wolfie09

Rgem looks pretty good..

I may be a little to far north for tomorrows band so we'll see.. Looks like a central oswego county event at the moment..

It's actualy colder down that way then up here.. Weather underground showing mid 20's from the southern tug to pulaski. Lower 20's down your way and lower 30's just south of downtown syracuse..Wierd lol

New map Looks pretty but won't verify lol

NWS must of heard my complaints lol Took rain out the forecast added some snow accumulation. Tonight Freezing rain and sleet before 11pm, then snow showers and sleet between 11pm and 1am, then snow showers after 1am. Low around 23. Breezy, with a southeast wind 18 to 23 mph decreasing to 6 to 11 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 34 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total nighttime snow and sleet accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

NEW YORK ...Erie County... 1 NW Williamsville 1.3 915 AM 2/12 NWS Employee Buffalo Airport 1.1 1200 PM 2/12 NWS Office ...Livingston County... Lima 3.0 1000 AM 2/12 Snowfall from 6-10 AM. ...Monroe County... 2 SE Irondequoit 6.0 103 PM 2/12 Social Media 4 SSE Pittsford 3.4 1055 AM 2/12 CoCoRaHS Rochester Airport 2.9 1254 PM 2/12 ASOS 2 N Greece 2.8 1145 AM 2/12 Trained Spotter ...Niagara County... 1 NNE North Tonawand 1.6 1030 AM 2/12 CoCoRaHS 3 NE Lewiston 1.0 855 AM 2/12 Public ...Oswego County... 3 SSW Redfield 2.0 221 PM 2/12 Trained Spotter ...Wayne County... 2 SW Walworth 5.2 1200 PM 2/12 CoCoRaHS

3k nam sets up a band in central oswego county similar to the euro..Keeps me right on the northern fringes as usual lol

Euro also has the changeover occuring around 1 am, the same time the NWS has us changing to rain..

They really are ass backwards sometimes though.. They took out snow overnight and put rain all the way into the tug.. Nam has snow by 1am..

The premise for the NWS forecast was the "potential" for wrap around moisture with the developing coastal as well as lake enhancement and or lake effect, not from the primary ..They made that abundantly clear lol The forecast for the primary was 3"-7"/4"-8" for the majority of oswego county.. With that being said that was still to high lol

Interestingly enough we are seeing mostly ZR not pellets..(some mixed in)

I miss the old days when i had no idea weather models existed.. You wanted to know the weather just look out the window lol Or waiting till 3 am to watch the "local on the 8's" update,, Watching paul kocin hoping he would put me in the "pink", brighter the better haha Good ole days..When weather was fun..

Pretty much all she wrote with this one.... Nws now has kfzy up to mid 30s tonight and rain.. Wednesday, a blustery day is in store with scattered to numerous snow showers along with a continued biting wind still gusting into the 40-50 mph. This will produce some blowing snow conditions, with blowing and drifting snow east of Lake Ontario. Accumulations will be fairly manageable for this time period, but the blowing snow may result continued issues surrounding transportation. With slow and steady cold air advection, temperatures won`t change much from the morning`s lows. This will result in most areas remaining at or below freezing. During the afternoon, a lake effect band should be taking shape over Lake Ontario with a weak upstream connection off of the slushy Lake Erie. This should slowly move east toward the entrance to the St Lawrence river in the afternoon and possibly move into Watertown toward the end of the day. Wednesday night, the main feature of interest will be on the mesoscale with a lake band slowly moving south across the Eastern Lake Ontario region. It should end up ESE over Oswego County, but synoptic moisture will be moving east away from the region with a corresponding lowering of the boundary layer capping inversion, the event may not have lasting intensity to carry it through the night. Will extend the winter storm warning through Wednesday night for Oswego as the synoptic event transitions to lake effect.

On the gfs from the 16th-28th max 850mb temps are -8c with -25C as we had into march which is obviously way out there..

Enjoy friday because temps struggle to make it into the lower 20s for following 7 days!! On the euro.. Eps has it below normal until mid march..

Here comes my massive flakes, mix line around mexico/parish.. Yellow returns just south of me look like all snow but south of there we turn to sleet..

Rest of the event..

Their is no Off topic in the upstate thread lol This is our "banter " thread as well.. And plenty of jobs in cities like syracuse and watertown, just not here lol Or the tug or pulaski or most of oswego county..

12z gfs has basically a CF this weekend just like the euro but after that nomore cutters, now u guys get to watch everything miss to the south..Cold through-out, hope your happy

Moderate returns just started to make it here..

Nws also has the changeover between 2-4 pm, which is what the majority of guidance shows..

Just started to flurry.

If it's not one thing it's another lol Hrrr the last several runs has us fighting dry air or something (lol) from central oswego county north, guess from that big departing HP lol Only positive is keeps us snow till 7 pm..