wolfie09

This will have a significant impact on the Buffalo and Rochester metro areas, where a tenth to a quarter inch of ice is expected during the day on Wednesday. Temperatures will only be in the mid 20s when freezing rain starts, and will only gradually rise during the day, struggling to rise above freezing by sunset. Significant icing is also expected across the North Country, where precipitation may start off as a brief period of sleet.

Gfs looks a little wierd with this 2 low structure.. It's really not that far off from the euro..If that HP was located bettter like the euro it would be forced to pop a secondary sooner.. Some places still see 4"-6" on the gfs before flipping..

Verbatim the euro is a warning criteria event with a region wide 6"-10" with a little more east of ontario due to enhancement, at 10-1..

Gfs compared to euro

12z Euro remains the same..

Euro has shown a hit 3 consecutive runs , not they it matters much at this juncture lol

I'll just leave this here..

Winter returns in a big way on the euro, day 9 lol

What a beautiful day out, sitting at 54°, wonder if we can make a run at 60.. Just took my first 5 mile walk of the year!!! Just like how you beef cakes love to go to the gym I Walk Walk Walk lol Haven't been to the gym since I was 18, I'm now 36 lol I walked most of this in a calendar year dropping from 250lb to 165lb, walking in nature is also a tremendous stress reliever and the best medicine you can use for anxiety/ADHD/depression. Winter who? Haha

Winter is far from over.. Never is the first week of February in upstate NY lol

This is the kinds of Winter it has been lol Can't even snow with a more favorable track.. CNY may be the worst spot for synoptic snowstorms lol Warm air shoots up into cny so easy..

Need to breakdown that SE ridge.. I wish I didn't even look at the euro haha Maybe the worse OP run this year lol

Eps is above Avg till about the 10th, average to below average for the 10th-17th..

Probably low for parts of the tug.. Deepest snowpack of the year for me.

Yeah still ripping pretty good...7.5" as of 630am..

First measurement 5.25" as of 4am.. Some of the best rates I've seen this year, few more hours of this I should at least hit double digits..

Locked in for the night.. Awesome out right now, at least we won't get shut out lol

Yeah same here, ripping right now. Hi rez canadian which is doing a good job, keeps this band hanging around till 11 am..

SWS Issued earlier.. ..A BAND OF INTENSE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL JEFFERSON...CENTRAL LEWIS AND NORTHEASTERN OSWEGO COUNTIES... At 1143 PM EST, A band of heavy lake effect snow producing snow fall rates of 2 to 4 inches per hour extended from near Ellibsurg and Mannsvile eastward across the Tug Hill to just south of Lowville. This band was drifting very slowly to the south at about 5 mph. Winds in excess of 30 mph are occuring in and near this band of lake effect snow. This will result in blowing and drifting snow with greatly reduced visibility. Locations impacted include... Sandy Island Beach State Park, Lowville, Pulaski, Adams, Redfield, Selkirk Shores State Park, Highmarket, Barnes Corners, Whetstone Gulf State Park, Southwick Beach State Park, Richland, Watson, Martinsburg, Lyonsdale, Greig, Orwell, Lorraine, Sandy Creek, Port Leyden and Lacona. Starting to really come down now..