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wolfie09

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Everything posted by wolfie09

  1. Next system on the euro is pretty much all mix/sleet thanks to strong HP coming down.. Squeeze play between SE ridge and Hp coming down from Canada..
  2. Euro looks pretty good, not so much for the synoptic synoptic system more so for the LES, keeps the lake going until sat morning.. Obviously can't take the numbers verbatim, just like the look starting thursday..
  3. Global models look great for the southern tug and surrounding area's especially on Thursday/friday as the ggem/GFS/ukmet also go more "Westerly".. Cautiously optimistic as I wait for meso-models to start getting into range..
  4. This is obviously a much longer event then last.. I would expect winds to fluctuate enough over the 3 days to give us atleast something, especially thursday and possibly friday..
  5. So yeahh, Nam meh lol Looks like the euro verbatim, at least for here.. 5"-6" of snow which is about what I am expecting, the Low end of the NWS 6"-12" forecast.
  6. I can't speak for off Erie but the GFS/Nam have a predominant WSW flow off Ontario..Nam gets me a little more into the action on the southern fringes..
  7. Finished with 5.5" yesterday/overnight.. Pulaski scored 9" from that little band, not sure I buy the 0.20" LE lol Snow did have a big time fluff factor but probably not that much.
  8. Just not seeing it lol Ksyr would be lucky to see a few inches on the Euro/Nam/3k. At this rate I'll be lucky to hit 6".
  9. The Ukmet the wettest it has been so far with about an inch LE in the form of snow for mon/tue..
  10. 3" of new snow.. Looks like some tea kettle stuff that's just making it to me 14 miles from the lake shore lol
  11. Total snow accumulations from Monday evening to Wednesday night will range from 3 to 6 inches across the Niagara Frontier, Genesee Valley and western Finger Lakes to 4 to 8 inches across the western Southern Tier and 10 to 18 inches east of Lake Ontario. Gusty winds during this time will promote areas of drifting and blowing snow which will greatly reduce visibilities. At this time, confidence is high enough to issue a Winter Storm Watch for east of Lake Ontario.
  12. It looks like next week will be dominated by a WSW/SW flow, not sure why I have high end pops all week, probably be watching a mile north get hammered lol This system on Monday/Tuesday still looks ok with about 3/4"-1"+ liquid on the majority of models..
  13. Ripping right now with huge flakes, it has been now for the better part of an hour.. Kbgm early guess on mon/tue time frame..
  14. Went from some tiny flakes to big fluffy flakes over the last 10-15 min, only about 1/2" new snow.
  15. We are a special breed lol Majority of the population is weather illiterate... I actually know a few who can't tell the difference between a tornado and hurricane lol Almost everyone thinks sleet is freezing rain..haha I have friends who call bust when the forecast is 30 percent showers , "weatherman are always wrong"
  16. To be honest I'm pretty sure the general public doesn't look at KBUF clown maps nor do they read the AFD lol More people pay attention to the twc or AccuWeather then the NWS lol
  17. Both GFS and Para look pretty good as well.. Ukmet also doubled it's 12z output and now has over an inch LE for north/East oswego county..
  18. Wpc snowfall till Tuesday evening.. High end is 2 feet lol Would be nice
  19. Buffalo twice in week, say it ain't soooo..lol
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