wolfie09

Get ready for your phones to blow up lol A potent northern stream shortwave and associated cold front will sweep across the region late tonight/early Wednesday, ushering in a much colder airmass. The surge of colder air will support a period lake enhanced snows late tonight and Wednesday. There looks to be an increasing risk for a snow squalls with the cold frontal passage with increasing instability along and just behind the cold front

Nws doesn't even mention ice lol They are calling for rain changing to snow on the backside.. While there are still some differences between the various medium range guidance packages as to the timing of when the moderate to heavy rain will change over to snow...there is growing consensus that the transition to wet snow will take place Saturday night or early Sunday. The various medium range models than tend to diverge late Saturday night and Sunday as to the speed of the cold air moving across the region in the wake of the exiting storm system. In any case...the steady widespread rain will eventually transition to a brief period of heavy wet snow. As the cold air deepens later Sunday and Sunday night...widespread snow will taper off and become fluffier in nature.

Lake effect snows will once again develop tonight. Accumulations of up to 2 inches will be possible on the Tug Hill by Wednesday morning. DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Accumulating lake snows will persist on Wednesday. Total 24 hour accumulations will range from 3 to 6 inches with the highest amounts found near and on the Tug Hill plateau. Some of the heavier snow showers could be accompanied by wind gusts of 30 to 35 which would greatly reduce the visibility.

Wouldn't take much of a shift at all, granted were talking ice here lol Euro is forced to cut this across the southern tier..

Canadian was a crippling ice storm..

Gfs snow and ice..

Canadian came in east, colder and more frozen..

Definitely a wet snow with this event..

Yeah it's dumping out right now..

Just started back up here, getting windy..Peak wind gusts today was 28mph, that's at a little higher than 2m..

On and off snow/graupel here.. Looks like we should all see some snow in Oswego county..

Really close to Rochester proper..

Spread is West..

I may get fringed with this last band..I need it to drop 2 miles south lol

Winds may be shifting..

3.2" on the day here, that's between several bouts of snow squalls, nothing sustained..

New band developing, could be just to my North, we'll see soon enough..

Pretty much a white out atm, down to 28.9°

I had to Google it haha I have a similar latitude as Booneville (little north) but they are 50 miles east of here and have some elevation. Kbgm has about 1/2' in that area..

Dropped almost 4° in 5 min under this band lol

I'm actually right under the bright banding lol Mix of heavy snow and graupel..

Lake starting to fire up some..

Not much change with the gfs, a little south and closer to a snow storm lol

Rgem drops the band south about 7 pm.. Even shows freak some love overnight..As of right now I have 2.2" since last night..