Kay

sunset alert

1 hour ago, Always in Zugzwang said:

 

There could be a 50/50 low but the placement is not ideal for us to get snow here.  If you look, the location of the tree (which will deposit our 50/50) is too close to the curtained window on the right, which makes the spacing too tight.  The shelf above the fireplace is also too flat, which does not allow much room for digging.  And the fireplace!  Now there's our problem.  It's pumping heat into the entire scene, and until we can get rid of that Pac Puke, I'm afraid our chances of any sustained snow window relies solely on good luck.  However, just to prove I'm not a total pessimist, the snowman and Santa Clause shortwave there in the southwest corner looks like it could be a sneaky event.  I've seen situations like that before and they produce some good snow, even in DC.  Not a HECS, but enough to make most everyone here happy.  Except for Ji, of course.  Now, for some even better news going forward.  Near the edge of the left side of the picture (beyond where our snowman/Santa chance is), you'll see a hint of a coat rack with a coat there. That vortex is gradually shifting west which would allow the fireplace Pac Puke to also shift west and result in more buckling of the flow.  Once that happens, we'll be in for a more favorable period.  It will also shorten the distance between the two stockings and the "H" over the fireplace, which gives us several opportunities.  But we have to exercise patience, something that's sorely lacking in this forum.  But I do expect a better pattern that can produce.  Can things go wrong?  Sure, that snowman/Santa wave could just get squashed and we get nothing followed by a period of crap.  The coat rack and coat might not move far enough out of the picture to allow for a favorable wave train.  In which case, we should close the blinds until next Christmas when I set up the tree again.  But in all honesty, I don't expect that worst case scenario to happen.  Indications are that the progression I described above are already in motion. 

I like the look in the tree skirt domain

one more

18 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said:

In the fetal position 

Are you a psychologist, psychiatrist, or other mental health professional, leesburg? You always have your finger on the pulse of this board's daily emotional struggles

On 12/24/2022 at 2:55 PM, Kay said:

The Bush River has not frozen over (yet?) just too windy and turbulent. Main cool sight so far is any vegetation close enough to the high water we had got coated with freezing spray and is encased in ice. I didn't get a good pic and I'm not going back down there until it's less windy!

Welp I still didn't get a good pic, but this from yesterday shows what I was talking about above. Freezing spray > freezing rain. And update: river now frozen over shore to shore.

I like that we have both a panic thread and a futility thread, for when you're just too weary to panic

I took a walk in the woods this afternoon and was really getting into that crispy crunch of leaves + ice Awesome out. Just got back from walk #2. World of difference without the wind!

The Bush River has not frozen over (yet?) just too windy and turbulent. Main cool sight so far is any vegetation close enough to the high water we had got coated with freezing spray and is encased in ice. I didn't get a good pic and I'm not going back down there until it's less windy!

low of 7

5 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Ah very nice--thanks for sharing! Ya know, the opening chord progression sounds just like The Young and the Restless, lol 

There was a meme I saw where it was talking about not seeing his work on a Christmas program: "I can't believe it's not Rutter!"

Ya know, John Rutter is as successful as a composer can be in this day and age--how his work is cemented in the choral repertoire is really quite something!

 

Lol at the meme yes...everyone loves Rutter. Especially singers.

9/-5

for @Maestrobjwa@Always in Zugzwangand anyone else who might like a beautiful wintry piece.

Windy af right now. River covered in whitecaps and rolling/breaking waves.

Been getting some wind-driven sideways flurries #firstflakes 33F

2 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

Same! Yeah sometimes I wish he wouldn't to keep things lighter at least for this time of year...BUT, a stat is still a stat and doesn't quite care how it makes ya feel, lol

All part of a well-balanced wx weenie diet

5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Oh look! Here comes Santa Hoff spreading holiday cheer to all the weenies! 

psu = pretty sure underwhelming

I kid! I appreciate psu's posts (sometimes through my tears)

Smacked. Rain, wind, graupel

Just past the a.m. high tide, minor coastal flooding bringing water into low lying places around here. More H20 to freeze. Awaiting the rain...already had a brief power outage. 44F

14 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

Not true. I expect to see some cool frozen pictures on Christmas!

I will try to make up for my east-ness with ice

10 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

 

The most recently issued product is what is visible "on top". It's like layers on a sandwich. When the "top" product expires, then whatever is "underneath" becomes visible. For example: If NWS issues a Flood Watch at 10:00 am, then a Wind Advisory at 11:00 am, then Wind Advisory becomes visible on the WFO home page. This becomes messy during complicated, changeable storms like the one we are experiencing now, and NWS is aware of this. I've been on a few webinars and completed a few surveys about some possible changes to their interface, and what's potentially coming down the line looks good. I don't know anything else about the nitty gritty.

Thanks EJ! It could use some help so that is good to hear.

1 hour ago, gymengineer said:

Do you have a link to a source that lists what the warning hierarchy is to determine which color we see on the NWS map when multiple warnings/advisories are in place? Like, flash flood and tornado warnings will always be primary, but between a winter weather advisory and a wind chill advisory, for example, which one takes precedence on the map? Thanks in advance! 

I have wondered this for a long time. Anyone know?

1 hour ago, WVclimo said:

LWX has the front moving through before daybreak there. By 8:00 a.m. winds are already gusting to almost 60 mph. Here’s the P&C forecast for Bittinger:

Huge fan of the hourly forecast graph

2 hours ago, H2O said:

Ok lets see if this clears it up.  Having people post from WVa that are closer to DC than PHL makes more sense cause what weather they get often has an impact on what happens here and points east of them.  NOTHING from PHL or its surrounding will affect my weather.  And they have their own place to post.  So go there.  

No comment on anything else but this is exactly why no one cares about my obs It's ok I totally get it

Should be some decent freeze-up on rivers, streams, ponds, etc. from this airmass. Hoping for interesting formations and whatnot with the prolonged blustery conditions.

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