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Met1985

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Everything posted by Met1985

  1. The 06z gfs snowfall mean still looks decent out at the mid range of this system. So still some hope.
  2. 06z gfs is too warm as well. All rain. Our cold source is just junk currently... Again a thread the needle type situation.
  3. The overnight suites are just not warm enough. This is a thread the needle situation in my opinion. Our source for cold air is mixed with maritime junk. This is the problem with having the jet just streaking across the states at a record pace.
  4. Yeah too much cold is a bad thing as you well know. I think the rest of the season looks interesting to at least be interested in the pattern for the mid to long range unless something happens to mess that up. But as we both know these patterns have a mind of there own and can be fickle at there best.
  5. Seems like earlier you said that the extended was really dry but I know how quickly that can change....
  6. Yeah I definitely like the repeating pattern into February. I think this February will act much different than people think because of the waning Nina and because we have been in this cold, warm, cold phase since September basically. And I think heading into March and into early spring is a toss up really. We could see some real extremes this spring season. I like the Weeklies and the ensembles for the most part. The jet is absolutely roaring right now. It's been fascinating watching the pattern this season because there really hasn't been a dominant pattern that has taken shape besides the pac jet being a thorn in our side.
  7. This looks a lot like the cold shot we just received during Christmas. I'd like less cold and a more stable pattern but I mean beggars cannot be choosers....
  8. Even though the 18z gfs was not impressive the 18z GEFS gave us a significant mean snowfall boost for our area. I mean a big boost in the mean. We will see if the gfs goes the way of it's ensembles.
  9. Yeah as GaWx has pointed out that the eps has been picking this up the past several runs.
  10. Some good stuff actually in the main thread. GaWx has been putting out some great info the past few weeks. The eps has been picking this signal up for the past few days and todays run of the EPS fully supports the Euro run we just saw. All good things to continue to watch for.
  11. This is very encouraging especially with the Euro and the eps latching onto it. But at this range it's still in clown range in my opinion.
  12. The 12z euro would be a storm everyone could get behind but at this point its only fun to look at. Do not take it seriously.
  13. Yeah I lived in Wausau WI. It was nice. We had several little snow events while I was up there except that huge snow in April.
  14. Looks like im going to have to invest in land up there just to see some snow...
  15. Window rattling storms this morning! Love me a great storm.
  16. Yeah big rain and storms through the whole night. Heavy heavy rainfall all night. Lots of water everywhere.
  17. Just wanted to say that life is so fickle sometimes and we really do not know how long we have on this earth. At a snap of a finger everything can change forever. With Jeremy Renners accident, Damar Hamlin collapsing on the field and the death of one of the most talented rally car racers ever in Ken Block, don't take a minute in life for granted...
  18. This gust front is moving through. Major squall line.
  19. In my opinion I disagree. Since September we have seen several cold intrusions in our region in general. We had an early Frost and freeze to the past few winters. We actually had Fall weather for a few months that helped with a wonderful leaf season. Sure we've not seen a huge snowstorm but this year in my opinion has been leaps and bounds better than last year especially.
  20. And just like that a sneaky little system around the 9th for us.
  21. Yeah Ace he is a great meteorologist. He definitely knows pattern recognition and has great sight following patterns.
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