of 21. The ground is primed. We had a heavy frost.
  5. Met1985
    I wouldn't sweat the short range models. Like I've said. The Euro and GFS have been stellar with there solutions. The NAM can suck it for all I care and the HRRR has never been much of a great model for output here in the mountains. I could be wrong and If I am ill eat my words but the big dogs are locked in, not the ankle biters...
  6. Met1985
    As what I've been harping on since yesterday. Great minds think alike lol.
  7. Met1985
    Yeah great runs this morning.
  8. Met1985
    That track should be great for CAD which you should do very well in but there is always a chance for mixing at your elevation. Also no amount of reassurance is going to make things better until it actually starts. You've asked about Morganton on every storm thread. You may want to take a break from looking at the models.
  9. Met1985
    Yeah Haywoods climo is complex from community to community or mountain to mountain but everyone in the country should get theres. Youll have the moisture coming from the south then youll have the NW flow setup after the storm pulls away.
  10. Met1985
    Yeah again the NAM go from heavy heavy snow to sleet back to snow... Im not buying it.
  11. Met1985
    Yeah for that area that is a great storm. Take it and run...
  12. Met1985
    Yeah all systems go at this point. Sitting at a cold 24 degrees and ready for this thing to pop off.
  13. Met1985
    Yeah I think you'll get that easy. I wouldn't worry at all about getting that. It's going to be a wild ride.
  14. Met1985
    I think you may have mixing issues possibly but at this point its a nowcast situation.
  15. Met1985
    Yeah and the rule of thumb if you are outside the mountains there is always an issue with mixing.
  16. Met1985
    GFS looks on point also this morning. I really don't see much mixing issues for the mountains at all. Not saying GSP is wrong but I just don't see it.
  17. Met1985
    Looks like you could get anywhere from 5 to 10 inches of snow. There is a possibility of some mixing which would cut into totals.
  18. Met1985
    The overnight Euro once again was just steady as a rock
  19. Met1985
    Well it's basically go time now. Ill look at the morning models but that's about it. Prepare for everything, expect the modest, and hope for the maximum. Get some rest gents because tomorrow is going to be fireworks.
  20. Met1985
    GFS is just rock steady guys. Looks great.
  21. Met1985
    The GFS is really hammering the mountains. Very heavy snow breaking out around hour 30 and especially around hour 36... Probably some thundersnow.
  22. Met1985
    The NAM looks odd. Too much jumping around with the low run to run in my opinion...
  23. Met1985
    Don't post. I'd step away until tomorrow morning from the models or just wait until the GFS and Euro run.
  24. Met1985
    Yeah we don't live nor die by one model run. The top dog models have been stellar these past several days. Hold steady gents. There is a thing as too much model watching. You'll make yourself go crazy.
  25. Met1985
    I don't really believe there will be a changeover to sleet or freezing rain in the mountains at the height of the precipitation. Call me a weenie but it just doesn't look right to me.
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