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Met1985

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Everything posted by Met1985

  1. We are out to hour 21 looks like the whole globe is flipped upside-down...
  2. No roasting here. We are literally 7 days out in an anomalous pattern change and blocking. People talk about the gfs being erratic.... Um the Euro went from showing snow in the south to a damn cutter so tell me which model is erratic.... I don't really believe both currently.
  3. Oh yeah that would sting a lot especially with the blocking that is going on currently.
  4. In all seriousness it's one run. There will be several more changes to this storm and the pattern. Could the euro be right? Yes. But I don't think this is the final solution a week out.....
  5. Euro says what snow. We getting rain and nothing else. No cold no snow on the euro. Lol it's probably right.
  6. Also current temp is 23 degrees. That's more like it.
  7. The eps is better looking than the op. Models are still adjusting obviously.
  8. The gfs takes the Christmas system and makes it into a long duration event. Literally dumps about 2 feet of snow on the mountains. Just eye candy but a surreal solution for the Christmas day storm.
  9. Threats for us on the 06z gfs big and small in my opinion. From flurries to nice totals is the 18th, 20th, 22-23rd, 25-28th....
  10. Another good hit by the gfs for us for the 23rd storm. It's doesn't phase and blow up but we still see anywhere from 4 to 12 itches of snowfall. The border counties really clean up. But listen this storm is a weak out. Keep expectations real at this point. All this is, is a signal.
  11. The overnight euro was very lackluster but the eps looked colder and had a better snow mean than the ep euro.
  12. Again the biggest takeaways are it's getting cold, going to get colder then get bone chilling cold and we have several opportunities for winter weather signals on multiple gfs runs.
  13. I spoke too soon about the third system. It phases but late. We still get some snow from it as it deepens off the coast.
  14. The storm after Christmas just misees phasing. We get some light snow but that's about it. But we have plenty of opportunities for chances of snow.
  15. It should but the gfs has been having lots of trouble modeling blocking over the top.
  16. The upslope factor with this run is very impressive especially with the extreme high ratio that this backside snow would put out.
  17. Yeah definitely going to be deeper than the 18z.
  18. Very very true for sure. Shoot I may not want to leave lol.
  19. Im leaving Christmas afternoon to go to Charleston for a few days. Anything up to Christmas ill be game.
  20. Yeah today was the warmest day of the week. Had a high of 56 and a current temp of 32 degrees.
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