Met1985

The poor ol 00z NAM snowfall Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Hunters video.

Hunter is a great forecaster and even better person. Having spent some time with Hunter and lots of Communication he is a true professional.

Yeah might as well give everyone a heart attack while we are at it....

Fascinating Larry! And you can definitely see the big shift in the last two from very warm to absolutely frigid. I really think that is where we are headed especially with the favorable mjo coming along towards the end of this month. Great stuff again! Im definitely looking forward to seeing how all this plays out.

We may actually see a correction with tonight's models and tomorrow morning for a more favorable look.

18z gfs snowfall map. A much better improvement over the 12z. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Yall can bail anytime yall want to but im still optimistic about everything especially for us mountain folk. The foothills is a different story and may I remind you the NAM has had issues recently with snowfall and with accumulations.

Avery-Madison-Yancey-Mitchell-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Graham- Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson- Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-McDowell Mountains- Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland, Faust, Mars Hill, Marshall, Walnut, Allenstand, Hot Springs, Luck, Swiss, Burnsville, Celo, Micaville, Ramseytown, Busick, Spruce Pine, Poplar, Alarka, Almond, Bryson City, Luada, Wesser, Waynesville, Waterville, Canton, Cruso, Cove Creek, Asheville, Black Mountain, Candler, Robbinsville, Stecoah, Cullowhee, Tuckasegee, Sylva, Franklin, Rainbow Springs, Kyle, Highlands, Wolf Mountain, Cashiers, Brevard, Cedar Mountain, Little River, Hendersonville, Fletcher, Dana, East Flat Rock, Tuxedo, Etowah, Jonas Ridge, Ashford, Woodlawn, and Old Fort 234 PM EST Fri Feb 10 2023 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 4 to 10 inches and ice accumulations of a light glaze possible. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...The North Carolina mountains. * WHEN...From Saturday evening through Sunday evening.

Great stuff Larry! I love your updates on this. Keep them coming brother. Thank you.

12z eps mean is not bad still. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Could be but I mean even 2 to 4 inches is a win for most this winter. I still think the foothills are very very borderline.

This thing can obviously change course and just a few miles difference will mean a lot to the snow totals and who sees snow. This is far from over in my opinion. Like I said the euro isn't that bad.

12 euro snowfall Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

With the trends the euro didnt look all that bad.

Enjoy. It feels great out.

06z gfs snowfall map. The ull is cutting up more northward which to me will cut down on totals and we already see that this morning on the NAM and gfs. We will see if this is a trend or a blip. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

06z nam freezing rain map. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

06z nam snowfall map. The ull jogged NW a bit and laid down much more ice with this run. Im not buying it at this point. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

The eps actually upped totals from the 12z suite yesterday.. Again the mountains look to be in a great position.

00z eps mean snowfall depth. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

Yeah I think the majority of this storm is going to be a nowcast situation with this ull really.

This was the opposite trend of the NAM and the gfs.

Some wabbles here and there. The dynamics of this system are complex and just the slightest thing will throw more or less snow into an area.

00z euro snowfall Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk