Met1985

Current temp of 29 degrees with on and off snow with a dusting. This is more of a westerly flow. Not that great for myself but better for places like Maggie Valley.

31 degrees with moderate snow falling.

The 12z euro is not as enthusiastic as the American models Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

18z gfs looks great for the northern mountains. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

The 18z NAM looks great for the northern mountains. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Lets do some analysis today. This is todays snapshot of the 12z eps run today. For my variable point of the 30th of this month then 10 days out. The eps has cooled a lot since yesterday. Could be because of the current SSW that will start tomorrow in the Arctic. There is a lot of volatility on the ensembles which makes me think that the whole northern hemisphere is going to experience a big shift soon. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Lol at least yall will make up for such a dry Fall this way. At least one positive.

It is a crying shame that in the extended range in January we get a low that tracks south of us and we still cannot pull a snowstorm out of that scenario. I don't care what you say. That is a sign of a crap pattern if there ever was one.

Again on the 12z gfs suite the se ridge is getting besten back by the tpv which could allow for a sneaky system late in the game. My target date of 01-30 has been cooling down since yesterday on the operationals and the ensembles.

On the 12z gfs the clipper coming in looks best for the northern mountains. It looks pathetic really. Seems like it's going the way of the euro. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

12z gfs goes with more of a uniform look across the mountains Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

12z NAM going with the north mountains currently. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

I've noticed that the ensembles have backed off the se ridge today even the eps but the eps is the warmer Ensemble out of all of them which is concerning.

Temp just backed down to 31 with some snow mixing in now. Back to bed for me.

Good morning everyone. Surprisingly we are sitting right at 32 degrees getting a mixture of rain and sleet this morning.

The 00z gfs for tomorrow night into Monday Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Im not trying to be a downer but this is concerning to me. The second image was from the eps 12z suite for 01-30, the first image is from today's eps 12z suite for the same time frame. You go from a decent look to the SE RIDGE flexing. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

The is the 12z euro at hour 60. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

00z NAM is a nice hit for the mountains. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

The SE ridge is relentless on todays maps. That and diving systems down to the four corners doesn't do us any good.

Yeah we've seen this song and dance a lot.

Yeah this run is much better than the overnight runs in my opinion.

The gfs is the only model this morning that looks decent for upslope snow. The euro is paltry and the NAM has back off it's totals. Also once we get this cold front around the 27th the whole country goes zonal and we end up warming right back up.

Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Tazewell-Smyth-Bland-Giles-Wythe- Pulaski-Montgomery-Grayson-Carroll-Floyd-Craig-Alleghany VA-Bath- Roanoke-Botetourt-Rockbridge-Patrick-Franklin-Bedford-Amherst- Mercer-Summers-Monroe-Eastern Greenbrier-Western Greenbrier- Including the cities of West Jefferson, Sparta, Boone, Tazewell, Marion, Bland, Pearisburg, Wytheville, Radford, Pulaski, Blacksburg, Independence, Whitetop, Troutdale, Volney, Galax, Floyd, New Castle, Clifton Forge, Covington, Hot Springs, Roanoke, Salem, Fincastle, Lexington, Buena Vista, Stuart, Rocky Mount, Bedford, Amherst, Bluefield, Hinton, Hix, Union, Lewisburg, White Sulphur Springs, Quinwood, Duo, and Rainelle 405 AM EST Sat Jan 21 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Areas of sleet and freezing rain expected. Total sleet accumulations of up to a half inch and ice accumulations of up to a tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of northwest North Carolina, southwest and west central Virginia and southeast West Virginia. * WHEN...From 4 AM to 4 PM EST Sunday.

Looks like it some ice tomorrow for the favored CAD regions. Buncombe- Including the cities of Asheville, Black Mountain, and Candler 421 AM EST Sat Jan 21 2023 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of less than a tenth of an inch. * WHERE...High elevations of Buncombe County around the Black Mountains. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to noon EST Sunday.