wolfie09

Rgem

Could be a decent one for our buddy down in hannibal, if the 3k has a clue..

Last nights euro didn't look to bad over the next 10 days, several shots at accumulating snows.. Yes some rain from time to time as well..

That's better than what Fulton has this year lol

When u get a West wind u pretty much know where the band is going, WNW not so much lol Could be anywhere from the northern cuse burbs to Mexico/parish/maple view..

High Rez Canadian/NMM and ARW like south of Oswego county..

Rgem is more of a 280 flow, while 3kmam is more 300..

May need to take a trip down to Fulton lol

Lets see how this one turns out..

The CO one will be the first feature of interest as it moves a little more quickly to the east by hitching a ride on the tail of a pseudo-zonal subtropical jet over the SE US, while the ND system will move eastward at a slower pace. A weak surface and elongated trough will develop ahead of these features with some precipitation development along the trough axis by Sunday evening. For snow lovers, this is not an awe-inspiring setup as it is lacking in synoptic lift and mesoscale help from nearby lake influences. The result may be some light snow to our south and possibly over the Southern Tier, with a lower chance for much of Western and Central NY as the weak surface trough stretches out over the region. Even if snow does fall, accumulations look rather sparse with best chance scenarios of around and inch or two. On Monday, the ND shortwave will be over the Northern Great Lakes and approaching the region. This will provide another opportunity for some snow, with a little more help from the lakes on a WNW flow, meaning to some extent the Chautauqua Ridge and (better) areas SE of Lake Ontario will have another chance to see some snow showers before and on Christmas Eve. Upper level support is there with the shortwave, along with the airmass aloft just cold enough to for lapse rates supporting snow together with a cap around 10000`. Moisture is there too, at least through the dendritic growth region, although synoptic moisture isn`t impressive beyond the cap. With the above in mind, multibanded snow showers are a possibility with the usual relatively low confidence ~2 days for WNW flow. But at least there`s something to latch onto however. As usual, with this flow, the hardest area to forecast for will be the Niagara Frontier with the low possibility of a weak `gotcha` band originating off Lake Huron.

Last chance for a white Christmas for those who don't have snow cover..

This is how we roll in Altmar lol Neighbor was outside shoveling...

Living around here is like playing frogger lol Every single time it rains, I have never seen so many frogs lol

puking raindrops at the moment..

Nearest WU station about 3 miles west had a high of 58 with current temp of 43..Rainfall on the day 0.38" with most activity missing to the west.. Only negative about the snow is the timing, heaviest between 4-7 am..

Some lake effect potential on a NW flow, especially south of Oswego county, maybe max can get in on some.. hi rez Canadian

Cold air on the western side will eventually win out with rain quickly changing over to snow, briefly heavy, as the boundary starts to move east into the Genesee Valley and points east. The result will be a burst of wet snow - large flakes - with snow that sticks to just about everything.

We should see a nice burst of snow overnight along the front, just behind the change over..

What we can root for lol

Heading in the right direction..

It also shows the difference in perspective, along the coast 12/1-15/1 is pure powder lol

While true buff, the lake region still has the highest average snow-liquid ratio along the east coast.. I grew up in nyc/nj and average synoptic events are 10-1..

Euro came in a little snowier as well..