RogueWaves

I had adult Chicken Pox when I was 19. Thought I was gonna die. Was quarantined for weeks and had to be snuck into my doctor's office through the back door. Had so many pox on my head/face my own mother was aghast to see me. Guess I've survived a few things in life that were anything but a cake walk. What don't kill ya makes one stronger as they say..

Could you imagine being stuck in a far away country where that was the scenario? Glad to be riding this out in the familiar comfort of my own home.

Can always play the "what if" game, but I'm choosing to remain optimistic. Just because a storm hits mby with intensity, doesn't mean it maintains that same intensity all the way to yby. Similarly, just because other places around the globe have been hit hard with this virus does not mean it automatically will here as well. And if it did, I'd hope the medical service outlets (hospitals, etc) would figure out a way to send supply reinforcements to the front lines where the battle rages the worst. Hospitals with few or no severe cases could lend their respirators and such to hospitals that find themselves with a shortage of such. Even if the govt had to mandate this, it seems like a reasonable option imho. Look at MI, 14 of 15 deaths in Metro Detroit. Quite a concentrated event so far and with this isolation effort I'll be surprised if that somehow reverses and takes off like a wildfire raging out of control across the countryside.

Per my Congressman's newsletter

More concerned about the "death rate" of confirmed cases. That thankfully has flat-lined at 1.3% in the US, meaning the odds are still vastly in favor of survival. IF the DR was really taking off, then I'd be a lot more concerned. As is, these current totals, while still early, give us some hope. As others have posted, I'm at least as concerned about the net effects to the economy. I'm fortunate to be employed in the food service sector and have Work Authorization papers if I need to travel into my place of employ. But here in the Mitt, over 108K applied for UIA benefits last week, a 2100% increase from a typical week in the prior robust economy. Hoping this doesn't go on too long for the sake of those hit hardest.

this

Takes very little to push a teetering person over a cliff. Just sayin. Talk about compromised!

And if you remove the "olds" the survival rate is likely closer to 98%. As a cancer survivor, I'll take those odds any day of my life! Idk where Peeps come from, thinking life's a guaranteed 100% survival rate kind of journey?

Glad to have missed all the real snow. Still, a fairly miserable near winter day. Full on spring can't come fast enough imho

I heard radar was down for that storm. Can prolly toss that one..

Nothing good has come together besides 11-11 and 1-17/18

^^ The great OHV snow year

Wasn't a fan of last Feb's flavor around here, always being "just SE" of the good stuff. Nonetheless, ended up at 128% of normal when it was a wrap.

Early on, iirc, his top analogs included 13-14, 14-15, & 18-19 (way back in August perhaps). His inner weenie got the better of him and he kept running with the coldest of that trio (for our region at least) when he'd have done best to hug an even warmer version of 18-19. As autumn progressed he went bolder with the colder, dragging up 92-93 & 02-03 weenie winter analogs for his region especially. Personally I would've preferred that he was correct and it was a colder if not epic snowy DJF here.

And waaay too warm. Hard to believe that's a mid-winter scenario

13th day of snow cover up my way. Not only a record for this lame winter, but a pleasant shock as well after all the rain and days above freezing here.

His insurance policy against winter insanity!

The last time I suffered thru a winter month of CAD was Jan of 2010 but at least we had some snow cover. The threat of CAD is over-hyped

GFS flashing more rainers for most of the Sub..can't wait for my 30 hrs of rain ending in flurries

A 9-day snowfall map from six yrs ago. Was that sh*t even real, or did we just imagine all that??

Now now. Let's not down-play. Multi-year suckage is suckage multiplied! We knew we had it coming after a string of many great ones through this region. Doesn't make it any less pathetic tho.

I haven't found this lack of sampling to be such a game-changer lately. For instance, the OHV slider that the GFS (and others) had as more of a panhandle hook. The slider look was pretty much dominant by other guidance prior to the wave getting ashore, and once it did there wasn't some massive last-minute shift. More or less just nailed the coffin on any last glimmer of cutter/hooker outcome. These last few winters have been underwhelming. Stretching avg snow totals out over a 6 month period with little staying power of any accumulations is no way to run a season. Give me the avg snow total condensed to 2 or even a solid 3 month period. Better yet, an above average amount compressed into same time frame. This is not only yawn-worthy, it's tiring, and almost a waste of time chasing ghost storms on guidance trying to guess which 1 out of 20 threats isn't just another mirage. Has to be better ways to spend one's time; like numbering the shingles on my roof perhaps..

..and 6z Euro more a NWIN hitter. Hey guidance, let's just meet in the middle at my place, eh?

^^^ Man, what did Chicago do to earn such a long shafting by the snowstorm gods??

Nah. Ain't happening. Looks too much like THIS