wolfie09

Nam spreads around the wealth.. Jackpot hills south of the cuse..

Nam is south with the 2ndry.. Models continue to waffle back and forth with exact track.. Could have an impact on total precipitation and changeover time..

The meso models are not even in full range yet, they are still relying on global output.. They will adjust all day today.. I don't wanna here about that long duration BS lol It's easier to get 9" in 24 hours then 7" in 12 hours.. Headlines will be issued eventually ..

Nice crush job for the tug with about 12 hrs of accumulating snow left..

Don't sound to impressed, minus the Higher elevations.. The large scale trough will be overhead while multiple shortwaves drop south and across the forecast area. Deep moisture in west-northwest flow will persist into Wednesday evening with lake induced equilibrium levels holding steady at 8-10k feet. Lake effect snow is expected across the forecast area and will be enhanced by the higher terrain. Off Lake Erie, winds will become northwest Wednesday evening and an upstream connection with Lake Huron will provide additional moisture. Moderate to heavy snow accumulation is likely along the Chautauqua Ridge and into the Boston Hills during this time. Snow ratios will rise above 10:1 especially across the higher terrain and snow accumulations of 6-12 inches are possible Wednesday- Thursday. For this reason, A Winter Storm Watch was posted and is in effect from late tonight into Thursday with the greatest accumulation along the Chautauqua Ridge Wednesday-Wednesday night. Off Lake Ontario, northwest flow will provide lake effect and upslope snow showers along the southern shore with moderate snow showers from Wayne County eastward to the Tug Hill region. Northwest flow will provide enhancement on the northern side of the Tug Hill and northern Jefferson and Lewis counties will see lesser amounts. Moderate snow accumulations of 5-10 inches will be confined to the Tug Hill. Due to the isolated nature of these amounts and that the amounts will be spread out across Wednesday-Thursday, will not be issuing any Winter Headlines at this time. Elsewhere, minor accumulations of 1-3 inches are possible Wed-Wed night.

Wed morning should be fun, probably the heaviest snow of the entire event..

Rgem would be close to a foot and a half when all said and done for northern Oswego and southern Jefferson counties.. Probably overdoing it some but who knows lol By tonight's 0z runs we should have a better idea..

Euro/Nam keep lake snow going through friday afternoon!!

I'm on Matts side here haha I do enjoy spring and fall though, especially the smell of fresh cut grass and spring rain lol Hate summer haha But I can tolerate it here with avg temps in the upper 70, in cnj avg high was like 87°.. PS nothing worse then stink bugs..

Pretty sure your speaking of VD 2007.. I lived out in the captial region at the time, memorable storm in a horrid winter..I think we had like 9" for the year heading into that storm lol I learned real quick Albany is not as snowy as I thought lol

2014 Ford escape..

Rgem with double digit snowfall by wed night..

25° with freezing rain..

Rgem pops the 2ndry over interior SNE..

Rgem with a 1/2 foot tue night into wed with that potent SW, wrap around/enhancement just getting started..

Short Range Forecast Discussion NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 226 PM EST Mon Jan 07 2019 Several lows will move from the Great Lakes into the northeast over the next few days, delivering precipitation region-wide. The first low will move from Wisconsin into western Quebec overnight, spreading precipitation eastward into the Northeast. A secondary low will arrive in the Great Lakes Tuesday morning, quickly move east, and then strengthen along the Northeast coast Tuesday Night and Wednesday. The passage of the two lows should cause temperatures to fluctuate from the Great Lakes into the Northeast, which may cause multiple changes in precipitation types in some areas. Much colder air should arrive behind the second low on Tuesday Night and Wednesday, leading to a final changeover to snow across much of the interior Northeast and lake effect snow in the Great Lakes. Significant snow accumulation is expected from Upstate New York into Vermont, New Hampshire and inland Maine, with over 8 inches of snow likely.

Yea the 3k nam is nice, probably would of been a little better then the 12k.. Looks like about 12"-15" from me to matt with about 12 hrs of snow to go..

Fun begins early wed morning as we start to change over..All snow accumulation happens after this point..

Latest Nam has 2.5" of total precipitation..

Euro is cold throughout after the cold front passage.. Has some powder keg snow in the long range..

3k nam by wed night, with the lake enhancement just getting started.. I think wed night we could see some decent ratios as the cold air deepens..