Wiz, what do you think about tomorrow?
SPC:
...Northeast and Mid-Atlantic...
Ample diurnal heating will occur ahead of a surface trough extending
from the Northeast through the Mid-Atlantic. Convective development
will likely occur by early Wednesday afternoon along this surface
trough, with weak to moderate instability forecast across the warm
sector. Around 20-30 kt of mid-level southwesterly flow associated
with the upper trough may be sufficient to loosely organize storms
into clusters as they spread eastward through the afternoon and
early evening. Although mid-level lapse rates are expected to remain
poor, steepening low-level lapse rates combined with the modestly
enhanced mid-level flow and high precipitable water values may
support strong/gusty downdraft winds capable of producing occasional
damage.