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Nelson

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Everything posted by Nelson

  1. It sure seems like the early GFS ideas of a more SE/weaker track is going to win out. It would appear that my "Euro is king" call, along with the NW trend, was premature. Overall, models were pretty disappointing for this storm. Feel bad for the NWS offices that will take the brunt of the criticism from the less meteorologically educated public.
  2. Moderate snow now. Pushing 2 inches. Radar looking decent but cutoff isn't too far away. Model trends are not good this evening for round 2 IMBY.
  3. I was out and about, a little bit ago, and it was solid rain and 27F (truck thermo) about 3 miles south of my house.
  4. Started with a little freezing rain here - Now mixing with snow. 30F and falling.
  5. Gotta ride the taint to get the best accums. Feeling good about my MBY - may have to deal with some "taint" but we should be close to some of the higher accums. Unfortunate how far off the GFS was with this in the 72+ range - never good when the NAM locks on to something in the long term first. Euro retains it title and the NW trend is back.
  6. Also, with that look, and the agreement (which is a small feat in and of itself), something is going to pop. It may be too far west for most of us to care but it's something.
  7. Outside of the western portion of the MW, probably... but it's sooooo boring otherwise. I get pleasure in showing the trough slowly nudging east.
  8. Inching toward a better look over the last day or so. The western trough has been moving ever so slightly to the East each run.
  9. Hopefully the agreement in the 8-10 is a sign that things are settling down a little bit and we will have some better model handling in the long range. Doesn't look good in the 8-10 but maybe some signs of life after that if we can get that ridge to slide east.
  10. No bueno (if you like snow). At least there is some agreement.
  11. Certainly when it comes to 4+ days out, it's the way to go. Folks would be a lot less stressed out if they followed this advice.
  12. Gonna need to get this resolved before placing any bets.
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