wolfie09

Thursday was a 990s cutter turned into 1010 weak wave to our south...

Models had 2"-4" of liquid here..I picked up 0.80" over 3 days lol Point is models stink and can't be trusted beyond 12 hrs..

This includes 1"-3" on Thursday..

Yea just checked it out lol It collapses the column just in time to save CNY .. Euro was kinda meh and pretty far north.. The only thing that can save us is a quicker transfer..

Euro came in South as well for Wednesday night-thursday..1"-3"/2"-4" type deal..A little more south wouldn't hurt lol

Ggem looks like a giant CF for the 18th with lots of NW Flow LES behind it.. Gfs is more of a big mess Heavy snow-mix/rain-moderate snow..Also has a good amount of NW lake effect ..

Not that it would add up to much but Canadian trended towards GFS for Wednesday..This was originally a 990s cutter..

LR gfs has that clipper pattern you guys are looking for but it's way out there.

The biggest difference between the projected weekend storm and previous cutters is the cold out ahead of the system..I don't care about snowdepth I care about Snowfall. It takes time for SW flow to reach eastern Ontario region..

Because when we have the cold storms still find a way to cut lol

Don't see this very often lol

Gfs for the 16th is pretty much just a clipper.. I think the ukmet also had a weaker/unphased solution..

Haven't had much liquid so far, just 0.39".

We are getting there lol It's been a slow rise. Feels good out, most of my snow is vamoose..

Euro was cooking up something at the end of it's run..

I'm not sure I've ever seen so many storms cut like this lol Even the following 2 storms on the gfs are cutters, way towards the end of the period..

Yeah the European wasn't the best ...They call it DR NO for a reason..lol Obviously these types of tracks don't usually promote cold and snow..The farther NE you go the better as it stands now.. We do have some solid Cold air ahead of the second system, so a front end thump seems possible either way..

And here comes the P-type issues with the following event..It's a crush job for CNY but I ain't buying that shit lol Euro looked pretty meh

Gfs is now just a weak wave on the 16th..

Massive storm..

Gfs wasn't far off from a snowstorm on Wednesday night..

Wednesday night, a deepening upper level carving out over the Great Lakes will allow for a powerful surface low pressure system to strengthen as it passes right over or just northwest of our region. This will bring rain at the onset, with rain changing to snow as colder air works in on the back side of the low. This may be a decent synoptic snowfall for some as there appears to be plenty of available moisture wrapping in on the back side of the low in the colder air. In addition, with this powerful storm potentially passing just northwest of the area, strong winds will also be a possibility. This will set the stage for some northwesterly upslope and lake enhanced snows for Thursday in the wake of the system as a much colder airmass settles into Western and North Central NY. After some leftover snowshowers Thursday night, ridging both at the surface and aloft will dry things out, making for a quiet end to the work week

Gfs was pretty impressive on the backside of the 16th cutter, especially for the higher elevations..I follow lol

Euro was solid after the cutter/front.. The following system is practically a cutter that's all snow lol Does transfer eventually which will probably fook us at the end lol