wolfie09

Rgem for the over running precip

Not much spread when it hits the coast..

Hmmm a little more spread with the primary ?

Eps top Control bottom https://wxdisco.com/forums/topic/1461-december-1-3rd-2019-winter-storm/page/35/

You would be correct Tim.. Also wetter.. Here is yesterday 12z

Goes out till 90..I don't have paid subscription, I'm just finding these online lol

Yes big hit..

The gefs is to low rez to pin point banding, so who knows where it will actually be lol

Icon at the same time

Seen a map floating around that showed a mean of 18-21 near Syracuse haha

They love CNY..

Low end Expected High end

I posted 12z couple pages back, 18z not out yet..

Been watching this event from afar.. Just because I love lake effect lol A Pacific-based shortwave trough will track across the Central and Eastern Great Lakes Tuesday night into Wednesday. Winds will become southwest ahead of an approaching cold front and cold air advection with 850mb temperatures falling to around -6C will filter across Lake Erie and Lake Ontario by Wednesday morning. This will likely initiate a lake response beginning northeast-east of the Lakes. Lake temperatures are currently in the mid 40s which offers marginal lake instability during this time. Daytime highs are expected in the mid to upper 30s so any snowfall accumulation during the day will be limited. The cold front will move through the region from west to east by Wednesday night and west winds will drag colder air into the region. The mid-level trough will be moving into New England and moisture will be diminishing quickly across the region. There will likely be a short window of upstream moisture and lake induced instability to get accumulating snow in some places. At this time, lake effect snow showers will likely be confined to the higher elevations east of the Lakes into Thursday. Warm air advection and high pressure tracking to the south will end snow showers Thursday night into Friday.

That stuff just south of me over freak and company is 12"-16".. Rgem did shift slightly north..

Rgem is basically 8"-12"+ for Oswego county..

Lock it in..

It's usually only paid.. On weather models.com it starts around 6pm..I'm sure I'll see it floating around somewhere

I guess u missed the 12z gfs too lol

Eps has a mean of 12inches in Syracuse, out of 50 members, just saying lol

This is a 2 prong system..

Another big run from the icon..