Kay

Squalling here but not much frozen, a few flakes mixed in, poor rates. 44

This is still pinned. Idk it could be a generic hoping to see a squall thread 

.80"

Just now, JenkinsJinkies said:

A significant portion of it does.

No. We have...big personalities that make it seem like that. Because everyone chats about what BPs say and think. By the numbers, I'll bet you actual money the majority in the forum are not "all or nothing", which is the expression you used.

Just now, JenkinsJinkies said:

I brought this up the other day but this forum has a huge “all or nothing” mentality problem.

It's really not the whole forum. 

4 minutes ago, bncho said:

I want to say I saw this in an Eric Webb X post that he did a week-ish ago. He mentioned 2014 and -EPO/+TNH and how it's a pattern that's hard to predict, probably excavated it from the back of my mind.

Makes sense.

Just now, bncho said:

It's all me, no AI. I'm a dumbass but I've been here for over a year so I should be learning something lol

Thank you. You seriously are as much a good sport as you are smart.

43 minutes ago, bncho said:

-EPO/+TNH is a highly volatile pattern where even a slight difference can lead to the difference between a raging SE ridge and Jan 2014 cold. IMO the pattern looks like Jan 2014 at this juncture, don't think we'll get a big dog but multiple 2-4", 3-6" events are on the table, maybe even a 6-10" event.

OK, I'll be the arsehole...bncho, is this all you and zero AI? You are obviously super bright and a quick learner, either way. And a good sport, so I hope you'll forgive my asking.

3 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said:

Very close for 150+ hours,  changes will happen.  We’re in the game. 

The upshot. The takeaway. The deal.

5 minutes ago, wxdude64 said:

Noticed a couple of wife's Crocus bulbs 'peeking' on the south side of house today. Sheesh. 

Iris, here.  Gotta hand it to em I guess for being survivors. Annoying though, way too eager to LIVE

57. Getting some things done outside and it is noice.

3 hours ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

1) January 2025, had snow on the ground nearly the whole month and had a couple “snow on snow” events.

2) October 29, the coastal storm that dumped a decent amount of rain. First rain event since late summer that didn’t have a series of walk backs in the lead up.

It was these two for me. The first was amazing. I absolutely loved the sustained snopamine. Snow cover weenie through and through. The second event was impactful in terms of coastal flooding in the bay.

3 minutes ago, bncho said:

I saw a flock of geese flying north. 

They were coming to mby

21 minutes ago, aldie 22 said:

Still only 39 today was supposed to hit 50

I don't have stats but feels like mby has struggled to reach forecast highs a lot this season.

41 now. Just noticed forecast high I saw this a.m. of 46 has been shaved back to 44.

42 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

I'm not sure which is worse. Complaining about no snow or complaining about the complainers.

A timeless question. Both can be annoying (and I have done both) but are fine, and normal weenie fare, in smaller doses. But. Factoring in post volume? imo the first is worse.

2 minutes ago, high risk said:

 

     I think that recent longer-range forecasting successes, part of the ever-improving state of NWP, have raised our expectations a bit too high.    We're not yet at the point where we can expect the Week 2 period to always be forecasted with skill, even for ensemble systems.

Great post, rational POV. Everyone needs to tattoo this on their brain 

14 minutes ago, GreyHat said:

Why be a cliff jumper? There are warm ups every year. You'd be jumping every year as if you have nine lives.

Psychologically, we humans have an ingrained tendency to believe pessimism protects us from pain and disappointment. It doesn't, of course. So it goes here. Endlessly reflecting on our own and each others' psychological status, every season, every week, every day and hour. As much or more discussed than weather, fr. Quite a hobby innit?  Can't forget to add the obvious: most of us are also very ill when it comes to snow.

On 12/30/2025 at 7:54 PM, Kay said:

Folks. I have a dental surgery tomorrow. Yes, on NYE. While some are chasing mind-bending LES, I will be out there chasing..up to .5" if everything breaks right in Harford Co. 

Welp, no snow yesterday. And I'm doing ok today but slept SUPER heavily and missed the squall  and somehow even the warning ?! . Went out at 8 a.m. measured a few spots on the deck, 0.2" as average. Abingdon mesonet snow depth was same at 8 a.m. but had more earlier. Bel Air spotter 0.2" Neither place that close to here idk outta energy again lol 0.2" it is. Happy new year to all!

Folks. I have a dental surgery tomorrow. Yes, on NYE. While some are chasing mind-bending LES, I will be out there chasing..up to .5" if everything breaks right in Harford Co. 

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

Got me pegged! Lol

I'm just getting old and crusty.

Don't forget bitter. The trifecta.

Does anyone else routinely have trouble copy/cut/pasting text (e.g., LWX text products) into posts? What's your method oh master @yoda ? It works about half the time for me. Sometimes it helps to paste first into like a gmail, doc etc, sometimes makes no difference. Browser tinkering and sign out/in no difference. My attachments are not over limit. Not really important lol I was going to post the winter commuting hazard for NEMD tomorrow morning but have been wondering and usually give up.

43, gusts into the 30s.

28 minutes ago, Mrs.J said:

I see blue in the sky!! 

A little blue now on the western horizon.

50, overcast, light S/SW winds

BUT NOT FOR LONG

14 minutes ago, Kay said:

Who else is tracking tf out of this cold frontal passage? Torch begone. LFG. lol

3 minutes ago, wxdude64 said:

Down to 44.3/37.0 at 10 am, winds WNW at 14 gusting 31 mph. 

That's what I'm talkin about people. Dude knocked off almost 6 degrees in 2 hours. We can do it, too. It's happening.

Let's do this.