Bostonseminole

Product: NOAA Vortex Message (URNT12 KWBC)Transmitted: 29th day of the month at 0:54ZAgency: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)Aircraft: Lockheed WP-3D Orion (Reg. Num. N42RF)Storm Name: IdaStorm Number & Year: 09 in 2021 (flight in the North Atlantic basin)Mission Number: 10Observation Number: 23 ( See all messages of this type for this mission. )A. Time of Center Fix: 29th day of the month at 0:34:52ZB. Center Fix Coordinates: 26.73N 87.73WB. Center Fix Location: 258 statute miles (416 km) to the S (187°) from Pensacola, FL, USA.C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,827m (9,275ft) at 700mbD. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 967mb (28.56 inHg)E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 130° at 10kts (From the SE at 12mph)F. Eye Character: ClosedG. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 20 nautical miles (23 statute miles)H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 87kts (100.1mph)I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 9 nautical miles to the NW (309°) of center fix at 0:32:28ZJ. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 40° at 74kts (From the NE at 85.2mph)K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 21 nautical miles (24 statute miles) to the WNW (294°) of center fix at 0:28:54ZL. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 85kts (97.8mph)M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 21 nautical miles (24 statute miles) to the NE (54°) of center fix at 0:40:20ZN. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 135° at 91kts (From the SE at 104.7mph)O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 22 nautical miles (25 statute miles) to the NE (54°) of center fix at 0:40:34ZP. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 10°C (50°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,059m (10,036ft)Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 16°C (61°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,071m (10,075ft)R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 11°C (52°F)R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not AvailableS. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and TemperatureS. Fix Level: 700mbT. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.01 nautical milesT. Meteorological Accuracy: 0.5 nautical milesRemarks Section: Maximum Flight Level Wind: 91kts (~ 104.7mph) which was observed 22 nautical miles (25 statute miles) to the NE (54°) from the flight level center at 0:40:34Z

glad we don't use that model but always fun to see

yeah, I mean it can be just as bad with a steady strengthening storm, you don't always need RI

urgh.. https://www.pscp.tv/w/1zqJVXYXYqnKB

I guess, this is what might save tahoe https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Desolation_Wilderness

this gets closer to Tahoe and it could be trouble, already close to Strawberry, a nice little town I visited with my kids often when I lived in Sacramento.

AWESOME, congratulations!

btw is the OP, why would anyone look at that so far out..

GFS and EURO looks pretty similar with JP anywhere south of NH border right now

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso1-14-48-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

the rich at the airport

eye back open pressure down to 970 F. Eye Character: Open in the southG. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 17 nautical miles (20 statute miles)

I believe you.. until we get past IDA, I don't expect to see anything like that, after Ida we move to fall.

lol i hope nobody called a dew of 50 in August, but Dews in the 50's was right on

yeah, nothing muggy about tonight

968.7 on latest pass

18z GFS looks wet 2-4"

seems pretty steady strengthening to me, even if it gets stronger, slowly next 12 hrs it will be a CAT 4

definitely seeing the convections finally wrap around the center, let's see if it holds

F. Eye Character: ClosedG. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 25 nautical miles (29 statute miles)

caldor fire keeps creeping east

there you go, last pass ~982