wolfie09

While that is true, the track is pretty stinky too lol We need it to go over NJ into SNE not slide underneath NJ..

Kuchera nailed yesterday's event.

Heaviest stuff is just to far away, best hope is for a few inches of powder.. Kuchera going to save the day

Another bump east..

Final tally ..Allegany County... Rushford 5.0 800 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer Wellsville 5.0 500 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer Angelica 4.5 700 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer Whitesville 4.5 700 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer Alfred 4.3 700 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer 4 SW West Almond 3.3 900 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS ...Cattaraugus County... Perrysburg 6.2 700 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer 1 NNE Franklinville 5.5 636 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS Little Valley 4.0 700 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer Cattaraugus 4.0 800 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer SSE Ischua 3.7 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 1 ENE Randolph 2.5 730 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS ...Chautauqua County... 3 N Celoron 4.0 600 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS Silver Creek 4.0 730 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer 1 WNW Fredonia 4.0 500 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 4 ENE Jamestown 3.9 700 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer 1 SW Dunkirk 3.5 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 1 S Dunkirk 3.5 700 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer 5 WSW Randolph 3.5 745 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS Falconer 3.0 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS ...Erie County... 2 NW Tonawanda 6.5 742 AM 2/28 Trained Spotter Wales 6.5 700 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer 1 W West Seneca 6.4 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 1 W Colden 6.4 730 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer 2 SSE East Aurora 6.1 900 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 3 E Williamsville 6.0 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS ENE East Aurora 5.8 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 3 WSW Elma 5.8 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 4 ESE North Boston 5.7 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 1 NW Kenmore 5.7 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 3 NNE East Aurora 5.6 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 1 SSE Eden 5.5 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 5 NNE Amherst 5.5 800 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS Buffalo Airport 5.3 654 AM 2/28 ASOS WSW Hamburg 5.2 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 3 NW Hamburg 5.1 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 2 NW Cheektowaga 5.0 730 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS Alden 5.0 714 AM 2/28 Trained Spotter 2 NE Boston 5.0 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 2 SSW Blasdell 5.0 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS ESE Kenmore 4.5 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS Akron 4.5 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 1 ESE East Aurora 2.0 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS ...Genesee County... 2 NE Stafford 8.6 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 1 NW Batavia 7.5 730 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 1 E Le Roy 6.7 800 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer ...Jefferson County... ENE West Carthage 4.6 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS ...Lewis County... 1 E Osceola 8.0 700 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer Highmarket 7.2 537 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer Lowville 7.0 700 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer Chases Lake 5.6 600 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer 5 SSW Harrisville 3.3 530 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS ...Livingston County... 1 ENE Dansville 6.4 750 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS Avon 6.0 730 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer Lima 6.0 700 AM 2/28 Trained Spotter 2 W Mount Morris 5.0 800 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer ...Monroe County... Brockport 9.5 900 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer 4 SSE Pittsford 9.0 830 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 2 NE Honeoye Falls 7.1 500 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS Rochester Airport 7.1 654 AM 2/28 ASOS Scottsville 6.3 900 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS ...Niagara County... Lockport 7.5 806 AM 2/28 Trained Spotter 4 NE Sanborn 6.5 700 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer Niagara Falls Airpor 6.0 653 AM 2/28 ASOS 3 WNW Lockport 6.0 820 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS North Tonawanda 5.8 700 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer 3 ESE Lockport 5.2 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 6 E Niagara Falls 5.0 825 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS ...Ontario County... Honeoye 8.0 816 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer Geneva Research Farm 7.5 700 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer West Bloomfield 6.1 700 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer ...Orleans County... Medina 7.1 600 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer WNW Medina 4.6 800 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS Lakeside 4.0 700 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer ...Oswego County... 5 ESE Oswego 8.2 600 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS Fulton 7.4 700 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer 8 N Redfield 7.4 700 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer 1 NE Pulaski 7.0 800 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 3 SW Redfield 6.5 700 AM 2/28 Trained Spotter W Fulton 6.5 645 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 4 SSE Lacona 6.4 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS Bennetts Bridge 6.0 700 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer SE Minetto 6.0 800 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS ...Wayne County... 2 SW Walworth 8.4 700 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 2 NW Palmyra 7.5 810 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS 3 ESE Macedon 6.8 535 AM 2/28 CoCoRaHS ...Wyoming County... Warsaw 7.5 700 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer 3 W Wyoming 7.5 700 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer 7 SW Attica 5.5 600 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer Portageville 4.8 700 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer 3 N Silver Springs 4.5 700 AM 2/28 Co-Op Observer

EPS with surface tracks

We stole the euro control from the coastal folks lol It has trended NW from previous runs..

Trying to hold on to some hope lol

Look at the difference in strength between the ukmet and euro.. Stronger storms go NW but majority of guidance has a weaker LP system. Euro can tend to be to amped at times.

Euro vs all .. Ukmet not even in the same ballpark..

6z euro looks pretty good from this vantage point. Only goes till 90..

Euro cut totals in half in just one run.. Euro caves slowly not all at once.. lol Just like last event, slowly caved to the other guidance.. One more bump east on the euro and it will be inline with the consensus, so we'll see..

Really hard to trust the euro anymore after these last 2 event ..We are talking 3-4 days out not 10 days lol

Still time for some changes but we all know it's gonna stay put for the next 3days lol Looks a 2"-4" type of deal at the moment.

Gfs/cmc/para/icon all graze the region, probably would still pick up couple/few inches.. Right now we have the euro/Nam/Navy..

These are like some 30-1 flakes lol Looks like northern osewgo county should stay in the snow for a couple/few more hours..

Only goes out to 90.. Precip is not working but 500 looks similar to 12z..

Just over 6" so far.. Stopped snowing for a short period of time but radar filling back in somewhat..

18z Gfs

Nam at the end of it's run vs 12z euro..

Precip hangs on till about 2-3 am on the Nam products..Flake size is great at the moment.. A little south shore enhancement as well..

Looks like it's coming down pretty good near the cuse.. Intesisty starting to pick up and flake size is ideal..

5" as of 730, continues to snow steady.. Some early reports.. NEW YORK ...Erie County... Sardinia 5.2 645 PM 2/27 TRAINED SPOTTER 1 NW Williamsville 4.6 715 PM 2/27 NWS Employee Buffalo Airport 4.4 654 PM 2/27 ASOS 2 SSW Blasdell 3.0 523 PM 2/27 CoCoRaHS ...Livingston County... Lima 3.0 600 PM 2/27 Public ...Monroe County... Penfield 7.0 711 PM 2/27 Trained Spotter 4 SSE Pittsford 5.7 700 PM 2/27 CoCoRaHS Rochester Airport 3.8 654 PM 2/27 ASOS ...Orleans County... Albion 3.5 500 PM 2/27 Co-Op Observer ...Oswego County... 3 SSW Redfield 4.5 430 PM 2/27 Public