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Everything posted by usedtobe
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Large tree down on a neighbors house. Took out 3 cars and went through the roof.
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I don't know. I think part of it is the negative tilt to the trough and the fact there is southern stream out ahead of the stronger digging trough and that southern vort outraces it and hlps pull the surface low farther east that it would go based on the vorthern stream system. That's only a guess.
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Someone responded to a post I made yesterday according to the site but I have no idea how to find that comment. I'm old, that's my excuse. Is there a way to find it without wading thru pages of comments?
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I worked that storm and if you look at the 500h it was a lot different than the projected storm. It had a much stronger southern stream trough displaced farther south than this one. It was a cold event and one where the models were late in forecasting it to come far enough n to hit DC.
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I had 8.5" at the very northern end of the Calvert county.
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I've already got 3" and it is still snowing heavily (about an inch an hour).
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Had a little snow and then a salt truck came by and spread more salt on our yard then on the road.
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I don't have no permanent hunch. Not surprised that the models are jumping around. Two may short waves and the ridge aloft west of optimal will keep the axis of heaviest snow jumping around. I agree with not wanting too much snow as I don't want to end up with the permanent hunch.
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Looks like I was the lowest with a whopping 0.50".
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Recorded 9.8", not quite double figures but a nice snow.
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Nice to see it capitulate and shift towards the global models. Now hopefully it holds.
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I was going to post that map since it has double digits over house but it also shows how different it is from the 18Z NAM.
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But also more potential to drag warm air north for mixing with the warm advection especially as rates fall off.
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Rain here, temp in upper 30s. Haven't seen a flake yet this year except when looking in the mirror.
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Yes he would but would give big odds on the under.
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Good, had a good summer fishing. Hoping to see some snow this winter.
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Ended up with 0.78".
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.22" of rain, still way too dry.
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It is drier. Not sure that means a lot.
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Jan 19th Snow on Snow: the this always works until it doesn't thread
usedtobe replied to psuhoffman's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yes and gives me 3". Now I'll take walk so I don't see the GFS to disappoint me.- 824 replies
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
usedtobe replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Thanks. I do look in. At least we have two possible events to track. You've got a lot of pros and good enthusiasts so I'm not sure what I could add.- 425 replies
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- jinx
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Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: Do we finally win or get Saltburned?
usedtobe replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
I broke the accumulations down to 6 and 12 hr intervals and stormvista gave nothing. Here's it's 24 hr amounts. If it snows that lightly we'd be lucky to get more than a coating. Graphic is courtesy of StormVista.- 425 replies
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The killer for most of us is the roaring southerly winds at around 5000 ft. Here's a forecast sounding for DC at 19Z or 2 PM Note that where the warm layer is and has DC at around 4C. that's also where the winds are southerly at 50kts or stronger.