wolfie09

It really is like night and day haha Sat here most of the day at 33 with white rain, got dark and dropped a degree, now I get to watch it add up..

Hopefully the Hrrr is on to something.. Every degree matters.. Would obviously accumulate more efficient..

East of Lake Ontario...amounts will be substantially lower given a more unfavorable northwesterly flow regime...however most areas there should still pick up an additional 3 to 6 inches...with localized amounts of up to 10 inches possible across the Tug Hill/ western Adirondack foothills due to orographic enhancement. Given the above and the latest available snowfall reports for this region... have elected to stick with the existing Winter Weather Advisory there for now. Southeast of Lake Ontario...the environment will also become marginally cold enough for some areas of weak lake enhancement to develop this evening and then continue through the rest of the night and Wednesday...with this likely supporting accumulations of 3 to 6 inches from eastern Monroe county eastward to southern Oswego county. Given marginal surface temperatures Wednesday afternoon... the bulk of the accumulation should come between tonight and the first half of Wednesday...for which yet another Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect. Outside of the above areas...the rest of the region should see a general 2-4"/3-5" between now and the end of Wednesday...with marginal temperatures again helping to keep the bulk of any accums confined to tonight and Wednesday morning. In addition to the snow... gusty westerly to northwesterly winds are still expected through much of the period...which will allow for at least some blowing snow at times. Given the combination of this and the expected snowfall amounts above...Winter Weather Advisories also remain in effect for most of the rest of the region...save for Niagara and Orleans counties where overall snowfall amounts should be lowest.

The euro keeps us below freezing from now until about 8 am when most of us warm above freezing east of L. Ontario.. That 1-2 degrees can make a world of difference.. Starting to accumulate more efficiently..

Something is potentially gonna form soon over the Fulton area.. Both the HRRR and high Rez Canadian dump 3/4”+ by early morning..

NWS definitely added more mixing and warmer temperatures to the forecast.. Still all snow forecasted here but just a few miles west R/S the entire event.. Same goes for the Fulton area, much more mixing introduced.. My forecast went from 5”-10” to 3”-7”.. Snowing pretty good out at the moment, big fat wet flakes..

lol

Hrrr has been consistent the last couple runs developing a stronger band in the southern part of the county, later this afternoon/evening.. How much of that accumulates is another story..

We will start accumulating better after dark..

Haha we'll see man.. Right now on the 8" line according to the NWS.

I really like what i'm seeing from the meso models, and still more precip to come..

Long ways to go with this one..

Wifey tells me its all rain at work in pulaski.. Guess that 6 miles really does matter lol

Snowing starting to pick up in intensity..

We die a slow death but it adds up..

Good to here Anthony .. Had to leave the city to see some snow huh

Creating a nice little base, probably about 1/2"-3/4" of snow down.. This initial moisture won't add up to much, its not until tonight-tomorrow afternoon when the majority of snow will fall.. Good thing it get's dark at like 430 lol

Last 2 hrs kfzy has reported light rain, temp of 35..

Still all snow here, big wet flakes..I'm 6 miles east of 81, granted at a higher latitude..

Snowing pretty good and having no problem accumulating, everything is white again..